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Through sequential construction of posteriors on observing data online, Bayes' theorem provides a natural framework for continual learning. We develop Variational Auto-Regressive Gaussian Processes (VAR-GPs), a principled posterior updating…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-15 Sanyam Kapoor , Theofanis Karaletsos , Thang D. Bui

Considering a probability distribution over parameters is known as an efficient strategy to learn a neural network with non-differentiable activation functions. We study the expectation of a probabilistic neural network as a predictor by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-17 Louis Fortier-Dubois , Gaël Letarte , Benjamin Leblanc , François Laviolette , Pascal Germain

We present an objective Bayes method for covariance selection in Gaussian multivariate regression models whose error term has a covariance structure which is Markov with respect to a Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG). The scope is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-10-09 G. Consonni , L. La Rocca

Gaussian graphical models are widely used to infer dependence structures. Bayesian methods are appealing to quantify uncertainty associated with structural learning, i.e., the plausibility of conditional independence statements given the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-05 Deborah Sulem , Jack Jewson , David Rossell

While stochastic variational inference is relatively well known for scaling inference in Bayesian probabilistic models, related methods also offer ways to circumnavigate the approximation of analytically intractable expectations. The key…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-09-08 David A. Knowles

Gaussian graphical regressions have emerged as a powerful approach for regressing the precision matrix of a Gaussian graphical model on covariates, which, unlike traditional Gaussian graphical models, can help determine how graphs are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-17 Xuran Meng , Jingfei Zhang , Yi Li

Variational Bayes (VB) is rapidly becoming a popular tool for Bayesian inference in statistical modeling. However, the existing VB algorithms are restricted to cases where the likelihood is tractable, which precludes the use of VB in many…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-05 Minh-Ngoc Tran , David J. Nott , Robert Kohn

Infinitely wide or deep neural networks (NNs) with independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) parameters have been shown to be equivalent to Gaussian processes. Because of the favorable properties of Gaussian processes, this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-24 Steven Adams , Andrea Patanè , Morteza Lahijanian , Luca Laurenti

Bayesian neural network models (BNN) have re-surged in recent years due to the advancement of scalable computations and its utility in solving complex prediction problems in a wide variety of applications. Despite the popularity and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-20 Shrijita Bhattacharya , Zihuan Liu , Tapabrata Maiti

The growing availability of large and complex datasets has increased interest in temporal stochastic processes that can capture stylized facts such as marginal skewness, non-Gaussian tails, long memory, and even non-Markovian dynamics.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-09 Dan Leonte , Raphaël Huser , Almut E. D. Veraart

This paper describes a new algorithm for exact Bayesian inference that is based on a recently proposed compositional semantics of Bayesian networks in terms of channels. The paper concentrates on the ideas behind this algorithm, involving a…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-04-24 Bart Jacobs

Deep learning has revolutionized the last decade, being at the forefront of extraordinary advances in a wide range of tasks including computer vision, natural language processing, and reinforcement learning, to name but a few. However, it…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-24 Sebastian W. Ober

Approximate Bayesian inference for the class of latent Gaussian models can be achieved efficiently with integrated nested Laplace approximations (INLA). Based on recent reformulations in the INLA methodology, we propose a further extension…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-27 Shourya Dutta , Janet van Niekerk , Haavard Rue

Bayesian inference allows us to define a posterior distribution over the weights of a generic neural network (NN). Exact posteriors are usually intractable, in which case approximations can be employed. One such approximation - variational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-30 Andrew Millard , Joshua Murphy , Peter Green , Simon Maskell

Learning to infer Bayesian posterior from a few-shot dataset is an important step towards robust meta-learning due to the model uncertainty inherent in the problem. In this paper, we propose a novel Bayesian model-agnostic meta-learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-20 Taesup Kim , Jaesik Yoon , Ousmane Dia , Sungwoong Kim , Yoshua Bengio , Sungjin Ahn

We propose an efficient transfer Bayesian optimization method, which finds the maximum of an expensive-to-evaluate black-box function by using data on related optimization tasks. Our method uses auxiliary information that represents the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-18 Tomoharu Iwata , Takuma Otsuka

Neural-net-induced Gaussian process (NNGP) regression inherits both the high expressivity of deep neural networks (deep NNs) as well as the uncertainty quantification property of Gaussian processes (GPs). We generalize the current NNGP to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-27 Guofei Pang , Liu Yang , George Em Karniadakis

Large neural networks trained on large datasets have become the dominant paradigm in machine learning. These systems rely on maximum likelihood point estimates of their parameters, precluding them from expressing model uncertainty. This may…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-01 Javier Antoran

We present Active Learning for Accelerated Bayesian Inference (\texttt{alabi}): an open-source Python package for performing Bayesian inference with computationally expensive models. Given a forward model and observational data to construct…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2026-03-20 Jessica Birky , Rory K. Barnes

Variational autoencoder (VAE) is a very successful generative model whose key element is the so called amortized inference network, which can perform test time inference using a single feed forward pass. Unfortunately, this comes at the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-08 Minyoung Kim , Vladimir Pavlovic
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