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相关论文: Using mobility data in the design of optimal lockd…

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The COVID-19 crisis has shown that we can only prevent the risk of mass contagion through timely, large-scale, coordinated, and decisive actions. However, frequently the models used by experts [from whom decision-makers get their main…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-08 Mauricio Herrera

The rapid spread of the Coronavirus SARS-2 is a major challenge that led almost all governments worldwide to take drastic measures to respond to the tragedy. Chief among those measures is the massive lockdown of entire countries and cities,…

The spread of COVID-19 has been thwarted in most countries through non-pharmaceutical interventions. In particular, the most effective measures in this direction have been the stay-at-home and closure strategies of businesses and schools.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-05-04 G. Dimarco , G. Toscani , M. Zanella

As a common strategy of contagious disease containment, lockdowns will inevitably weaken the economy. The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic underscores the trade-off arising from public health and economic cost. An optimal lockdown policy to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-01-26 Qianqian Ma , Yang-Yu Liu , Alex Olshevsky

Pandemic control measures like lock-down, restrictions on restaurants and gatherings, social-distancing have shown to be effective in curtailing the spread of COVID-19. However, their sustained enforcement has negative economic effects. To…

We model further development of the COVID-19 epidemic in the UK given the current data and assuming different scenarios of handling the epidemic. In this research, we further extend the stochastic model suggested in \cite{us} and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-04-10 Anatoly Zhigljavsky , Roger Whitaker , Ivan Fesenko , Kobi Kremnizer , Jack Noonan

Social distancing has been the only effective way to contain the spread of an infectious disease prior to the availability of the pharmaceutical treatment. It can lower the infection rate of the disease at the economic cost. A pandemic…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-12-07 Kexin Chen , Chi Seng Pun , Hoi Ying Wong

Understanding collective mobility patterns is crucial to plan the restart of production and economic activities, which are currently put in stand-by to fight the diffusion of the epidemics. In this report, we use mobile phone data to infer…

In the context of the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic, several reports and studies have attempted to model and predict the spread of the disease. There is also intense debate about policies for limiting the damage, both to health and to the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-05-04 Harshad Khadilkar , Tanuja Ganu , Deva P Seetharam

In this paper we propose a data-driven model for the spread of SARS-CoV-2 and use it to design optimal control strategies of human-mobility restrictions that both curb the epidemic and minimize the economic costs associated with…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-05-21 Mikhail Hayhoe , Francisco Barreras , Victor M. Preciado

Optimizing the impact on the economy of control strategies aiming at containing the spread of COVID-19 is a critical challenge. We use daily new case counts of COVID-19 patients reported by local health administrations from different…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-03-12 Afroza Shirin , Yen Ting Lin , Francesco Sorrentino

In this work we review recent works analyzing mobility data and its application in understanding the epidemic dynamics for the COVID-19 pandemic and more. We also discuss privacy-preserving solutions to analyze the mobility data in order to…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2021-09-17 Abhishek Singh , Alok Mathur , Alka Asthana , Juliet Maina , Jade Nester , Sai Sri Sathya , Santanu Bhattacharya , Vidya Phalke

Mobile phone data have been widely used to model the spread of COVID-19, however, quantifying and comparing their predictive value across different settings is challenging. Their quality is affected by various factors and their relationship…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-01-11 Federico Delussu , Michele Tizzoni , Laetitia Gauvin

Following the highly restrictive measures adopted by many countries for combating the current pandemic, the number of individuals infected by SARS-CoV-2 and the associated number of deaths is steadily decreasing. This fact, together with…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-09-04 A. S. Fokas , J. Cuevas-Maraver , P. G. Kevrekidis

The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has posed unprecedented challenges for the utilities and grid operators around the world. In this work, we focus on the problem of load forecasting. With strict social distancing restrictions, power…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-06-17 Yize Chen , Weiwei Yang , Baosen Zhang

We investigate adaptive strategies to robustly and optimally control the COVID-19 pandemic via social distancing measures based on the example of Germany. Our goal is to minimize the number of fatalities over the course of two years without…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-02-09 Johannes Köhler , Lukas Schwenkel , Anne Koch , Julian Berberich , Patricia Pauli , Frank Allgöwer

One approach to delay the spread of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) is to reduce human travel by imposing travel restriction policies. It is yet unclear how effective those policies are on suppressing the mobility trend due to the lack of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-06 Chenfeng Xiong , Songhua Hu , Mofeng Yang , Hannah N Younes , Weiyu Luo , Sepehr Ghader , Lei Zhang

Fine population distribution both in space and in time is crucial for epidemic management, disaster prevention,urban planning and more. Human mobility data have a great potential for mapping population distribution at a high level of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-06-25 Xiang Liu , Philo Pöllmann

The COVID-19 pandemic has forced policy makers to decree urgent confinements to stop a rapid and massive contagion. However, after that stage, societies are being forced to find an equilibrium between the need to reduce contagion rates and…

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