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In contemporary scientific research, understanding the distinction between correlation and causation is crucial. While correlation is a widely used analytical standard, it does not inherently imply causation. This paper addresses the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-27 Cao Zhihao , Qu Hongchun

Understanding causal relationships in multivariate time series is essential for predicting and controlling dynamic systems in fields like economics, neuroscience, and climate science. However, existing causal discovery methods often assume…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-20 Abdellah Rahmani , Pascal Frossard

Most approaches for assessing causality in complex dynamical systems fail when the interactions between variables are inherently non-linear and non-stationary. Here we introduce Temporal Autoencoders for Causal Inference (TACI), a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-06 Josuan Calderon , Gordon J. Berman

Discovering causal relationships between different variables from time series data has been a long-standing challenge for many domains such as climate science, finance, and healthcare. Given the complexity of real-world relationships and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-27 Wenbo Gong , Joel Jennings , Cheng Zhang , Nick Pawlowski

Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) are the most effective approach to causal discovery, but in many circumstances it is impossible to conduct RCTs. Therefore observational studies based on passively observed data are widely accepted as an…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-11-11 Jiuyong Li , Thuc Duy Le , Lin Liu , Jixue Liu , Zhou Jin , Bingyu Sun , Saisai Ma

We consider the problem of learning causal relationships from relational data. Existing approaches rely on queries to a relational conditional independence (RCI) oracle to establish and orient causal relations in such a setting. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-06 Sanghack Lee , Vasant Honavar

Change point detection in time series aims to identify moments when the probability distribution of time series changes. It is widely applied in many areas, such as human activity sensing and medical science. In the context of multivariate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-15 Shanyun Gao , Raghavendra Addanki , Tong Yu , Ryan A. Rossi , Murat Kocaoglu

Causal inference from observational data following the restricted structural causal model (SCM) framework hinges largely on the asymmetry between cause and effect from the data generating mechanisms, such as non-Gaussianity or nonlinearity.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-06 Kang Du , Yu Xiang

We present a new method for linear and nonlinear, lagged and contemporaneous constraint-based causal discovery from observational time series in the presence of latent confounders. We show that existing causal discovery methods such as FCI…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-03 Andreas Gerhardus , Jakob Runge

Real-world problems, for example in climate applications, often require causal reasoning on spatially gridded time series data or data with comparable structure. While the underlying system is often believed to behave similarly at different…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-16 Martin Rabel , Jakob Runge

Causal discovery is the subfield of causal inference concerned with estimating the structure of cause-and-effect relationships in a system of interrelated variables, as opposed to quantifying the strength or describing the form of causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-26 Rebecca F. Supple , Hannah Worthington , Ben Swallow

Causal discovery from time series is critical for many real-world applications, such as tracing the root causes of anomalies. Existing approaches typically rely on dataset-specific optimization, making it difficult to transfer their causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Biao Ouyang , Tengxue Zhang , Zhihao Zhuang , Yang Shu , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Many chemical engineering systems are governed by mechanisms that switch across operating regimes, making the data-driven discovery of regime-dependent governing equations essential for predictive modeling, optimization, and control. We…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-26 Ilias Mitrai , Tongjia Liu , Gabriel E. Sanoja

Causal inference from observational data following the restricted structural causal models (SCM) framework hinges largely on the asymmetry between cause and effect from the data generating mechanisms, such as non-Gaussianity or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-30 Kang Du , Yu Xiang

The gold standard for discovering causal relations is by means of experimentation. Over the last decades, alternative methods have been proposed that can infer causal relations between variables from certain statistical patterns in purely…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-21 Joris M. Mooij , Sara Magliacane , Tom Claassen

Uncovering cause-effect relationships from observational time series is fundamental to understanding complex systems. While many methods infer static causal graphs, real-world systems often exhibit dynamic causality-where relationships…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-06 Tingzhu Bi , Yicheng Pan , Xinrui Jiang , Huize Sun , Meng Ma , Ping Wang

From ancient philosophers to modern economists, biologists, and other researchers, there has been a continuous effort to unveil causal relations. The most formidable challenge lies in deducing the nature of the causal relationship: whether…

Time series data is a collection of chronological observations which is generated by several domains such as medical and financial fields. Over the years, different tasks such as classification, forecasting, and clustering have been…

Coupled dynamical systems are frequently observed in nature, but often not well understood in terms of their causal structure without additional domain knowledge about the system. Especially when analyzing observational time series data of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-26 Will Glad , Thomas Woolf

Causality lays the foundation for the trajectory of our world. Causal inference (CI), which aims to infer intrinsic causal relations among variables of interest, has emerged as a crucial research topic. Nevertheless, the lack of observation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-21 Yaochen Zhu , Yinhan He , Jing Ma , Mengxuan Hu , Sheng Li , Jundong Li