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Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Ensemble technique and under-sampling technique are both effective tools used for imbalanced dataset classification problems. In this paper, a novel ensemble method combining the advantages of both ensemble learning for biasing classifiers…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-05 Jinyan Li , Yaoyang Wu , Simon Fong , Antonio J. Tallón-Ballesteros , Xin-she Yang , Sabah Mohammed , Feng Wu

Modeling non-stationary data is a challenging problem in the field of continual learning, and data distribution shifts may result in negative consequences on the performance of a machine learning model. Classic learning tools are often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-23 Sebastián Basterrech , Line Clemmensen , Gerardo Rubino

Algorithmic stability is a central concept in statistics and learning theory that measures how sensitive an algorithm's output is to small changes in the training data. Stability plays a crucial role in understanding generalization,…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-21 Abhinav Chakraborty , Yuetian Luo , Rina Foygel Barber

This paper studies the problem of sequential Gaussian shift-in-mean hypothesis testing in a distributed multi-agent network. A sequential probability ratio test (SPRT) type algorithm in a distributed framework of the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-09-02 Anit Kumar Sahu , Soummya Kar

While machine learning algorithms hold promise for personalised medicine, their clinical adoption remains limited, partly due to biases that can compromise the reliability of predictions. In this paper, we focus on sample selection bias…

Recent interest in the external validity of prediction models (i.e., the problem of different train and test distributions, known as dataset shift) has produced many methods for finding predictive distributions that are invariant to dataset…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-20 Adarsh Subbaswamy , Bryant Chen , Suchi Saria

The aim of this paper is to show the interest in fitting features with an $\alpha$-stable distribution to classify imperfect data. The supervised pattern recognition is thus based on the theory of continuous belief functions, which is a way…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-01-23 Anthony Fiche , Jean-Christophe Cexus , Arnaud Martin , Ali Khenchaf

Conformal prediction (CP) constructs prediction sets with marginal coverage guarantees under the assumption that the calibration and test distributions are identical. However, under distribution shift, existing approaches primarily align…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-05 Rui Xu , Xingyuan Chen , Wenxing Huang , Minxuan Huang , Weiyan Chen , Sihong Xie , Hui Xiong

Design-consistent model-assisted estimation has become the standard practice in survey sampling. However, a general theory is lacking so far, which allows one to incorporate modern machine-learning techniques that can lead to potentially…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-26 Luis Sanguiao Sande , Li-Chun Zhang

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

Research on bias in machine learning algorithms has generally been concerned with the impact of bias on predictive accuracy. We believe that there are other factors that should also play a role in the evaluation of bias. One such factor is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Peter D. Turney

Missing values are unavoidable in many applications of machine learning and present challenges both during training and at test time. When variables are missing in recurring patterns, fitting separate pattern submodels have been proposed as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-27 Lena Stempfle , Ashkan Panahi , Fredrik D. Johansson

We propose Distributionally Balanced Designs (DBD), a new class of probability sampling designs that target representativeness at the level of the full auxiliary distribution rather than selected moments. In disciplines such as ecology,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-13 Anton Grafström , Wilmer Prentius

In this paper a new decision theoretic sampling plan (DSP) is proposed for Type-I censored exponential distribution. The proposed DSP is based on a new estimator of the expected lifetime of an exponential distribution which always exists,…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-06-18 Deepak Prajapati , Sharmistha Mitra , Debasis Kundu

Machine learning (ML) models are increasingly trained in clusters with non-dedicated workers possessing heterogeneous resources. In such scenarios, model training efficiency can be negatively affected by stragglers -- workers that run much…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2020-12-09 Chen Chen , Qizhen Weng , Wei Wang , Baochun Li , Bo Li

Given a supervised machine learning problem where the training set has been subject to a known sampling bias, how can a model be trained to fit the original dataset? We achieve this through the Bayesian inference framework by altering the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-16 Max Sklar

This paper studies a risk minimization problem with decision dependent data distribution. The problem pertains to the performative prediction setting in which a trained model can affect the outcome estimated by the model. Such dependency…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-01-07 Qiang Li , Hoi-To Wai

In a regression model, prediction is typically performed after model selection. The large variability in the model selection makes the prediction unstable. Thus, it is essential to reduce the variability in model selection and improve…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-04-11 Wataru Yoshida , Kei Hirose

Estimating how uncertain an AI system is in its predictions is important to improve the safety of such systems. Uncertainty in predictive can result from uncertainty in model parameters, irreducible data uncertainty and uncertainty due to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-12-03 Andrey Malinin , Mark Gales