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Over the past few decades, addressing "spatial confounding" has become a major topic in spatial statistics. However, the literature has provided conflicting definitions, and many proposed solutions are tied to specific analysis models and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-14 Brian Gilbert , Abhirup Datta , Joan A. Casey , Elizabeth L. Ogburn

We develop new methodology to improve our understanding of the causal effects of multivariate air pollution exposures on public health. Typically, exposure to air pollution for an individual is measured at their home geographic region,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-18 Heejun Shin , Danielle Braun , Kezia Irene , Michelle Audirac , Joseph Antonelli

Selective inference (post-selection inference) is a methodology that has attracted much attention in recent years in the fields of statistics and machine learning. Naive inference based on data that are also used for model selection tends…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-25 Yoshiyuki Ninomiya , Yuta Umezu , Ichiro Takeuchi

In causal inference, interference occurs when the treatment of one unit may affect the outcomes of other units. The goal of this work is to serve as a guide to the use of linear outcome modeling for estimating causal effects in settings…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-01 Eric Tong , Salvador V. Balkus

Scientists frequently generalize population level causal quantities such as average treatment effect from a source population to a target population. When the causal effects are heterogeneous, differences in subject characteristics between…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-16 Rui Chen , Guanhua Chen , Menggang Yu

Propensity score methods were proposed by Rosenbaum and Rubin [Biometrika 70 (1983) 41--55] as central tools to help assess the causal effects of interventions. Since their introduction more than two decades ago, they have found wide…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Donald B. Rubin , Richard P. Waterman

The paper presents some models for the propensity score. Considerable attention is given to a recently popular, but relatively under-explored setting in causal inference where the no-interference assumption does not hold. We lay out some…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-16 Hyunseung Kang , Chan Park , Ralph Trane

In this chapter, we review the class of causal effects based on incremental propensity scores interventions proposed by Kennedy [2019]. The aim of incremental propensity score interventions is to estimate the effect of increasing or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-22 Matteo Bonvini , Alec McClean , Zach Branson , Edward H. Kennedy

In many applications of causal inference, the treatment received by one unit may influence the outcome of another, a phenomenon referred to as interference. Although there are several frameworks for conducting causal inference in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-27 Matvey Ortyashov , AmirEmad Ghassami

Design-based inference, also known as randomization-based or finite-population inference, provides a principled framework for trustworthy statistical inference by attributing randomness solely to the design mechanism (e.g., treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-17 Siyu Heng , Yanxin Shen , Zijian Guo

Although propensity scores have been central to the estimation of causal effects for over 30 years, only recently has the statistical literature begun to consider in detail methods for Bayesian estimation of propensity scores and causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-04-09 Corwin M. Zigler

There has been widespread use of causal inference methods for the rigorous analysis of observational studies and to identify policy evaluations. In this article, we consider a class of generalized coarsened procedures for confounding. At a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-04 Debashis Ghosh , Lei Wang

We consider design-based causal inference for spatial experiments in which treatments may have effects that bleed out and feed back in complex ways. Such spatial spillover effects violate the standard ``no interference'' assumption for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-06 Ye Wang , Cyrus Samii , Haoge Chang , P. M. Aronow

Estimating the causal effects of a spatially-varying intervention on a spatially-varying outcome may be subject to non-local confounding (NLC), a phenomenon that can bias estimates when the treatments and outcomes of a given unit are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-13 Mauricio Tec , James Scott , Corwin Zigler

In this paper, we propose a robust method to estimate the average treatment effects in observational studies when the number of potential confounders is possibly much greater than the sample size. We first use a class of penalized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-21 Yang Ning , Sida Peng , Kosuke Imai

Propensity scores are commonly used to estimate treatment effects from observational data. We argue that the probabilistic output of a learned propensity score model should be calibrated -- i.e., a predictive treatment probability of 90%…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-06 Shachi Deshpande , Volodymyr Kuleshov

Understanding how treatment effects vary on individual characteristics is critical in the contexts of personalized medicine, personalized advertising and policy design. When the characteristics are of practical interest are only a subset of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-03 Peng Wu , ShaSha Han , Xingwei Tong , Runze Li

We study Bayesian approaches to causal inference via propensity score regression. Much of the Bayesian literature on propensity score methods have relied on approaches that cannot be viewed as fully Bayesian in the context of conventional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-01 David A. Stephens , Widemberg S. Nobre , Erica E. M. Moodie , Alexandra M. Schmidt

When doing impact evaluation and making causal inferences, it is important to acknowledge the heterogeneity of the treatment effects for different domains (geographic, socio-demographic, or socio-economic). If the domain of interest is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-12 Setareh Ranjbar , Nicola Salvati , Barbara Pacini

Propensity score plays a central role in causal inference, but its use is not limited to causal comparisons. As a covariate balancing tool, propensity score can be used for controlled descriptive comparisons between groups whose memberships…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-09 Fan Li , Fan Li