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Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is challenging due to complex time series (TS) which express three seasonal patterns and a nonlinear trend. This paper proposes a novel hybrid hierarchical deep learning model that deals with multiple…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-07 Slawek Smyl , Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka

Time series forecasting based on deep architectures has been gaining popularity in recent years due to their ability to model complex non-linear temporal dynamics. The recurrent neural network is one such model capable of handling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-28 Zexuan Yin , Paolo Barucca

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) have become competitive forecasting methods, as most notably shown in the winning method of the recent M4 competition. However, established statistical models such as ETS and ARIMA gain their popularity not…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-24 Hansika Hewamalage , Christoph Bergmeir , Kasun Bandara

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are more suitable for learning non-linear dependencies in dynamical systems from observed time series data. In practice all the external variables driving such systems are not known a priori, especially in…

With the advent of Big Data, nowadays in many applications databases containing large quantities of similar time series are available. Forecasting time series in these domains with traditional univariate forecasting procedures leaves great…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-09-13 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are state-of-the-art in several sequential learning tasks, but they often require considerable amounts of data to generalise well. For many time series forecasting (TSF) tasks, only a few dozens of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-30 Bernardo Pérez Orozco , Stephen J Roberts

Time series forecasting is an active research topic in academia as well as industry. Although we see an increasing amount of adoptions of machine learning methods in solving some of those forecasting challenges, statistical methods remain…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-01-26 Edwin Ng , Zhishi Wang , Huigang Chen , Steve Yang , Slawek Smyl

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are nonlinear dynamical models commonly used in the machine learning and dynamical systems literature to represent complex dynamical or sequential relationships between variables. More recently, as deep…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-08 Patrick L. McDermott , Christopher K. Wikle

An iterated multistep forecasting scheme based on recurrent neural networks (RNN) is proposed for the time series generated by causal chains with infinite memory. This forecasting strategy contains, as a particular case, the iterative…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-03-21 Lyudmila Grigoryeva , James Louw , Juan-Pablo Ortega

Neural forecasting of spatiotemporal time series drives both research and industrial innovation in several relevant application domains. Graph neural networks (GNNs) are often the core component of the forecasting architecture. However, in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-21 Andrea Cini , Ivan Marisca , Filippo Maria Bianchi , Cesare Alippi

Spatio-temporal data and processes are prevalent across a wide variety of scientific disciplines. These processes are often characterized by nonlinear time dynamics that include interactions across multiple scales of spatial and temporal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-08-18 Patrick L. McDermott , Christopher K. Wikle

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) provide a powerful approach in neuroscience to infer latent dynamics in neural populations and to generate hypotheses about the neural computations underlying behavior. However, past work has focused on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-30 Elia Torre , Michele Viscione , Lucas Pompe , Benjamin F Grewe , Valerio Mante

Understanding the intricate operations of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) mechanistically is pivotal for advancing their capabilities and applications. In this pursuit, we propose the Episodic Memory Theory (EMT), illustrating that RNNs…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2023-10-05 Arjun Karuvally , Peter Delmastro , Hava T. Siegelmann

Long time series forecasting aims to utilize historical information to forecast future states over extended horizons. Traditional RNN-based series forecasting methods struggle to effectively address long-term dependencies and gradient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-06 GaoXiang Zhao , Li Zhou , XiaoQiang Wang

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in contemporary engineering information systems for supporting decision-making across various industries, where Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) have been widely adopted due to their capability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-14 Xin Lai , Shiming Deng , Lu Yu , Yumin Lai , Shenghao Qiao , Xinze Zhang

Many real-world datasets are time series that are sequentially collected and contain rich temporal information. Thus, a common interest in practice is to capture dynamics of time series and predict their future evolutions. To this end, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-12 Yifan Zhou , Yibo Wang , Chao Shang

Recent research demonstrate that prediction of time series by recurrent neural networks (RNNs) based on the noisy input generates a smooth anticipated trajectory. We examine the internal dynamics of RNNs and establish a set of conditions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-07 Boris Rubinstein

Temporal data modelling techniques with neural networks are useful in many domain applications, including time-series forecasting and control engineering. This paper aims at developing a recurrent version of stochastic configuration…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-03 Dianhui Wang , Gang Dang

Deep learning (DL) in general and Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) in particular have seen high success levels in sequence based applications. This paper pertains to RNNs for time series modelling and forecasting. We propose a novel RNN…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-12 Avinash Achar , Soumen Pachal

The key component in forecasting demand and consumption of resources in a supply network is an accurate prediction of real-valued time series. Indeed, both service interruptions and resource waste can be reduced with the implementation of…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-07-24 Filippo Maria Bianchi , Enrico Maiorino , Michael C. Kampffmeyer , Antonello Rizzi , Robert Jenssen
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