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We propose a flexible nonparametric Bayesian modelling framework for multivariate time series of count data based on tensor factorisations. Our models can be viewed as infinite state space Markov chains of known maximal order with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-13 Zhongzhen Wang , Petros Dellaportas , Ioannis Kosmidis

In this paper we introduce a novel framework for making exact nonparametric Bayesian inference on latent functions, that is particularly suitable for Big Data tasks. Firstly, we introduce a class of stochastic processes we refer to as…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-08-22 Yves-Laurent Kom Samo , Stephen Roberts

In this work, we will investigate a Bayesian approach to estimating the parameters of long memory models. Long memory, characterized by the phenomenon of hyperbolic autocorrelation decay in time series, has garnered significant attention.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-19 Clara Grazian

Recurrent event data are common in clinical studies when participants are followed longitudinally, and are often subject to a terminal event. With the increasing popularity of large pragmatic trials with a heterogeneous source population,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-06 Xinyuan Tian , Maria Ciarleglio , Jiachen Cai , Erich Greene , Denise Esserman , Fan Li , Yize Zhao

Inspired by the use of random projections in biological sensing systems, we present a new algorithm for processing data in classification problems. This is based on observations of the human brain and the fruit fly's olfactory system and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-28 Nina Dekoninck Bruhin , Bryn Davies

The behavior of many Bayesian models used in machine learning critically depends on the choice of prior distributions, controlled by some hyperparameters that are typically selected by Bayesian optimization or cross-validation. This…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-09 Eliezer de Souza da Silva , Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Marcelo Hartmann , Arto Klami

Non-negative tensor factorization models enable predictive analysis on count data. Among them, Bayesian Poisson-Gamma models can derive full posterior distributions of latent factors and are less sensitive to sparse count data. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-15 Yuan Jin , Ming Liu , Yunfeng Li , Ruohua Xu , Lan Du , Longxiang Gao , Yong Xiang

Researches on sequential vocalization often require analysis of vocalizations in long continuous sounds. In such studies as developmental ones or studies across generations in which days or months of vocalizations must be analyzed, methods…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2016-09-28 Takuya Koumura , Kazuo Okanoya

Variational Bayesian neural nets combine the flexibility of deep learning with Bayesian uncertainty estimation. Unfortunately, there is a tradeoff between cheap but simple variational families (e.g.~fully factorized) or expensive and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-02-27 Guodong Zhang , Shengyang Sun , David Duvenaud , Roger Grosse

We develop an automated variational method for inference in models with Gaussian process (GP) priors and general likelihoods. The method supports multiple outputs and multiple latent functions and does not require detailed knowledge of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-11-06 Edwin V. Bonilla , Karl Krauth , Amir Dezfouli

Multivariate data that combine binary, categorical, count and continuous outcomes are common in the social and health sciences. We propose a semiparametric Bayesian latent variable model for multivariate data of arbitrary type that does not…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-01-14 Jonathan Gruhl , Elena A. Erosheva , Paul K. Crane

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods provide an elaborate approach to Bayesian inference on complex models, including model choice. Both theoretical arguments and simulation experiments indicate, however, that model posterior…

The advances in variational inference are providing promising paths in Bayesian estimation problems. These advances make variational phylogenetic inference an alternative approach to Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods for approximating the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-09-12 Amine M. Remita , Golrokh Vitae , Abdoulaye Baniré Diallo

We introduce a new approach to probabilistic unsupervised learning based on the recognition-parametrised model (RPM): a normalised semi-parametric hypothesis class for joint distributions over observed and latent variables. Under the key…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-21 William I. Walker , Hugo Soulat , Changmin Yu , Maneesh Sahani

Environmental phenomena are influenced by complex interactions among various factors. For instance, the amount of rainfall measured at different stations within a given area is shaped by atmospheric conditions, orography, and physics of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-01-16 Paolo Onorati , Antonio Canale

Deep directed generative models have attracted much attention recently due to their expressive representation power and the ability of ancestral sampling. One major difficulty of learning directed models with many latent variables is the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-06-16 Siqi Nie , Qiang Ji

A variational inference-based framework for training a multi-output Gaussian process latent variable model, specifically tailored to the tails-up spatio-temporal stream network, is developed. Training, given a censored observational data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-21 Marno Basson , Tobias M. Louw , Theresa R. Smith

Animal vocalizations provide crucial insights for wildlife assessment, particularly in complex environments such as forests, aiding species identification and ecological monitoring. Recent advances in deep learning have enabled automatic…

声音 · 计算机科学 2026-03-24 Risa Shinoda , Kaede Shiohara , Nakamasa Inoue , Hiroaki Santo , Fumio Okura

Analysing non-Gaussian spatial-temporal data requires introducing spatial as well as temporal dependence in generalised linear models through the link function of an exponential family distribution. Unlike in Gaussian likelihoods, inference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-29 Soumyakanti Pan , Lu Zhang , Jonathan R. Bradley , Sudipto Banerjee

We propose a scalable semiparametric Bayesian model to capture dependencies among multiple neurons by detecting their co-firing (possibly with some lag time) patterns over time. After discretizing time so there is at most one spike at each…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-06-22 Babak Shahbaba , Bo Zhou , Shiwei Lan , Hernando Ombao , David Moorman , Sam Behseta