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It has become increasingly common nowadays to collect observations of feature and response pairs from different environments. As a consequence, one has to apply learned predictors to data with a different distribution due to distribution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-31 Kang Du , Yu Xiang

Conformal prediction has emerged as a powerful tool for building prediction intervals that are valid in a distribution-free way. However, its evaluation may be computationally costly, especially in the high-dimensional setting where the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-13 Lucas Clarté , Lenka Zdeborová

Program behavior may depend on parameters, which are either configured before compilation time, or provided at run-time, e.g., by sensors or other input devices. Parametric program analysis explores how different parameter settings may…

编程语言 · 计算机科学 2014-06-23 Thomas M. Gawlitza , Martin D. Schwarz , Helmut Seidl

This study aims to address the pervasive challenge of quantifying uncertainty in large language models (LLMs) without logit-access. Conformal Prediction (CP), known for its model-agnostic and distribution-free features, is a desired…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-04-05 Jiayuan Su , Jing Luo , Hongwei Wang , Lu Cheng

Query performance prediction (QPP) aims to estimate the retrieval quality of a search system for a query without human relevance judgments. Previous QPP methods typically return a single scalar value and do not require the predicted values…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2025-05-27 Chuan Meng , Negar Arabzadeh , Arian Askari , Mohammad Aliannejadi , Maarten de Rijke

We propose a set of kernel-based tools to evaluate the designs and tune the hyperparameters of conditional sequence models, with a focus on problems in computational biology. The backbone of our tools is a new measure of discrepancy between…

Cognitive diagnosis models (CDMs) are restricted latent class models widely used to measure attributes of interest in diagnostic assessments across education, psychology, biomedical sciences, and related fields. Partial-mastery CDMs…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-16 Camilo Cárdenas-Hurtado , Sze Ming Lee , Yunxiao Chen , Irini Moustaki

Generative AI, in particular large transformer models, are increasingly driving HPC system design in science and industry. We analyze performance characteristics of such transformer models and discuss their sensitivity to the transformer…

In this paper, we present a tube-based framework for robust adaptive model predictive control (RAMPC) for nonlinear systems subject to parametric uncertainty and additive disturbances. Set-membership estimation is used to provide accurate…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-10-21 Johannes Köhler , Peter Kötting , Raffaele Soloperto , Frank Allgöwer , Matthias A. Müller

Procedures in assessing the impact of serial dependency on performance analysis are usually built on parametrically specified models. In this paper, we propose a robust, nonparametric approach to carry out this assessment, by computing the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-22 Henry Lam

Uncertainty estimates must be calibrated (i.e., accurate) and sharp (i.e., informative) in order to be useful. This has motivated a variety of methods for recalibration, which use held-out data to turn an uncalibrated model into a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-06 Charles Marx , Shengjia Zhao , Willie Neiswanger , Stefano Ermon

An autonomous adaptive MPC architecture is presented for control of heating, ventilation and air condition (HVAC) systems to maintain indoor temperature while reducing energy use. Although equipment use and occupant changes with time,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-02-09 Tingting Zeng , Prabir Barooah

This research introduces a new ML framework designed to enhance the robustness of out-of-sample hydrocarbon production forecasting, specifically addressing multivariate time series analysis. The proposed methodology integrates Productivity…

Machine learning (ML)-based cyber-physical systems (CPSs) have been extensively developed to improve the print quality of additive manufacturing (AM). However, the reproducibility of these systems, as presented in published research, has…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-10-23 Jiarui Xie , Mutahar Safdar , Andrei Mircea , Bi Cheng Zhao , Yan Lu , Hyunwoong Ko , Zhuo Yang , Yaoyao Fiona Zhao

Calibration, the alignment between model confidence and prediction accuracy, is critical for the reliable deployment of large language models (LLMs). Existing works neglect to measure the generalization of their methods to other prompt…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-01-08 Yuxi Xia , Pedro Henrique Luz de Araujo , Klim Zaporojets , Benjamin Roth

Advancements in machine learning for molecular property prediction have improved accuracy but at the expense of higher computational cost and longer training times. Recently, the Joint Multi-domain Pre-training (JMP) foundation model has…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-29 Yasir Ghunaim , Andrés Villa , Gergo Ignacz , Gyorgy Szekely , Motasem Alfarra , Bernard Ghanem

The partial monitoring (PM) framework provides a theoretical formulation of sequential learning problems with incomplete feedback. On each round, a learning agent plays an action while the environment simultaneously chooses an outcome. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-17 Maxime Heuillet , Ola Ahmad , Audrey Durand

Controller design faces a trade-off between robustness and performance, and the reliability of linear controllers has caused many practitioners to focus on the former. However, there is renewed interest in improving system performance to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2012-08-07 Anil Aswani , Humberto Gonzalez , S. Shankar Sastry , Claire Tomlin

Defect prediction models---classifiers that identify defect-prone software modules---have configurable parameters that control their characteristics (e.g., the number of trees in a random forest). Recent studies show that these classifiers…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2018-02-01 Chakkrit Tantithamthavorn , Shane McIntosh , Ahmed E. Hassan , Kenichi Matsumoto

Simulation models often have parameters as input and return outputs to understand the behavior of complex systems. Calibration is the process of estimating the values of the parameters in a simulation model in light of observed data from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-15 Özge Sürer