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Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) sampling methods provide a mechanism for defining distant proposals with high acceptance probabilities in a Metropolis-Hastings framework, enabling more efficient exploration of the state space than standard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-05-13 Tianqi Chen , Emily B. Fox , Carlos Guestrin

We consider the nonparametric multivariate isotonic regression problem, where the regression function is assumed to be nondecreasing with respect to each predictor. Our goal is to construct a Bayesian credible interval for the function…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-24 Kang Wang , Subhashis Ghosal

In this paper we address the widely-experienced difficulty in tuning Hamiltonian-based Monte Carlo samplers. We develop an algorithm that allows for the adaptation of Hamiltonian and Riemann manifold Hamiltonian Monte Carlo samplers using…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-02-26 ziyu wang , Shakir Mohamed , Nando de Freitas

Gradient-based Monte Carlo sampling algorithms, like Langevin dynamics and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, are important methods for Bayesian inference. In large-scale settings, full-gradients are not affordable and thus stochastic gradients…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-25 Zhize Li , Tianyi Zhang , Shuyu Cheng , Jun Zhu , Jian Li

Traditionally, the field of computational Bayesian statistics has been divided into two main subfields: variational methods and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). In recent years, however, several methods have been proposed based on combining…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-04-19 Cheng Zhang , Babak Shahbaba , Hongkai Zhao

For modeling multivariate financial time series we propose a single factor copula model together with stochastic volatility margins. This model generalizes single factor models relying on the multivariate normal distribution and allows for…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-07-22 Alexander Kreuzer , Claudia Czado

We propose a Bayesian optimization algorithm for objective functions that are sums or integrals of expensive-to-evaluate functions, allowing noisy evaluations. These objective functions arise in multi-task Bayesian optimization for tuning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-03-26 Saul Toscano-Palmerin , Peter I. Frazier

Calibration is nowadays one of the most important processes involved in the extraction of valuable data from measurements. The current availability of an optimum data cube measured from a heterogeneous set of instruments and surveys relies…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2012-08-13 Maria Jose Marquez

This work introduces a novel multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) metamodeling approach for variance function estimation. Although devising an efficient experimental design for simulation metamodeling can be elusive, the MLMC-based approach…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-22 Jingtao Zhang , Xi Chen

The computation of integrals is a fundamental task in the analysis of functional data, which are typically considered as random elements in a space of squared integrable functions. Borrowing ideas from recent advances in the Monte Carlo…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-16 Valentin Patilea , Sunny G. W. Wang

Bayesian max-margin models have shown superiority in various practical applications, such as text categorization, collaborative prediction, social network link prediction and crowdsourcing, and they conjoin the flexibility of Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-10-19 Wenbo Hu , Jun Zhu , Bo Zhang

Time-lapse images carry out important information about dynamic changes in Earth's interior which can be inferred using different Full Waveform Inversion (FWI) schemes. The estimation process is performed by manipulating more than one…

In this work we combine two distinct machine learning methodologies, sequential Monte Carlo and Bayesian experimental design, and apply them to the problem of inferring the dynamical parameters of a quantum system. We design the algorithm…

量子物理 · 物理学 2012-10-10 Christopher E. Granade , Christopher Ferrie , Nathan Wiebe , D. G. Cory

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for evaluating the effects of changes to real-world systems. Data in these tests may be difficult to collect and outcomes may have high variance, resulting in potentially large measurement error.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-27 Benjamin Letham , Brian Karrer , Guilherme Ottoni , Eytan Bakshy

Sparse Bayesian learning has promoted many effective frameworks for brain activity decoding, especially for the reconstruction of muscle activity. However, existing sparse Bayesian learning mainly employs Gaussian distribution as error…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-07 Yuanhao Li , Badong Chen , Natsue Yoshimura , Yasuharu Koike , Okito Yamashita

Missing data are pervasive in modern functional datasets, where trajectories are often sparsely or irregularly observed. Although Functional Principal Component Analysis (FPCA) is widely used to reconstruct incomplete curves, existing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-11 Ziren Jiang , Lei Xuan , Eric F. Lock , Erjia Cui

This work introduces a new method designed for Bayesian deep learning called scalable Bayesian Monte Carlo (SBMC). The method is comprised of a model and an algorithm. The model interpolates between a point estimator and the posterior. The…

We propose a Bayesian approach to estimating parameters in multiclass functional models. Unordered multinomial probit, ordered multinomial probit and multinomial logistic models are considered. We use finite random series priors based on a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-03 Xiuqi Li , Subhashis Ghosal

For big data analysis, high computational cost for Bayesian methods often limits their applications in practice. In recent years, there have been many attempts to improve computational efficiency of Bayesian inference. Here we propose an…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-04-19 Cheng Zhang , Babak Shahbaba , Hongkai Zhao

Classical parameter-space Bayesian inference for Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) suffers from several unresolved prior issues, such as knowledge encoding intractability and pathological behaviours in deep networks, which can lead to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-11 Mengjing Wu , Junyu Xuan , Jie Lu