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Time series prediction is often complicated by distribution shift which demands adaptive models to accommodate time-varying distributions. We frame time series prediction under distribution shift as a weighted empirical risk minimisation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-26 Stefanos Bennett , Jase Clarkson

Lane change (LC) is one of the safety-critical manoeuvres in highway driving according to various road accident records. Thus, reliably predicting such manoeuvre in advance is critical for the safe and comfortable operation of automated…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-03-30 Sajjad Mozaffari , Eduardo Arnold , Mehrdad Dianati , Saber Fallah

Univariate time series (UTS), where each timestamp records a single variable, serve as crucial indicators in web systems and cloud servers. Anomaly detection in UTS plays an essential role in both data mining and system reliability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-11 Lingpei Zhang , Qingming Li , Yong Yang , Jiahao Chen , Rui Zeng , Chenyang Lyu , Shouling Ji

Machine and deep learning-based algorithms are the emerging approaches in addressing prediction problems in time series. These techniques have been shown to produce more accurate results than conventional regression-based modeling. It has…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-22 Sima Siami-Namini , Neda Tavakoli , Akbar Siami Namin

Accurate climate forecasting is vital for Bangladesh, a region highly susceptible to climate change impacts on temperature and rainfall. Existing models often struggle to capture long-range dependencies and complex temporal patterns in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-29 Usman Gani Joy , Shahadat kabir , Tasnim Niger

We introduce a neural network conformal prediction method for time series that enhances adaptivity in non-stationary environments. Our approach acts as a neural controller designed to achieve desired target coverage, leveraging auxiliary…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-25 Ruipu Li , Alexander Rodríguez

In category learning, a growing body of literature has increasingly focused on exploring the impacts of interleaving in contrast to blocking. The sequential attention hypothesis posits that interleaving draws attention to the differences…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-07-23 Meng Cao , Philip I. Pavlik , Wei Chu , Liang Zhang

Contrastive representation learning is crucial in time series analysis as it alleviates the issue of data noise and incompleteness as well as sparsity of supervision signal. However, existing constrastive learning frameworks usually focus…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-26 Haozhi Gao , Qianqian Ren , Jinbao Li

Load forecasting is a crucial topic in energy management systems (EMS) due to its vital role in optimizing energy scheduling and enabling more flexible and intelligent power grid systems. As a result, these systems allow power utility…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-16 Firas Bayram , Phil Aupke , Bestoun S. Ahmed , Andreas Kassler , Andreas Theocharis , Jonas Forsman

Predictive business process monitoring methods exploit logs of completed cases of a process in order to make predictions about running cases thereof. Existing methods in this space are tailor-made for specific prediction tasks. Moreover,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-12-20 Niek Tax , Ilya Verenich , Marcello La Rosa , Marlon Dumas

Prediction tasks about students have practical significance for both student and college. Making multiple predictions about students is an important part of a smart campus. For instance, predicting whether a student will fail to graduate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-27 Haobing Liu , Yanmin Zhu , Tianzi Zang , Yanan Xu , Jiadi Yu , Feilong Tang

The change point is a moment of an abrupt alteration in the data distribution. Current methods for change point detection are based on recurrent neural methods suitable for sequential data. However, recent works show that transformers based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-19 Anna Dmitrienko , Evgenia Romanenkova , Alexey Zaytsev

Traffic prediction is necessary not only for management departments to dispatch vehicles but also for drivers to avoid congested roads. Many traffic forecasting methods based on deep learning have been proposed in recent years, and their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-12 Jichen Wang , Weiguo Zhu , Yongqi Sun , Chunzi Tian

Automatic spelling and grammatical correction systems are one of the most widely used tools within natural language applications. In this thesis, we assume the task of error correction as a type of monolingual machine translation where the…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2018-10-02 Sina Ahmadi

Climate models are biased with respect to real-world observations. They usually need to be adjusted before being used in impact studies. The suite of statistical methods that enable such adjustments is called bias correction (BC). However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-08 Omer Nivron , Damon J. Wischik , Mathieu Vrac , Emily Shuckburgh , Alex T. Archibald

Advection-dominated dynamical systems, characterized by partial differential equations, are found in applications ranging from weather forecasting to engineering design where accuracy and robustness are crucial. There has been significant…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-06-29 Romit Maulik , Bethany Lusch , Prasanna Balaprakash

As the context window expands, self-attention increasingly dominates the transformer's inference time. Therefore, accelerating attention computation while minimizing performance degradation is essential for the efficient deployment of Large…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-03-14 Eli Sason , Darya Frolova , Boris Nazarov , Felix Goldberd

Large language models (LLMs) have been applied in many fields and have developed rapidly in recent years. As a classic machine learning task, time series forecasting has recently been boosted by LLMs. Recent works treat large language…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-12-31 Hua Tang , Chong Zhang , Mingyu Jin , Qinkai Yu , Zhenting Wang , Xiaobo Jin , Yongfeng Zhang , Mengnan Du

Time series forecasting using historical data has been an interesting and challenging topic, especially when the data is corrupted by missing values. In many industrial problem, it is important to learn the inference function between the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-02 Trang H. Tran , Lam M. Nguyen , Kyongmin Yeo , Nam Nguyen , Dzung Phan , Roman Vaculin , Jayant Kalagnanam

Time series forecasting is essential for many practical applications, with the adoption of transformer-based models on the rise due to their impressive performance in NLP and CV. Transformers' key feature, the attention mechanism,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-09 PeiSong Niu , Tian Zhou , Xue Wang , Liang Sun , Rong Jin