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While deep neural networks have become the go-to approach in computer vision, the vast majority of these models fail to properly capture the uncertainty inherent in their predictions. Estimating this predictive uncertainty can be crucial,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-08 Fredrik K. Gustafsson , Martin Danelljan , Thomas B. Schön

It is highly desirable to know how uncertain a model's predictions are, especially for models that are complex and hard to understand as in deep learning. Although there has been a growing interest in using deep learning methods in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-28 Davood Karimi , Simon K. Warfield , Ali Gholipour

Deep learning models frequently make incorrect predictions with high confidence when presented with test examples that are not well represented in their training dataset. We propose a novel and straightforward approach to estimate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-04 Tiago Ramalho , Miguel Miranda

Reliable uncertainty estimation is crucial for machine learning models, especially in safety-critical domains. While exact Bayesian inference offers a principled approach, it is often computationally infeasible for deep neural networks.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-18 Aslak Djupskås , Alexander Johannes Stasik , Signe Riemer-Sørensen

As large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used for factual question-answering, it becomes more important for LLMs to have the capability to communicate the likelihood that their answer is correct. For these verbalized expressions of…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-12-15 Sophia Hager , David Mueller , Kevin Duh , Nicholas Andrews

In computational histopathology algorithms now outperform humans on a range of tasks, but to date none are employed for automated diagnoses in the clinic. Before algorithms can be involved in such high-stakes decisions they need to "know…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-10-19 Lea Goetz

We consider the problem of uncertainty estimation in the context of (non-Bayesian) deep neural classification. In this context, all known methods are based on extracting uncertainty signals from a trained network optimized to solve the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-25 Yonatan Geifman , Guy Uziel , Ran El-Yaniv

To obtain uncertainty estimates with real-world Bayesian deep learning models, practical inference approximations are needed. Dropout variational inference (VI) for example has been used for machine vision and medical applications, but VI…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-03-09 Yingzhen Li , Yarin Gal

Uncertainty estimation is an essential step in the evaluation of the robustness for deep learning models in computer vision, especially when applied in risk-sensitive areas. However, most state-of-the-art deep learning models either fail to…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-01-12 Lu Mi , Hao Wang , Yonglong Tian , Hao He , Nir Shavit

Uncertainty estimation is essential to make neural networks trustworthy in real-world applications. Extensive research efforts have been made to quantify and reduce predictive uncertainty. However, most existing works are designed for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-07 Myong Chol Jung , He Zhao , Joanna Dipnall , Belinda Gabbe , Lan Du

Considering uncertainty estimation of modern neural networks (NNs) is one of the most important steps towards deploying machine learning systems to meaningful real-world applications such as in medicine, finance or autonomous systems. At…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-20 Martin Ferianc , Miguel Rodrigues

Modern neural networks are powerful predictive models. However, when it comes to recognizing that they may be wrong about their predictions, they perform poorly. For example, for one of the most common activation functions, the ReLU and its…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-08-17 Shervin Manzuri Shalmani , Fei Chiang , Rong Zheng

Knowledge distillation has emerged as a powerful technique for model compression, enabling the transfer of knowledge from large teacher networks to compact student models. However, traditional knowledge distillation methods treat all…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-11-25 Aakash Gore , Anoushka Dey , Aryan Mishra

We consider the problem of detecting out-of-distribution (OOD) samples in deep reinforcement learning. In a value based reinforcement learning setting, we propose to use uncertainty estimation techniques directly on the agent's value…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-01-09 Andreas Sedlmeier , Thomas Gabor , Thomy Phan , Lenz Belzner , Claudia Linnhoff-Popien

Traditional neural networks provide deterministic predictions without inherent uncertainty estimates. While Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) offer a principled approach to uncertainty quantification, their computational complexity limits…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-25 Rouaa Hoblos , Noura Dridi , Noureddine Zerhouni , Zeina Al Masry

Real-Time Auction (RTA) Interception aims to filter out invalid or irrelevant traffic to enhance the integrity and reliability of downstream data. However, two key challenges remain: (i) the need for accurate estimation of traffic quality…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-04 Gaoxiang Zhao , Ruinan Qiu , Pengpeng Zhao , Rongjin Wang , Xiaoting Wang , Zhangang Lin , Xiaoqiang Wang

Deep ensembles deliver state-of-the-art, reliable uncertainty quantification, but their heavy computational and memory requirements hinder their practical deployments to real applications such as on-device AI. Knowledge distillation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-27 Sehyun Park , Jongjin Lee , Yunseop Shin , Ilsang Ohn , Yongdai Kim

Among Bayesian methods, Monte-Carlo dropout provides principled tools for evaluating the epistemic uncertainty of neural networks. Its popularity recently led to seminal works that proposed activating the dropout layers only during…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-07 Emanuele Ledda , Giorgio Fumera , Fabio Roli

Deep neural networks have become the default choice for many of the machine learning tasks such as classification and regression. Dropout, a method commonly used to improve the convergence of deep neural networks, generates an ensemble of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-11 Tal Kachman , Michal Moshkovitz , Michal Rosen-Zvi

Dropout is conventionally used during the training phase as regularization method and for quantifying uncertainty in deep learning. We propose to use dropout during training as well as inference steps, and average multiple predictions to…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-11-07 Mehmet Yigit Avci , Ziyu Li , Qiuyun Fan , Susie Huang , Berkin Bilgic , Qiyuan Tian