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Machine-learning algorithms have gained popularity in recent years in the field of ecological modeling due to their promising results in predictive performance of classification problems. While the application of such algorithms has been…

Two key tasks in high-dimensional regularized regression are tuning the regularization strength for accurate predictions and estimating the out-of-sample risk. It is known that the standard approach -- $k$-fold cross-validation -- is…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-24 Kevin Luo , Yufan Li , Pragya Sur

In spite of considerable practical importance, current algorithmic fairness literature lacks technical methods to account for underlying geographic dependency while evaluating or mitigating bias issues for spatial data. We initiate the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-01-31 Subhabrata Majumdar , Cheryl Flynn , Ritwik Mitra

The label-free model evaluation aims to predict the model performance on various test sets without relying on ground truths. The main challenge of this task is the absence of labels in the test data, unlike in classical supervised model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-20 Shuyu Miao , Lin Zheng , Jingjing Liu , and Hong Jin

Cross-validation can be used to measure a model's predictive accuracy for the purpose of model comparison, averaging, or selection. Standard leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO-CV) requires that the observation model can be factorized into…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-21 Paul-Christian Bürkner , Jonah Gabry , Aki Vehtari

We consider the scenario where one observes an outcome variable and sets of features from multiple assays, all measured on the same set of samples. One approach that has been proposed for dealing with this type of data is ``sparse multiple…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2014-01-24 Samuel M. Gross , Robert Tibshirani

As a regression technique in spatial statistics, the spatiotemporally varying coefficient model (STVC) is an important tool for discovering nonstationary and interpretable response-covariate associations over both space and time. However,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-17 Mengying Lei , Aurelie Labbe , Lijun Sun

Existing self-supervised learning (SSL) methods primarily learn object-invariant representations but often neglect the spatial structure and relationships among object parts. To address this limitation, we introduce Spatial Prediction (SP),…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Yang Shen , Yusen Cai , Weronika Hryniewska-Guzik , Qing Lin , Mengmi Zhang

The generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution is a popular model for analyzing and forecasting extreme weather data. To increase prediction accuracy, spatial information is often pooled via a latent Gaussian process (GP) on the GEV…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-20 Meixi Chen , Reza Ramezan , Martin Lysy

Vovk (2015) introduced cross-conformal prediction, a modification of split conformal designed to improve the width of prediction sets. The method, when trained with a miscoverage rate equal to $\alpha$ and $n \gg K$, ensures a marginal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-22 Matteo Gasparin , Aaditya Ramdas

Economic models produce moment inequalities, which can be used to form tests of the true parameters. Confidence sets (CS) of the true parameters are derived by inverting these tests. However, they often lack analytical expressions,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-14 Lujie Zhou

Reliable uncertainty quantification at unobserved spatial locations, especially in the presence of complex and heterogeneous datasets, remains a core challenge in spatial statistics. Traditional approaches like Kriging rely heavily on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-18 Hanyang Jiang , Yao Xie

Cross-validation plays a fundamental role in Machine Learning, enabling robust evaluation of model performance and preventing overestimation on training and validation data. However, one of its drawbacks is the potential to create data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-28 Afonso Martini Spezia , Thomas Fontanari , Mariana Recamonde-Mendoza

Cross-validation is a popular non-parametric method for evaluating the accuracy of a predictive rule. The usefulness of cross-validation depends on the task we want to employ it for. In this note, I discuss a simple non-parametric setting,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-27 Stefan Wager

Many varieties of cross validation would be statistically appealing for the estimation of smoothing and other penalized regression hyperparameters, were it not for the high cost of evaluating such criteria. Here it is shown how to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-06 Simon N. Wood

Motivated by recent work on studying massive imaging data in various neuroimaging studies, we propose a novel spatially varying coefficient model (SVCM) to spatially model the varying association between imaging measures in a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-01 Hongtu Zhu , Jianqing Fan , Linglong Kong

Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator or Lasso is one of the widely used regularization methods in regression. Statisticians usually implement Lasso in practice by choosing the penalty parameter in a data-dependent way, the most…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-08 Mayukh Choudhury , Debraj Das

Recent years have seen substantial advances in our understanding of high-dimensional ridge regression, but existing theories assume that training examples are independent. By leveraging techniques from random matrix theory and free…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-06 Alexander Atanasov , Jacob A. Zavatone-Veth , Cengiz Pehlevan

Support vector machine (SVM) is a well-known statistical technique for classification problems in machine learning and other fields. An important question for SVM is the selection of covariates (or features) for the model. Many studies have…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-22 Jiahui Zou , Chaoxia Yuan , Xinyu Zhang , Guohua Zou , Alan T. K. Wan

Spatial concurrent linear models, in which the model coefficients are spatial processes varying at a local level, are flexible and useful tools for analyzing spatial data. One approach places stationary Gaussian process priors on the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-02-03 Zuofeng Shang , Murray K. Clayton