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相关论文: Bias optimal vol-of-vol estimation: the role of wi…

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Jumps and market microstructure noise are stylized features of high-frequency financial data. It is well known that they introduce bias in the estimation of volatility (including integrated and spot volatilities) of assets, and many methods…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-02-20 Qiang Liu , Zhi Liu

For a multidimensional It\^o semimartingale, we consider the problem of estimating integrated volatility functionals. Jacod and Rosenbaum (2013) studied a plug-in type of estimator based on a Riemann sum approximation of the integrated…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-09 José E. Figueroa-López , Jincheng Pang , Bei Wu

We consider a multidimensional Ito semimartingale regularly sampled on [0,t] at high frequency 1/\Delta_n, with \Delta_n going to zero. The goal of this paper is to provide an estimator for the integral over [0,t] of a given function of the…

概率论 · 数学 2012-12-11 Jean Jacod , Mathieu Rosenbaum

In this paper, we are concerned with nonparametric inference on the volatility of volatility process in stochastic volatility models. We construct several estimators for its integrated version in a high-frequency setting, all based on…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-09-30 Mathias Vetter

We propose model-free (nonparametric) estimators of the volatility of volatility and leverage effect using high-frequency observations of short-dated options. At each point in time, we integrate available options into estimates of the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-01-24 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

We study the asymptotic normality of two feasible estimators of the integrated volatility of volatility based on the Fourier methodology, which does not require the pre-estimation of the spot volatility. We show that the bias-corrected…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-09-07 Giacomo Toscano , Giulia Livieri , Maria Elvira Mancino , Stefano Marmi

Spectral analysis using overlapping sliding windows is among the most widely used techniques in analyzing non-stationary time series. Although sliding window analysis is convenient to implement, the resulting estimates are sensitive to the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2018-03-14 Proloy Das , Behtash Babadi

Most models for barrier pricing are designed to let a market maker tune the model-implied covariance between moves in the asset spot price and moves in the implied volatility skew. This is often implemented with a local…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2014-04-16 Mark Higgins

The usage of a spot volatility estimate based on a volatility decomposition in a time-changed price-model according to the trading times is investigated. In this model clock-time volatility splits up into the product of tick-time volatility…

概率论 · 数学 2016-05-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Sophon Tunyavetchakit

We develop further the spot volatility estimator introduced in Hoffmann, Munk and Schmidt-Hieber (2012) from a practical point of view and make it useful for the analysis of high-frequency financial data. In a first part, we adjust the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-09-25 Till Sabel , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber , Axel Munk

We study the estimation of leverage effect and volatility of volatility by using high-frequency data with the presence of jumps. We first construct spot volatility estimator by using the empirical characteristic function of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Qiang Liu , Zhi Liu , Wang Zhou

This paper introduces SpotV2Net, a multivariate intraday spot volatility forecasting model based on a Graph Attention Network architecture. SpotV2Net represents assets as nodes within a graph and includes non-parametric high-frequency…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-01-14 Alessio Brini , Giacomo Toscano

Volatility estimation is a central problem in financial econometrics, but becomes particularly challenging when jump activity is high, a phenomenon observed empirically in highly traded financial securities. In this paper, we revisit the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-13 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Tianwei Zhou

In this paper, we consider estimating spot/instantaneous volatility matrices of high-frequency data collected for a large number of assets. We first combine classic nonparametric kernel-based smoothing with a generalised shrinkage technique…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-22 Ruijun Bu , Degui Li , Oliver Linton , Hanchao Wang

The discrepancy between realized volatility and the market's view of volatility has been known to predict individual equity options at the monthly horizon. It is not clear how this predictability depends on a forecast's ability to predict…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-06-10 Austin Pollok

We propose a method for constructing sparse high-frequency volatility estimators that are robust against change points in the spot volatility process. The estimators we propose are $\ell_1$-regularized versions of existing volatility…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-07-02 Greeshma Balabhadra , El Mehdi Ainasse , Pawel Polak

A technique for on-line estimation of spot volatility for high-frequency data is developed. The algorithm works directly on the transaction data and updates the volatility estimate immediately after the occurrence of a new transaction.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-01-15 Rainer Dahlhaus , Jan C. Neddermeyer

We first revisit the problem of estimating the spot volatility of an It\^o semimartingale using a kernel estimator. We prove a Central Limit Theorem with optimal convergence rate for a general two-sided kernel. Next, we introduce a new…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-02-08 José E. Figueroa-López , Bei Wu

The local volatility model is a widely used for pricing and hedging financial derivatives. While its main appeal is its capability of reproducing any given surface of observed option prices---it provides a perfect fit---the essential…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2019-01-24 Martin Tegnér , Stephen Roberts

Numerical studies in random systems are plagued with strong finite-size effects and boundary effects. We introduce a window-measurement method as a practical solution to these difficulties. We observe physical quantities only within a…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2015-06-19 Tota Nakamura , Takayuki Shirakura
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