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This paper investigates the efficiency of the K-fold cross-validation (CV) procedure and a debiased version thereof as a means of estimating the generalization risk of a learning algorithm. We work under the general assumption of uniform…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-13 Anass Aghbalou , François Portier , Anne Sabourin

Despite ongoing theoretical research on cross-validation (CV), many theoretical questions remain widely open. This motivates our investigation into how properties of algorithm-distribution pairs can affect the choice for the number of folds…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-09 Ido Nachum , Rüdiger Urbanke , Thomas Weinberger

As a technique that can compactly represent complex patterns, machine learning has significant potential for predictive inference. K-fold cross-validation (CV) is the most common approach to ascertaining the likelihood that a machine…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-24 Juan M Gorriz , R. Martin Clemente , F Segovia , J Ramirez , A Ortiz , J. Suckling

We conduct a non asymptotic study of the Cross Validation (CV) estimate of the generalization risk for learning algorithms dedicated to extreme regions of the covariates space. In this Extreme Value Analysis context, the risk function…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-12 Anass Aghbalou , Patrice Bertail , François Portier , Anne Sabourin

In this paper, we introduce a new concept of stability for cross-validation, called the $\left( \beta, \varpi \right)$-stability, and use it as a new perspective to build the general theory for cross-validation. The $\left( \beta, \varpi…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-07 Ning Xu , Jian Hong , Timothy C. G. Fisher

We investigate leave-one-out cross validation (CV) as a determinator of the weight of the penalty term in the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). First, on the basis of the message passing algorithm and a perturbative…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-06-22 Tomoyuki Obuchi , Yoshiyuki Kabashima

In spite of the wealth of literature on the theoretical properties of the Lasso, there is very little known when the value of the tuning parameter is chosen using the data, even though this is what actually happens in practice. We give a…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-09-02 Sourav Chatterjee , Jafar Jafarov

This work develops central limit theorems for cross-validation and consistent estimators of its asymptotic variance under weak stability conditions on the learning algorithm. Together, these results provide practical, asymptotically-exact…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-03 Pierre Bayle , Alexandre Bayle , Lucas Janson , Lester Mackey

Cross-validation (CV) is one of the main tools for performance estimation and parameter tuning in machine learning. The general recipe for computing CV estimate is to run a learning algorithm separately for each CV fold, a computationally…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-07-02 Pooria Joulani , András György , Csaba Szepesvári

Estimating out-of-sample risk for models trained on large high-dimensional datasets is an expensive but essential part of the machine learning process, enabling practitioners to optimally tune hyperparameters. Cross-validation (CV) serves…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-28 Parth Nobel , Daniel LeJeune , Emmanuel J. Candès

Robust estimators for linear regression require non-convex objective functions to shield against adverse affects of outliers. This non-convexity brings challenges, particularly when combined with penalization in high-dimensional settings.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-08-08 David Kepplinger , Siqi Wei

K-fold cross validation (CV) is a popular method for estimating the true performance of machine learning models, allowing model selection and parameter tuning. However, the very process of CV requires random partitioning of the data and so…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2018-06-20 Henry B. Moss , David S. Leslie , Paul Rayson

Cross-validation (CV) is a common method to tune machine learning methods and can be used for model selection in regression as well. Because of the structured nature of small, traditional experimental designs, the literature has warned…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-06-18 Maria L. Weese , Byran J. Smucker , David J. Edwards

Cross-validation (CV) is routinely used across the sciences to select models and tune parameters, and the resulting choices are often interpreted as substantive scientific conclusions (e.g., which variables, mechanisms, or risk factors are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Kenichiro McAlinn , Kōsaku Takanashi

Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator or Lasso is one of the widely used regularization methods in regression. Statisticians usually implement Lasso in practice by choosing the penalty parameter in a data-dependent way, the most…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-08 Mayukh Choudhury , Debraj Das

Common cross-validation (CV) methods like k-fold cross-validation or Monte-Carlo cross-validation estimate the predictive performance of a learner by repeatedly training it on a large portion of the given data and testing on the remaining…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-30 Felix Mohr , Jan N. van Rijn

Cross-Validation (CV) is the default choice for evaluating the performance of machine learning models. Despite its wide usage, their statistical benefits have remained half-understood, especially in challenging nonparametric regimes. In…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-22 Garud Iyengar , Henry Lam , Tianyu Wang

Careful tuning of a regularization parameter is indispensable in many machine learning tasks because it has a significant impact on generalization performances. Nevertheless, current practice of regularization parameter tuning is more of an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-06-23 Atsushi Shibagaki , Yoshiki Suzuki , Masayuki Karasuyama , Ichiro Takeuchi

We study the mean-squared error of $k$-fold cross-validation as a risk estimator, with particular emphasis on how its accuracy depends on the number of folds $k$. Despite the widespread use of cross-validation, principled guidance for…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-26 Ido Nachum , Rüdiger Urbanke , Thomas Weinberger

Many versions of cross-validation (CV) exist in the literature; and each version though has different variants. All are used interchangeably by many practitioners; yet, without explanation to the connection or difference among them. This…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-05-31 Waleed A. Yousef
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