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相关论文: Surface Temperature Trend Estimation over 12 Sites…

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The sensitivity of climate models to increasing CO2 concentration and the climate response at decadal time scales are still major factors of uncertainty for the assessment of the long and short term effects of anthropogenic climate change.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2016-03-23 Francesco Ragone , Valerio Lucarini , Frank Lunkeit

Earth's net radiation, sometimes referred to as net flux, is the balance between incoming and outgoing solar radiation energy from the atmosphere. This study utilised five years of data on tropospheric variables (solar radiation, air…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-03-04 A. H. Olabintan , E. Lawan , T. A Oluwadare

With a warming planet, tropical regions are expected to experience the brunt of climate change, with more intense and more volatile rainfall events. Currently, state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction (NWP) models are known to struggle…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-18 Indrajit Kalita , Lucia Vilallonga , Yves Atchade

The climate belongs to the class of non-equilibrium forced and dissipative systems, for which most results of quasi-equilibrium statistical mechanics, including the fluctuation-dissipation theorem, do not apply. We show for the first time…

统计力学 · 物理学 2011-10-11 Valerio Lucarini , Stefania Sarno

Anthropogenic influences have been linked to tropical cyclone (TC) poleward migration, TC extreme precipitation, and an increased proportion of major hurricanes [1, 2, 3, 4]. Understanding past TC trends and variability is critical for…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-02-02 Buo-Fu Chen , Boyo Chen , Chun-Min Hsiao , Hsu-Feng Teng , Cheng-Shang Lee , Hung-Chi Kuo

Land surface temperature (LST) retrieval from remote sensing data is pivotal for analyzing climate processes and surface energy budgets. However, LST retrieval is an ill-posed inverse problem, which becomes particularly severe when only a…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-03-18 Tian Xie , Menghui Jiang , Huanfeng Shen , Huifang Li , Chao Zeng , Jun Ma , Guanhao Zhang , Liangpei Zhang

To answer the questions of whether global warming is accelerating and when the 1.5{\deg}C Paris Agreement target will be exceeded, the global mean surface temperature from 1880 to 2025 is first examined using a purely graphical approach and…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-04-14 Erhard Reschenhofer

The solar wind undergoes significant heating as it propagates away from the Sun; the exact mechanisms responsible for this heating are not yet fully understood. We present for the first time a statistical test for one of the proposed…

空间物理 · 物理学 2017-11-29 Daniel Vech , Kristopher G. Klein , Justin C. Kasper

This study develops a statistical conditional approach to evaluate climate model performance in wind speed and direction and to project their future changes under the representative concentration pathway 8.5 scenario over inland and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-05-09 Qiuyi Wu , Julie Bessac , Whitney Huang , Jiali Wang

We use the Global Historical Climatology Network--daily database to calculate a nonparametric statistic that describes the rate at which all-time daily high and low temperature records have been set in nine geographic regions (continents or…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2017-08-16 J. M. Finkel , J. I. Katz

This article is the second of a series of articles aiming at proving the feasibility of the forecast of all the most relevant classical atmospherical parameters for astronomical applications (wind speed and direction, temperature, relative…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2013-09-27 Franck Lascaux , Elena Masciadri , Luca Fini

We present an analysis of the meteorological data collected at Dome A, Antarctica by the Kunlun Automated Weather Station, including temperatures and wind speeds at eight elevations above the snow surface between 0m and 14.5m. The average…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2015-06-22 Yi Hu , Zhaohui Shang , Michael C. B. Ashley , Collin S. Bonner , Keliang Hu , Qiang Liu , Yuansheng Li , Bin Ma , Lifan Wang , Haikun Wen

There is an ongoing debate in the literature about whether the present global warming is increasing local and global temperature variability. The central methodological issues of this debate relate to the proper treatment of normalised…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2017-02-24 Miklos Vincze , Ion Borcia , Uwe Harlander

The last glacial period was punctuated by a series of abrupt climate shifts, the so-called Dansgaard-Oeschger (DO) events. The frequency of DO events varied in time, supposedly because of changes in background climate conditions. Here, the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2016-07-26 Takahito Mitsui , Michel Crucifix

Statistical methods are required to evaluate and quantify the uncertainty in environmental processes, such as land and sea surface temperature, in a changing climate. Typically, annual harmonics are used to characterize the variation in the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-03-17 Joshua S. North , Erin M. Schliep , Christopher K. Wikle

Variations in zonal surface temperature gradients and zonally asymmetric tropical overturning circulations (Walker circulations) are examined over a wide range of climates simulated with an idealized atmospheric general circulation model…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2015-05-19 Timothy M. Merlis , Tapio Schneider

We consider the problem of detecting gradual changes in the sequence of mean functions from a not necessarily stationary functional time series. Our approach is based on the maximum deviation (calculated over a given time interval) between…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-01-13 Patrick Bastian , Holger Dette

Limited surface observations of turbulent heat fluxes result in incomplete knowledge about the surface energy balance that drives the climate system. Here, we developed a novel, purely physics-based analytical method grounded on the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-10-12 Mayank Gupta , Martin Wild , Subimal Ghosh

The paper sought to fit an Ornstein Uhlenbeck model with seasonal mean and volatility, where the residuals are generated by a Brownian motion for Ghanian daily average temperature. This paper employed the modified Ornstein Uhlenbeck model…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-09-12 Bernard Gyamfi

A comprehensive statistical model is developed for vertical profiles of the horizontal wind and temperature throughout the troposphere based on several-years radiosonde measurements of strong winds. The profiles measured under quite…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2007-05-29 A. Virtser , I. Kupershmidt , Yu. M. Shtemler