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Multivariate time series forecasting is an important machine learning problem across many domains, including predictions of solar plant energy output, electricity consumption, and traffic jam situation. Temporal data arise in these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-04-20 Guokun Lai , Wei-Cheng Chang , Yiming Yang , Hanxiao Liu

We present generalized additive latent and mixed models (GALAMMs) for analysis of clustered data with responses and latent variables depending smoothly on observed variables. A scalable maximum likelihood estimation algorithm is proposed,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-29 Øystein Sørensen , Anders M. Fjell , Kristine B. Walhovd

This paper investigates an optimal integration of deep learning with financial models for robust asset price forecasting. Specifically, we developed a hybrid framework combining a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network with the Merton-L\'evy…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-12-10 Mohammed Alruqimi , Luca Di Persio

To plan safe and comfortable trajectories for automated vehicles on highways, accurate predictions of traffic situations are needed. So far, a lot of research effort has been spent on detecting lane change maneuvers rather than on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-17 Florian Wirthmüller , Marvin Klimke , Julian Schlechtriemen , Jochen Hipp , Manfred Reichert

This paper demonstrates the potentials of the long short-term memory (LSTM) when applyingwith macroeconomic time series data sampled at different frequencies. We first present how theconventional LSTM model can be adapted to the time series…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-09-29 Sarun Kamolthip

Real-time motion prediction of a vessel or a floating platform can help to improve the performance of motion compensation systems. It can also provide useful early-warning information for offshore operations that are critical with regard to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-12 Xiaoxian Guo , Xiantao Zhang , Xinliang Tian , Xin Li , Wenyue Lu

This paper is based on a machine learning project at the Norwegian University of Science and Technology, fall 2020. The project was initiated with a literature review on the latest developments within time-series forecasting methods in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-17 Christian Bakke Vennerød , Adrian Kjærran , Erling Stray Bugge

A comparative analysis of deep learning models and traditional statistical methods for stock price prediction uses data from the Nigerian stock exchange. Historical data, including daily prices and trading volumes, are employed to implement…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-10-11 Opeyemi Sheu Alamu , Md Kamrul Siam

We propose a method for obtaining joint probabilistic projections of migration rates for all countries, broken down by age and sex. Joint trajectories for all countries are constrained to satisfy the requirement of zero global net…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-10-29 Jonathan J. Azose , Adrian E. Raftery

The United Nations is the major organization producing and regularly updating probabilistic population projections for all countries. International migration is a critical component of such projections, and between-country correlations are…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-05-30 Jonathan J. Azose , Adrian E. Raftery

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in diverse fields, necessitating the development of robust models that can effectively handle complex temporal patterns. In this article, we present a novel feature selection method embedded in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-01 Raquel Espinosa , Fernando Jiménez , José Palma

Forecasting time series data is an important subject in economics, business, and finance. Traditionally, there are several techniques to effectively forecast the next lag of time series data such as univariate Autoregressive (AR),…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-05 Sima Siami-Namini , Akbar Siami Namin

We have applied a Long Short-Term Memory neural network to model S&P 500 volatility, incorporating Google domestic trends as indicators of the public mood and macroeconomic factors. In a held-out test set, our Long Short-Term Memory model…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2016-02-17 Ruoxuan Xiong , Eric P. Nichols , Yuan Shen

Flooding is the most devastating phenomenon occurring globally, particularly in mountainous regions, risk dramatically increases due to complex terrains and extreme climate changes. These situations are damaging livelihoods, agriculture,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-05-27 Haleema Bibi , Sadia Saleem , Zakia Jalil , Muhammad Nasir , Tahani Alsubait

The advent of ChatGPT and similar large language models (LLMs) has revolutionized the human-AI interaction and information-seeking process. Leveraging LLMs as an alternative to search engines, users can now access summarized information…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2024-04-18 Ben Wang

Understanding urban mobility patterns and analyzing how people move around cities helps improve the overall quality of life and supports the development of more livable, efficient, and sustainable urban areas. A challenging aspect of this…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-09-05 Prabin Bhandari , Antonios Anastasopoulos , Dieter Pfoser

Long-term investors, different from short-term traders, focus on examining the underlying forces that affect the well-being of a company. They rely on fundamental analysis which attempts to measure the intrinsic value an equity.…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2019-05-14 Jessie Sun

With large quantities of data typically available nowadays, forecasting models that are trained across sets of time series, known as Global Forecasting Models (GFM), are regularly outperforming traditional univariate forecasting models that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-22 Rakshitha Godahewa , Kasun Bandara , Geoffrey I. Webb , Slawek Smyl , Christoph Bergmeir

In this paper, we employ the long-short-term memory model (LSTM) to predict the real-time go-around probability as an arrival flight is approaching JFK airport and within 10 nm of the landing runway threshold. We further develop methods to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-05-22 Ke Liu , Kaijing Ding , Lu Dai , Mark Hansen , Kennis Chan , John Schade

As various mobile devices and location-based services are increasingly developed in different smart city scenarios and applications, many unexpected privacy leakages have arisen due to geolocated data collection and sharing. While these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-20 Yuting Zhan , Alex Kyllo , Afra Mashhadi , Hamed Haddadi