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This paper explores uncertainty quantification (UQ) as an indicator of the trustworthiness of automated deep-learning (DL) tools in the context of white matter lesion (WML) segmentation from magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans of…

Nuclear density functional theory (DFT) is one of the main theoretical tools used to study the properties of heavy and superheavy elements, or to describe the structure of nuclei far from stability. While on-going efforts seek to better…

核理论 · 物理学 2015-12-23 N. Schunck , J. D. McDonnell , D. Higdon , J. Sarich , S. M. Wild

Large scale validation and uncertainty quantification are essential in the experimental design, control, and operations of fusion reactors. Reduced models and increasing computational power means that it is possible to run many simulations,…

等离子体物理 · 物理学 2025-01-22 Victor Azizi , Stef Smeets , Florian Koechl , Francis Casson , Jonathan Citrin , Aaron Ho

This review is designed to introduce mathematicians and computational scientists to quantum computing (QC) through the lens of uncertainty quantification (UQ) by presenting a mathematically rigorous and accessible narrative for…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-03-30 Ryan Bennink , Olena Burkovska , Konstantin Pieper , Jorge Ramirez , Elaine Wong

Graphical models have demonstrated their exceptional capabilities across numerous applications. However, their performance, confidence, and trustworthiness are often limited by the inherent randomness in data generation and the lack of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-15 Chao Chen , Chenghua Guo , Rui Xu , Jiujiu Chen , Xiangwen Liao , Xi Zhang , Sihong Xie , Hui Xiong , Philip Yu

Deep learning models for semantic segmentation are prone to poor performance in real-world applications due to the highly challenging nature of the task. Model uncertainty quantification (UQ) is one way to address this issue of lack of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-11-04 Rishabh Singh , Jose C. Principe

Machine learning methods are increasingly widely used in high-risk settings such as healthcare, transportation, and finance. In these settings, it is important that a model produces calibrated uncertainty to reflect its own confidence and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-09-09 Sophia Sun

Neural Network (NN) models provide potential to speed up the drug discovery process and reduce its failure rates. The success of NN models require uncertainty quantification (UQ) as drug discovery explores chemical space beyond the training…

Mathematical models are essential tools to study how the cardiovascular system maintains homeostasis. The utility of such models is limited by the accuracy of their predictions, which can be determined by uncertainty quantification (UQ). A…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2018-07-20 Andrew D. Marquis , Andrea Arnold , Caron Dean , Brian E. Carlson , Mette S. Olufsen

Emergence of artificial intelligence techniques in biomedical applications urges the researchers to pay more attention on the uncertainty quantification (UQ) in machine-assisted medical decision making. For classification tasks, prior…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-17 Xiaoyang Huang , Jiancheng Yang , Linguo Li , Haoran Deng , Bingbing Ni , Yi Xu

We introduce a method for the estimation of uncertainties in density-functional-theory (DFT) calculations for atomistic systems. The method is based on the construction of an uncertainty-aware functional distribution (UAFD) in a space…

材料科学 · 物理学 2025-07-14 Teitur Hansen , Jens Jørgen Mortensen , Thomas Bligaard , Karsten Wedel Jacobsen

The practice of uncertainty quantification (UQ) validation, notably in machine learning for the physico-chemical sciences, rests on several graphical methods (scattering plots, calibration curves, reliability diagrams and confidence curves)…

化学物理 · 物理学 2023-03-31 Pascal Pernot

Most uncertainty quantification (UQ) approaches provide a single scalar value as a measure of model reliability. However, different uncertainty measures could provide complementary information on the prediction confidence. Even measures…

In modern process industries, data-driven models are important tools for real-time monitoring when key performance indicators are difficult to measure directly. While accurate predictions are essential, reliable uncertainty quantification…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Yiran Ma , Jerome Le Ny , Zhichao Chen , Zhihuan Song

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) has gained traction in an attempt to improve the interpretability and robustness of machine learning predictions. Specifically (medical) biosignals such as electroencephalography (EEG), electrocardiography…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-06-06 Ivo Pascal de Jong , Andreea Ioana Sburlea , Matias Valdenegro-Toro

We propose using the frequency-domain bootstrap (FDB) to estimate errors of modeling parameters when the modeling error is itself a major source of uncertainty. Unlike the usual bootstrap or the simple $\chi^2$ analysis, the FDB can take…

核理论 · 物理学 2017-12-27 G. F. Bertsch , Derek Bingham

The ability to replicate predictions by machine learning (ML) or artificial intelligence (AI) models and results in scientific workflows that incorporate such ML/AI predictions is driven by numerous factors. An uncertainty-aware metric that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-28 Line Pouchard , Kristofer G. Reyes , Francis J. Alexander , Byung-Jun Yoon

The dynamical nucleus-nucleus potentials for some fusion reactions are investigated by using the improved quantum molecular dynamics (ImQMD) model with different sets of parameters in which the corresponding incompressibility coefficient of…

核理论 · 物理学 2013-03-28 V. Zanganeh , N. Wang , O. N. Ghodsi

In computational materials science, coarse-graining approaches often lack a priori uncertainty quantification (UQ) tools that estimate the accuracy of a reduced-order model before it is calibrated or deployed. This is especially the case in…

计算物理 · 物理学 2018-12-11 Paul N. Patrone , Andrew M. Dienstfrey , Geoffrey B. McFadden

Assessing the quality of aleatoric uncertainty estimates from uncertainty quantification (UQ) deep learning methods is important in scientific contexts, where uncertainty is physically meaningful and important to characterize and interpret…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-14 Rebecca Nevin , Aleksandra Ćiprijanović , Brian D. Nord