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Factors models are routinely used to analyze high-dimensional data in both single-study and multi-study settings. Bayesian inference for such models relies on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods which scale poorly as the number of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-29 Blake Hansen , Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco , Massimiliano Russo , Roberta De Vito

We propose a novel variational Bayes approach to estimate high-dimensional vector autoregression (VAR) models with hierarchical shrinkage priors. Our approach does not rely on a conventional structural VAR representation of the parameter…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-07-03 Mauro Bernardi , Daniele Bianchi , Nicolas Bianco

The Gaussian process latent variable model (GP-LVM) is a popular approach to non-linear probabilistic dimensionality reduction. One design choice for the model is the number of latent variables. We present a spike and slab prior for the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-05-12 Zhenwen Dai , James Hensman , Neil Lawrence

This paper proposes a fast two-stage variational Bayesian (VB) algorithm to estimate unrestricted panel spatial autoregressive models. Using Dirichlet-Laplace priors, we are able to uncover the spatial relationships between cross-sectional…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-23 Deborah Gefang , Stephen G. Hall , George S. Tavlas

We discuss Bayesian model uncertainty analysis and forecasting in sequential dynamic modeling of multivariate time series. The perspective is that of a decision-maker with a specific forecasting objective that guides thinking about relevant…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-07 Isaac Lavine , Michael Lindon , Mike West

The paper addresses joint sparsity selection in the regression coefficient matrix and the error precision (inverse covariance) matrix for high-dimensional multivariate regression models in the Bayesian paradigm. The selected sparsity…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-19 Srijata Samanta , Kshitij Khare , George Michailidis

Variational Bayesian (VB) methods produce posterior inference in a time frame considerably smaller than traditional Markov Chain Monte Carlo approaches. Although the VB posterior is an approximation, it has been shown to produce good…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-08-02 Nathaniel Tomasetti , Catherine S. Forbes , Anastasios Panagiotelis

The impracticality of posterior sampling has prevented the widespread adoption of spike-and-slab priors in high-dimensional applications. To alleviate the computational burden, optimization strategies have been proposed that quickly find…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-30 Lizhen Nie , Veronika Ročková

There is a rich literature proposing methods and establishing asymptotic properties of Bayesian variable selection methods for parametric models, with a particular focus on the normal linear regression model and an increasing emphasis on…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-08-16 Suprateek Kundu , David B. Dunson

We consider a Bayesian method for simultaneous quantile regression on a real variable. By monotone transformation, we can make both the response variable and the predictor variable take values in the unit interval. A representation of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-08 Priyam Das , Subhashis Ghoshal

Mixtures of linear mixed models are widely used for modelling longitudinal data for which observation times differ between subjects. In typical applications, temporal trends are described using a basis expansion, with basis coefficients…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-25 Lucas Kock , Nadja Klein , David J. Nott

Motivated by genome-wide association studies, we consider a standard linear model with one additional random effect in situations where many predictors have been collected on the same subjects and each predictor is analyzed separately.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-04-24 Matti Pirinen , Peter Donnelly , Chris C. A. Spencer

We propose a Bayesian vector autoregressive (VAR) model for mixed-frequency data. Our model is based on the mean-adjusted parametrization of the VAR and allows for an explicit prior on the 'steady states' (unconditional means) of the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-11-22 Sebastian Ankargren , Måns Unosson , Yukai Yang

We consider the problems of hypothesis testing and model comparison under a flexible Bayesian linear regression model whose formulation is closely connected with the linear mixed effect model and the parametric models for SNP set analysis…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-02-24 Xiaoquan Wen

Gibbs sampling is a widely popular Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm that can be used to analyze intractable posterior distributions associated with Bayesian hierarchical models. There are two standard versions of the Gibbs sampler: The…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-01-01 Grant Backlund , James P. Hobert , Yeun Ji Jung , Kshitij Khare

Recently, a new probabilistic "data fusion" framework based on Bayesian principles has been developed on JET and W7-AS. The Bayesian analysis framework folds in uncertainties and inter-dependencies in the diagnostic data and signal…

等离子体物理 · 物理学 2010-02-18 M. J. Hole , G. von Nessi , J. Bertram , J. Svensson , L. C. Appel , B. D. Blackwell , R. L. Dewar , J. Howard

Variable selection in ultra-high dimensional linear regression is often preceded by a screening step to significantly reduce the dimension. Here we develop a Bayesian variable screening method (BITS) guided by the posterior model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-28 Run Wang , Somak Dutta , Vivekananda Roy

Simulation models of critical systems often have parameters that need to be calibrated using observed data. For expensive simulation models, calibration is done using an emulator of the simulation model built on simulation output at…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-24 Özge Sürer , Matthew Plumlee , Stefan M. Wild

Hierarchical models are versatile tools for joint modeling of data sets arising from different, but related, sources. Fully Bayesian inference may, however, become computationally prohibitive if the source-specific data models are complex,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-05-06 Ritabrata Dutta , Paul Blomstedt , Samuel Kaski

We propose an efficient way to sample from a class of structured multivariate Gaussian distributions which routinely arise as conditional posteriors of model parameters that are assigned a conditionally Gaussian prior. The proposed…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-06-28 Anirban Bhattacharya , Antik Chakraborty , Bani K. Mallick