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Dynamic network models (DNMs) are belief networks for temporal reasoning. The DNM methodology combines techniques from time series analysis and probabilistic reasoning to provide (1) a knowledge representation that integrates…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-03-08 Paul Dagum , Adam Galper

Numerical weather forecasting using high-resolution physical models often requires extensive computational resources on supercomputers, which diminishes their wide usage in most real-life applications. As a remedy, applying deep learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-06 Selim Furkan Tekin , Arda Fazla , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

The human ability to track musical downbeats is robust to changes in tempo, and it extends to tempi never previously encountered. We propose a deterministic time-warping operation that enables this skill in a convolutional neural network…

声音 · 计算机科学 2021-02-05 Bruno Di Giorgi , Matthias Mauch , Mark Levy

In multivariable time series (MTS) forecasting, existing state-of-the-art deep learning approaches tend to focus on autoregressive formulations and often overlook the potential of using exogenous variables in enhancing the prediction of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-03 Yuxuan Shu , Vasileios Lampos

This study proposes two straightforward yet effective approaches to reduce the required computational time of the training process for time-series modeling through a recurrent neural network (RNN) using multi-time-scale time-series data as…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-11-11 Kei Ishida , Masato Kiyama , Ali Ercan , Motoki Amagasaki , Tongbi Tu

Accurate rainfall forecasting is critical because it has a great impact on people's social and economic activities. Recent trends on various literatures show that Deep Learning (Neural Network) is a promising methodology to tackle many…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-11-08 Seongchan Kim , Seungkyun Hong , Minsu Joh , Sa-kwang Song

The formation of precipitation in state-of-the-art weather and climate models is an important process. The understanding of its relationship with other variables can lead to endless benefits, particularly for the world's monsoon regions…

Long-term forecasting of multivariate urban data poses a significant challenge due to the complex spatiotemporal dependencies inherent in such datasets. This paper presents DST, a novel multivariate time-series forecasting model that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-28 Amirhossein Sohrabbeig , Omid Ardakanian , Petr Musilek

This paper presents a method for time series forecasting with deep learning and its assessment on two datasets. The method starts with data preparation, followed by model training and evaluation. The final step is a visual inspection.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-24 Gissel Velarde

The forecast of tropical cyclone trajectories is crucial for the protection of people and property. Although forecast dynamical models can provide high-precision short-term forecasts, they are computationally demanding, and current…

Time series forecasting lies at the core of important real-world applications in many fields of science and engineering. The abundance of large time series datasets that consist of complex patterns and long-term dependencies has led to the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-01 Nancy Xu , Chrysoula Kosma , Michalis Vazirgiannis

Integration of renewable energy sources and emerging loads like electric vehicles to smart grids brings more uncertainty to the distribution system management. Demand Side Management (DSM) is one of the approaches to reduce the uncertainty.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-28 Elahe Khoshbakhti Vaygan , Roozbeh Rajabi , Abouzar Estebsari

The identification and modeling of time-varying systems is a fundamental challenge in signal processing and system identification. To address this challenge, we propose a class of time-varying state-space model (SSM) based neural networks…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-18 Sanja Karilanova , Subhrakanti Dey , Ayça Özçelikkale

The advent of fast sensing technologies allows for real-time model updates in many applications where the model parameters are uncertain. Bayesian algorithms, such as ensemble smoothers, offer a real-time probabilistic inversion accounting…

地球物理 · 物理学 2022-05-26 Muzammil Hussain Rammay , Sergey Alyaev , Ahmed H Elsheikh

This paper focuses on modeling the dynamic attributes of a dynamic network with a fixed number of vertices. These attributes are considered as time series which dependency structure is influenced by the underlying network. They are modeled…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-11 Jonas Krampe

While recurrent neural networks (RNNs) demonstrate outstanding capabilities for future video frame prediction, they model dynamics in a discrete time space, i.e., they predict the frames sequentially with a fixed temporal step. RNNs are…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-10-13 Saber Pourheydari , Emad Bahrami , Mohsen Fayyaz , Gianpiero Francesca , Mehdi Noroozi , Juergen Gall

Precipitation nowcasting, which predicts rainfall up to a few hours ahead, is a critical tool for vulnerable communities in the Global South frequently exposed to intense, rapidly developing storms. Timely forecasts provide a crucial window…

Although static networks have been extensively studied in machine learning, data mining, and AI communities for many decades, the study of dynamic networks has recently taken center stage due to the prominence of social media and its…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-12-21 Tony Gracious , Shubham Gupta , Arun Kanthali , Rui M. Castro , Ambedkar Dukkipati

Dynamic Linear Models (DLMs) are commonly employed for time series analysis due to their versatile structure, simple recursive updating, ability to handle missing data, and probabilistic forecasting. However, the options for count time…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-30 Brian King , Daniel R. Kowal

Forecasting severe weather conditions is still a very challenging and computationally expensive task due to the enormous amount of data and the complexity of the underlying physics. Machine learning approaches and especially deep learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-09 Christian Schön , Jens Dittrich