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Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a powerful Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for sampling from complex high-dimensional continuous distributions. However, in many situations it is necessary or desirable to combine HMC with other…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-01-24 Guangyao Zhou

We consider parallel asynchronous Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for problems where we can leverage (stochastic) gradients to define continuous dynamics which explore the target distribution. We outline a solution strategy for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-12-09 Jost Tobias Springenberg , Aaron Klein , Stefan Falkner , Frank Hutter

The Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm is one of the most widely used Markov Chain Monte Carlo schemes for generating samples from Bayesian posterior distributions. The algorithm is asymptotically exact, flexible and easy to implement.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-10 Estevão Prado , Christopher Nemeth , Chris Sherlock

Variational inference techniques based on inducing variables provide an elegant framework for scalable posterior estimation in Gaussian process (GP) models. Besides enabling scalability, one of their main advantages over sparse…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-24 Simone Rossi , Markus Heinonen , Edwin V. Bonilla , Zheyang Shen , Maurizio Filippone

Survival models are used to analyze time-to-event data in a variety of disciplines. Proportional hazard models provide interpretable parameter estimates, but proportional hazards assumptions are not always appropriate. Non-parametric models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-08 Richard D. Payne , Nilabja Guha , Bani K. Mallick

Estimation and prediction in high dimensional multivariate factor stochastic volatility models is an important and active research area because such models allow a parsimonious representation of multivariate stochastic volatility. Bayesian…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-04-27 David Gunawan , Robert Kohn , David Nott

We develop a new method to sample from posterior distributions in hierarchical models without using Markov chain Monte Carlo. This method, which is a variant of importance sampling ideas, is generally applicable to high-dimensional models…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-19 Michael Braun , Paul Damien

Parameter inference is a fundamental problem in data-driven modeling. Given observed data that is believed to be a realization of some parameterized model, the aim is to find parameter values that are able to explain the observed data. In…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2016-04-20 Carlo Albert , Simone Ulzega , Ruedi Stoop

Although the Laplace approximation offers a simple route to uncertainty quantification in deep neural networks, its reliance on inverting large Hessian matrices has motivated a range of computationally feasible low-dimensional or sparse…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Swarnali Raha , Kshitij Khare , Rohit K Patra

Factors models are routinely used to analyze high-dimensional data in both single-study and multi-study settings. Bayesian inference for such models relies on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods which scale poorly as the number of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-29 Blake Hansen , Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco , Massimiliano Russo , Roberta De Vito

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a powerful Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for estimating expectations with respect to continuous un-normalized probability distributions. MCMC estimators typically have higher variance than…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-03-04 Dan Piponi , Matthew D. Hoffman , Pavel Sountsov

We consider the problem of learning a conditional Gaussian graphical model in the presence of latent variables. Building on recent advances in this field, we suggest a method that decomposes the parameters of a conditional Markov random…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-07 Benjamin Frot , Luke Jostins , Gil McVean

We introduce an extension to annealed importance sampling that uses Hamiltonian dynamics to rapidly estimate normalization constants. We demonstrate this method by computing log likelihoods in directed and undirected probabilistic image…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-05-10 Jascha Sohl-Dickstein , Benjamin J. Culpepper

Discrete data are abundant and often arise as counts or rounded data. These data commonly exhibit complex distributional features such as zero-inflation, over-/under-dispersion, boundedness, and heaping, which render many parametric models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-27 Daniel R. Kowal , Bohan Wu

In variational inference, the benefits of Bayesian models rely on accurately capturing the true posterior distribution. We propose using neural samplers that specify implicit distributions, which are well-suited for approximating complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-10 Anshuk Uppal , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen

Bayesian inference is useful to obtain a predictive distribution with a small generalization error. However, since posterior distributions are rarely evaluated analytically, we employ the variational Bayesian inference or sampling method to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Yohei Saito , Shun Kimura , Koujin Takeda

Bayesian inference often relies on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, particularly required for non-Gaussian data families. When dealing with complex hierarchical models, the MCMC approach can be computationally demanding in workflows…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Esmail Abdul Fattah , Elias Krainski , Havard Rue

We show how the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithm can sometimes be speeded up by "splitting" the Hamiltonian in a way that allows much of the movement around the state space to be done at low computational cost. One context where this is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-07-17 Babak Shahbaba , Shiwei Lan , Wesley O. Johnson , Radford M. Neal

Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) have recently been highly successful at imputing and acquiring heterogeneous missing data. However, within this specific application domain, existing VAE methods are restricted by using only one layer of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-23 Ignacio Peis , Chao Ma , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

We propose a new framework for Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) on truncated probability distributions with smooth underlying density functions. Traditional HMC requires computing the gradient of potential function associated with the target…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-09-12 Kexin Yi , Finale Doshi-Velez