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Rigorous statistical methods, including parameter estimation with accompanying uncertainties, underpin the validity of scientific discovery, especially in the natural sciences. With increasingly complex data models such as deep learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-18 Aurora Grefsrud , Nello Blaser , Trygve Buanes

Anomaly localization in images -- identifying regions that deviate from normal patterns -- is vital in applications such as medical diagnosis and industrial inspection. A recent trend is the use of image generation models in anomaly…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-28 Teruyuki Katsuoka , Tomohiro Shiraishi , Daiki Miwa , Vo Nguyen Le Duy , Ichiro Takeuchi

Species distribution models (SDMs), which aim to predict species occurrence based on environmental variables, are widely used to monitor and respond to biodiversity change. Recent deep learning advances for SDMs have been shown to perform…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-14 Catherine Villeneuve , Benjamin Akera , Mélisande Teng , David Rolnick

Mobile sensing has been recently proposed for sampling spatial fields, where mobile sensors record the field along various paths for reconstruction. Classical and contemporary sampling typically assumes that the sampling locations are…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2017-11-15 Charvi Rastogi , Animesh Kumar

We propose a new active learning approach for efficiently estimating the geographic range of a species from a limited number of on the ground observations. We model the range of an unmapped species of interest as the weighted combination of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-06 Christian Lange , Elijah Cole , Grant Van Horn , Oisin Mac Aodha

Preferential sampling provides a formal modeling specification to capture the effect of bias in a set of sampling locations on inference when a geostatistical model is used to explain observed responses at the sampled locations. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-21 Shinichiro Shirota , Alan E. Gelfand

Biodiversity is declining at an unprecedented rate, impacting ecosystem services necessary to ensure food, water, and human health and well-being. Understanding the distribution of species and their habitats is crucial for conservation…

Uncertainty quantification is a critical aspect of reinforcement learning and deep learning, with numerous applications ranging from efficient exploration and stable offline reinforcement learning to outlier detection in medical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-27 Moritz A. Zanger , Pascal R. Van der Vaart , Wendelin Böhmer , Matthijs T. J. Spaan

We give a principled method for decomposing the predictive uncertainty of a model into aleatoric and epistemic components with explicit semantics relating them to the real-world data distribution. While many works in the literature have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-30 Gustaf Ahdritz , Aravind Gollakota , Parikshit Gopalan , Charlotte Peale , Udi Wieder

Due to lack of scientific understanding, some mechanisms may be missing in mathematical modeling of complex phenomena in science and engineering. These mathematical models thus contain some uncertainties such as uncertain parameters. One…

概率论 · 数学 2012-04-05 Jinqiao Duan , Ting Gao , Guowei He

Consider a researcher estimating the parameters of a regression function based on data for all 50 states in the United States or on data for all visits to a website. What is the interpretation of the estimated parameters and the standard…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-06-25 Alberto Abadie , Susan Athey , Guido W. Imbens , Jeffrey M. Wooldridge

An understanding of pedestrian dynamics is indispensable for numerous urban applications including the design of transportation networks and planing for business development. Pedestrian counting often requires utilizing manual or technical…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-10-12 Eric K. Tokuda , Yitzchak Lockerman , Gabriel B. A. Ferreira , Ethan Sorrelgreen , David Boyle , Roberto M. Cesar-Jr. , Claudio T. Silva

In this paper, we give a double twist to the problem of planning under uncertainty. State-of-the-art planners seek to minimize the localization uncertainty by only considering the geometric structure of the scene. In this paper, we argue…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2017-02-13 Gabriele Costante , Christian Forster , Jeffrey Delmerico , Paolo Valigi , Davide Scaramuzza

Uncertainty Sampling is an Active Learning strategy that aims to improve the data efficiency of machine learning models by iteratively acquiring labels of data points with the highest uncertainty. While it has proven effective for…

Accurate tree height estimation is vital for ecological monitoring and biomass assessment. We apply quantile regression to existing tree height estimation models based on satellite data to incorporate uncertainty quantification. Most…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-04-09 Karsten Schrödter , Jan Pauls , Fabian Gieseke

Density of the reachable states can help understand the risk of safety-critical systems, especially in situations when worst-case reachability is too conservative. Recent work provides a data-driven approach to compute the density…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2022-09-19 Yue Meng , Zeng Qiu , Md Tawhid Bin Waez , Chuchu Fan

Cooperative geolocation has attracted significant research interests in recent years. A large number of localization algorithms rely on the availability of statistical knowledge of measurement errors, which is often difficult to obtain in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-01-05 Xiufang Shi , Guoqiang Mao , Brian. D. O. Anderson , Zaiyue Yang , Jiming Chen

The automation of data collection via mobile robots holds promise for increasing the efficacy of environmental investigations, but requires the system to autonomously determine how to sample the environment while avoiding obstacles.…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2022-07-14 Hannah He , Joe Norby , Sean Wang , Natasha Sihota , Thomas P. Hoelen , Gregory V. Lowry , Aaron M. Johnson

Knowing where people live is a fundamental component of many decision making processes such as urban development, infectious disease containment, evacuation planning, risk management, conservation planning, and more. While bottom-up, survey…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-08-31 Caleb Robinson , Fred Hohman , Bistra Dilkina

In this paper, we propose an uncertainty-aware learning from demonstration method by presenting a novel uncertainty estimation method utilizing a mixture density network appropriate for modeling complex and noisy human behaviors. The…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-12-21 Sungjoon Choi , Kyungjae Lee , Sungbin Lim , Songhwai Oh