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We derive streamlined mean field variational Bayes algorithms for fitting linear mixed models with crossed random effects. In the most general situation, where the dimensions of the crossed groups are arbitrarily large, streamlining is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-15 Marianne Menictas , Gioia Di Credico , Matt P. Wand

We present a generative modeling approach based on the variational inference framework for likelihood-free simulation-based inference. The method leverages latent variables within variational autoencoders to efficiently estimate complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-20 Mayank Nautiyal , Andrey Shternshis , Andreas Hellander , Prashant Singh

Statistical models can involve implicitly defined quantities, such as solutions to nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs), that unavoidably need to be numerically approximated in order to evaluate the model. The approximation…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-09-16 Juho Timonen , Nikolas Siccha , Ben Bales , Harri Lähdesmäki , Aki Vehtari

In stochastic variational inference, the variational Bayes objective function is optimized using stochastic gradient approximation, where gradients computed on small random subsets of data are used to approximate the true gradient over the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-10-19 Linda S. L. Tan , David J. Nott

One of the core problems of modern statistics is to approximate difficult-to-compute probability densities. This problem is especially important in Bayesian statistics, which frames all inference about unknown quantities as a calculation…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-05-11 David M. Blei , Alp Kucukelbir , Jon D. McAuliffe

Statistical dependence measures like mutual information is ideal for analyzing autoencoders, but it can be ill-posed for deterministic, static, noise-free networks. We adopt the variational (Gaussian) formulation that makes dependence among…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-24 Bo Hu , Jose C Principe

This paper presents an efficient variational inference framework for deriving a family of structured gaussian process regression network (SGPRN) models. The key idea is to incorporate auxiliary inducing variables in latent functions and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-19 Rui Meng , Herbie Lee , Kristofer Bouchard

Inference in discrete graphical models with variational methods is difficult because of the inability to re-parameterize gradients of the Evidence Lower Bound (ELBO). Many sampling-based methods have been proposed for estimating these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-23 Andy Shih , Stefano Ermon

Consider the standard Gaussian linear regression model $Y=X\theta+\epsilon$, where $Y\in R^n$ is a response vector and $ X\in R^{n*p}$ is a design matrix. Numerous work have been devoted to building efficient estimators of $\theta$ when $p$…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-01-26 Nicolas Verzelen

Evaluating the log determinant of a positive definite matrix is ubiquitous in machine learning. Applications thereof range from Gaussian processes, minimum-volume ellipsoids, metric learning, kernel learning, Bayesian neural networks,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-03-02 Diego Granziol , Edward Wagstaff , Bin Xin Ru , Michael Osborne , Stephen Roberts

Many probabilistic models introduce strong dependencies between variables using a latent multivariate Gaussian distribution or a Gaussian process. We present a new Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for performing inference in models with…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-03-22 Iain Murray , Ryan Prescott Adams , David J. C. MacKay

The Multi-Output Gaussian Process is is a popular tool for modelling data from multiple sources. A typical choice to build a covariance function for a MOGP is the Linear Model of Coregionalization (LMC) which parametrically models the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-13 Xiaoyu Jiang , Sokratia Georgaka , Magnus Rattray , Mauricio A. Álvarez

A wide range of problems in computational science and engineering require estimation of sparse eigenvectors for high dimensional systems. Here, we propose two variants of the Truncated Orthogonal Iteration to compute multiple leading…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-03-26 Hexuan Liu , Aleksandr Aravkin

Stochastic variational inference algorithms are derived for fitting various heteroskedastic time series models. We examine Gaussian, t, and skew-t response GARCH models and fit these using Gaussian variational approximating densities. We…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-08-30 Hanwen Xuan , Luca Maestrini , Feng Chen , Clara Grazian

Variational inference has become one of the most widely used methods in latent variable modeling. In its basic form, variational inference employs a fully factorized variational distribution and minimizes its KL divergence to the posterior.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-29 Robert Bamler , Cheng Zhang , Manfred Opper , Stephan Mandt

We study inference on the common stochastic trends in a non-stationary, $N$-variate time series $y_{t}$, in the possible presence of heavy tails. We propose a novel methodology which does not require any knowledge or estimation of the tail…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-07-30 Matteo Barigozzi , Giuseppe Cavaliere , Lorenzo Trapani

In this paper, we consider the problem of online asymptotic variance estimation for particle filtering and smoothing. Current solutions for the particle filter rely on the particle genealogy and are either unstable or hard to tune in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-14 Yazid Janati El idrissi , Sylvain Le Corff , Yohan Petetin

We develop a pure Monte Carlo method to compute $E(g(X_T))$ where $g$ is a bounded and Lipschitz function and $X_t$ an Ito process. This approach extends a previously proposed method to the general multidimensional case with a SDE with…

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-18 Mahamadou Doumbia , Nadia Oudjane , Xavier Warin

We study the application of graph random features (GRFs) - a recently introduced stochastic estimator of graph node kernels - to scalable Gaussian processes on discrete input spaces. We prove that (under mild assumptions) Bayesian inference…

A framework to boost the efficiency of Bayesian inference in probabilistic programs is introduced by embedding a sampler inside a variational posterior approximation. We call it the refined variational approximation. Its strength lies both…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-25 Victor Gallego , David Rios Insua