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Statistical machine learning models should be evaluated and validated before putting to work. Conventional k-fold Monte Carlo Cross-Validation (MCCV) procedure uses a pseudo-random sequence to partition instances into k subsets, which…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-07-05 Liang Guo , Jianya Liu , Ruodan Lu

Prediction based on Irregularly Sampled Time Series (ISTS) is of wide concern in the real-world applications. For more accurate prediction, the methods had better grasp more data characteristics. Different from ordinary time series, ISTS is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-04 Chenxi Sun , Shenda Hong , Moxian Song , Yanxiu Zhou , Yongyue Sun , Derun Cai , Hongyan Li

Common cross-validation (CV) methods like k-fold cross-validation or Monte-Carlo cross-validation estimate the predictive performance of a learner by repeatedly training it on a large portion of the given data and testing on the remaining…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-30 Felix Mohr , Jan N. van Rijn

This article introduces a robust hybrid method for solving supervised learning tasks, which uses the Echo State Network (ESN) model and the Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm. An ESN is a Recurrent Neural Network with the…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2015-01-05 Sebastián Basterrech , Enrique Alba , Václav Snášel

In many real-world applications, fully-differentiable RNNs such as LSTMs and GRUs have been widely deployed to solve time series learning tasks. These networks train via Backpropagation Through Time, which can work well in practice but…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2020-10-29 Matthew Evanusa , Snehesh Shrestha , Michelle Girvan , Cornelia Fermüller , Yiannis Aloimonos

Hyperparameter tuning plays a crucial role in optimizing the performance of predictive learners. Cross--validation (CV) is a widely adopted technique for estimating the error of different hyperparameter settings. Repeated cross-validation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-01 Giovanni Maria Merola

Echo state networks (ESNs) are a class of recurrent neural networks in which only the readout layer is trainable, while the recurrent and input layers are fixed. This architectural constraint enables computationally efficient processing of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-31 Taiki Yamada , Yuichi Katori , Kantaro Fujiwara

The paper introduces concentric Echo State Network, an approach to design reservoir topologies that tries to bridge the gap between deterministically constructed simple cycle models and deep reservoir computing approaches. We show how to…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-05-24 Davide Bacciu , Andrea Bongiorno

Recently, reinforcement learning models have achieved great success, completing complex tasks such as mastering Go and other games with higher scores than human players. Many of these models collect considerable data on the tasks and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-19 Hanten Chang , Katsuya Futagami

The echo state network (ESN) is a special type of recurrent neural networks for processing the time-series dataset. However, limited by the strong correlation among sequential samples of the agent, ESN-based policy control algorithms are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-14 Chunyuan Zhang , Chao Liu , Qi Song , Jie Zhao

Reinforcement learning (RL) policies trained in simulation often suffer from severe performance degradation when deployed in real-world environments due to non-stationary dynamics. While Domain Randomization (DR) and meta-RL have been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-09 Aoi Yoshimura , Gouhei Tanaka

Recurrent neural networks are machine learning algorithms which are suited well to predict time series. Echo state networks are one specific implementation of such neural networks that can describe the evolution of dynamical systems by…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2021-05-26 Florian Heyder , Jörg Schumacher

Reservoir computing (RC), a particular form of recurrent neural network, is under explosive development due to its exceptional efficacy and high performance in reconstruction or/and prediction of complex physical systems. However, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-10 Xing-Yue Duan , Xiong Ying , Si-Yang Leng , Jürgen Kurths , Wei Lin , Huan-Fei Ma

Robust estimators for linear regression require non-convex objective functions to shield against adverse affects of outliers. This non-convexity brings challenges, particularly when combined with penalization in high-dimensional settings.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-08-08 David Kepplinger , Siqi Wei

Cross-validation (CV) is a common method to tune machine learning methods and can be used for model selection in regression as well. Because of the structured nature of small, traditional experimental designs, the literature has warned…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-06-18 Maria L. Weese , Byran J. Smucker , David J. Edwards

Ensemble methods such as bagging and random forests are ubiquitous in various fields, from finance to genomics. Despite their prevalence, the question of the efficient tuning of ensemble parameters has received relatively little attention.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-19 Jin-Hong Du , Pratik Patil , Kathryn Roeder , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Echo State Networks (ESNs) are time-series processing models working under the Echo State Property (ESP) principle. The ESP is a notion of stability that imposes an asymptotic fading of the memory of the input. On the other hand, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-06 Andrea Ceni , Claudio Gallicchio

Forecasting high-dimensional spatiotemporal systems remains computationally challenging for recurrent neural networks (RNNs) and long short-term memory (LSTM) models due to gradient-based training and memory bottlenecks. Reservoir Computing…

Since their inception, learning techniques under the Reservoir Computing paradigm have shown a great modeling capability for recurrent systems without the computing overheads required for other approaches. Among them, different flavors of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-18 Alejandro Barredo Arrieta , Sergio Gil-Lopez , Ibai Laña , Miren Nekane Bilbao , Javier Del Ser

The operating point of a power system may change due to slow enough variations of the power injections. Rotating machines in the bulk system can absorb smooth changes in the dynamic states of the system. In this context, we present a novel…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-01-22 Gabriel Intriago , Holger Cevallos , Yu Zhang