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Deep learning models frequently make incorrect predictions with high confidence when presented with test examples that are not well represented in their training dataset. We propose a novel and straightforward approach to estimate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-04 Tiago Ramalho , Miguel Miranda

Neural networks have achieved impressive performance for data in the distribution which is the same as the training set but can produce an overconfident incorrect result for the data these networks have never seen. Therefore, it is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-22 Jinhong Lin

Uncertainty quantification is critical for deploying deep neural networks (DNNs) in real-world applications. An Auxiliary Uncertainty Estimator (AuxUE) is one of the most effective means to estimate the uncertainty of the main task…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-12-14 Xuanlong Yu , Gianni Franchi , Jindong Gu , Emanuel Aldea

We present a new type of probabilistic model which we call DISsimilarity COefficient Networks (DISCO Nets). DISCO Nets allow us to efficiently sample from a posterior distribution parametrised by a neural network. During training, DISCO…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2016-10-31 Diane Bouchacourt , M. Pawan Kumar , Sebastian Nowozin

To infer a diffusion network based on observations from historical diffusion processes, existing approaches assume that observation data contain exact occurrence time of each node infection, or at least the eventual infection statuses of…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-12-14 Hao Huang , Qian Yan , Keqi Han , Ting Gan , Jiawei Jiang , Quanqing Xu , Chuanhui Yan

Data uncertainty in practical person reID is ubiquitous, hence it requires not only learning the discriminative features, but also modeling the uncertainty based on the input. This paper proposes to learn the sample posterior and the class…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-07-20 Yan Zhang , Zhilin Zheng , Binyu He , Li Sun

Uncertainty estimation aims to evaluate the confidence of a trained deep neural network. However, existing uncertainty estimation approaches rely on low-dimensional distributional assumptions and thus suffer from the high dimensionality of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-26 Tsai Hor Chan , Kin Wai Lau , Jiajun Shen , Guosheng Yin , Lequan Yu

Prior Networks are a recently developed class of models which yield interpretable measures of uncertainty and have been shown to outperform state-of-the-art ensemble approaches on a range of tasks. They can also be used to distill an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-10 Andrey Malinin , Sergey Chervontsev , Ivan Provilkov , Mark Gales

Out-of-distribution (OOD) data poses serious challenges in deployed machine learning models as even subtle changes could incur significant performance drops. Being able to estimate a model's performance on test data is important in practice…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-13 Yuzhe Lu , Zhenlin Wang , Runtian Zhai , Soheil Kolouri , Joseph Campbell , Katia Sycara

Neural networks are often utilised in critical domain applications (e.g. self-driving cars, financial markets, and aerospace engineering), even though they exhibit overconfident predictions for ambiguous inputs. This deficiency demonstrates…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-03 John Mitros , Brian Mac Namee

Modern neural networks are very powerful predictive models, but they are often incapable of recognizing when their predictions may be wrong. Closely related to this is the task of out-of-distribution detection, where a network must…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-02-15 Terrance DeVries , Graham W. Taylor

Neural ordinary differential equations (NODE) have been proposed as a continuous depth generalization to popular deep learning models such as Residual networks (ResNets). They provide parameter efficiency and automate the model selection…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-24 Srinivas Anumasa , P. K. Srijith

Generative models have shown strong potential as data-driven priors for solving inverse problems such as reconstructing medical images from undersampled measurements. While these priors improve reconstruction quality with fewer…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-10-14 Namhoon Kim , Sara Fridovich-Keil

Background. Commonly, Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) generalize well on samples drawn from a distribution similar to that of the training set. However, DNNs' predictions are brittle and unreliable when the test samples are drawn from a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-01 Matan Haroush , Tzviel Frostig , Ruth Heller , Daniel Soudry

Accurate modelling and quantification of predictive uncertainty is crucial in deep learning since it allows a model to make safer decisions when the data is ambiguous and facilitates the users' understanding of the model's confidence in its…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-26 Soumyasundar Pal , Liheng Ma , Amine Natik , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates

Deterministic neural networks (NNs) are increasingly being deployed in safety critical domains, where calibrated, robust, and efficient measures of uncertainty are crucial. In this paper, we propose a novel method for training non-Bayesian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Alexander Amini , Wilko Schwarting , Ava Soleimany , Daniela Rus

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are known to produce incorrect predictions with very high confidence on out-of-distribution inputs (OODs). This limitation is one of the key challenges in the adoption of DNNs in high-assurance systems such as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-21 Ramneet Kaur , Susmit Jha , Anirban Roy , Sangdon Park , Oleg Sokolsky , Insup Lee

Estimated density is often interpreted as indicating how typical a sample is under a model. Yet deep models trained on one dataset can assign higher density to simpler out-of-distribution (OOD) data than to in-distribution test data. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-03 Weyl Lu , Chenjie Hao , Yubei Chen

The transductive inference is an effective technique in the few-shot learning task, where query sets update prototypes to improve themselves. However, these methods optimize the model by considering only the classification scores of the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-05-18 Minglei Yuan , Qian Xu , Chunhao Cai , Yin-Dong Zheng , Tao Wang , Tong Lu

Bayesian neural networks and deep ensemble methods have been proposed for uncertainty quantification; however, they are computationally intensive and require large storage. By utilizing a single deterministic model, we can solve the above…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-04 Yaxin Ma , Benjamin Colburn , Jose C. Principe