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相关论文: Instrumental Variable Estimation of Marginal Struc…

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Marginal Structural Models (MSMs) are popular for causal inference of sequential treatments in longitudinal observational studies, which however are sensitive to model misspecification. To achieve flexible modeling, we envision the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-21 Chenyin Gao , Han Chen , Anru R. Zhang , Shu Yang

Evaluating the effects of time-varying exposures is essential for longitudinal studies. The effect estimation becomes increasingly challenging when dealing with hundreds of time-dependent confounders. We propose a Marginal Structure…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-21 Zhiwei Zhao , Chixiang Chen , Shuo Chen

Marginal structural models (MSMs) are commonly used to estimate causal intervention effects in longitudinal non-randomised studies. A common issue when analysing data from observational studies is the presence of incomplete confounder data,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-12-02 Clemence Leyrat , James R Carpenter , Sebastien Bailly , Elizabeth J Willamson

The three state illness death model has been established as a general approach for regression analysis of semi competing risks data. For observational data the marginal structural models (MSM) are a useful tool, under the potential outcomes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-20 Yiran Zhang , Andrew Ying , Steve Edland , Lon White , Ronghui Xu

When making causal inferences, post-treatment confounders complicate analyses of time-varying treatment effects. Conditioning on these variables naively to estimate marginal effects may inappropriately block causal pathways and may induce…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-04-02 Xiang Zhou , Geoffrey T. Wodtke

In large observational studies, the case-cohort design is commonly used to reduce the cost associated with covariate measurement. For survival outcomes, literature has suggested that the restricted mean survival time (RMST) be a more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-08 Andy Ni , Wei-En Lu , Bo Lu

The marginal structure quantile model (MSQM) provides a unique lens to understand the causal effect of a time-varying treatment on the full distribution of potential outcomes. Under the semiparametric framework, we derive the efficiency…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-13 Chao Cheng , Liangyuan Hu , Fan Li

In observational studies, treatments are typically not randomized and therefore estimated treatment effects may be subject to confounding bias. The instrumental variable (IV) design plays the role of a quasi-experimental handle since the IV…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-30 Lan Liu , Wang Miao , Baoluo Sun , James Robins , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

We introduce several methods for assessing sensitivity to unmeasured confounding in marginal structural models; importantly we allow treatments to be discrete or continuous, static or time-varying. We consider three sensitivity models: a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-12 Matteo Bonvini , Edward Kennedy , Valerie Ventura , Larry Wasserman

In the standard difference-in-differences research design, the parallel trends assumption may be violated when the relationship between the exposure trend and the outcome trend is confounded by unmeasured confounders. Progress can be made…

Causal inference in multivariate time series is challenging due to the fact that the sampling rate may not be as fast as the timescale of the causal interactions. In this context, we can view our observed series as a subsampled version of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-11 Alex Tank , Emily B. Fox , Ali Shojaie

In this paper, we discuss causal inference on the efficacy of a treatment or medication on a time-to-event outcome with competing risks. Although the treatment group can be randomized, there can be confoundings between the compliance and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-06 Cheng Zheng , Ran Dai , Parameswaran Hari , Mei-Jie Zhang

Instrumental variables analysis using genetic markers as instruments is now a widely used technique in epidemiology and biostatistics. As single markers tend to explain only a small proportion of phenotypic variation, there is increasing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-04-09 Paul S. Clarke , Tom M. Palmer , Frank Windmeijer

There is a growing literature on estimating effects of treatment strategies based on the natural treatment that would have been received in the absence of intervention, often dubbed `modified treatment policies' (MTPs). MTPs are sometimes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-08 Zach Shahn

Instrumental variable methods have been widely used to identify causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. A key identification condition known as the exclusion restriction states that the instrument cannot have a direct…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-05 Baoluo Sun , Yifan Cui , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

In longitudinal observational studies, marginal structural models (MSMs) are a class of causal models used to analyse the effect of an exposure on the (time-to-event) outcome of interest, while accounting for exposure-affected…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-04 Marta Spreafico

To draw real-world evidence about the comparative effectiveness of multiple time-varying treatments on patient survival, we develop a joint marginal structural survival model and a novel weighting strategy to account for time-varying…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-08 Liangyuan Hu , Jiayi Ji , Himanshu Joshi , Erick Scott , Fan Li

Marginal structural models fit via inverse probability of treatment weighting are commonly used to control for confounding when estimating causal effects from observational data. When planning a study that will be analyzed with marginal…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-03-16 Bonnie E. Shook-Sa , Michael G. Hudgens

Marginal structural models (MSM) with inverse probability weighting (IPW) are used to estimate causal effects of time-varying treatments, but can result in erratic finite-sample performance when there is low overlap in covariate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-16 Shirley Liao , Lucas Henneman , Corwin Zigler

In this work, we propose the marginal structured SVM (MSSVM) for structured prediction with hidden variables. MSSVM properly accounts for the uncertainty of hidden variables, and can significantly outperform the previously proposed latent…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-09-09 Wei Ping , Qiang Liu , Alexander Ihler