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Windstorms significantly impact the UK, causing extensive damage to property, disrupting society, and potentially resulting in loss of life. Accurate modelling and understanding of such events are essential for effective risk assessment and…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-09-18 Etron Yee Chun Tsoi

Bayesian Optimization is a popular tool for tuning algorithms in automatic machine learning (AutoML) systems. Current state-of-the-art methods leverage Random Forests or Gaussian processes to build a surrogate model that predicts algorithm…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-08 Jeroen van Hoof , Joaquin Vanschoren

As wind power penetration increases, the wind farms are required by newly released grid codes to provide frequency regulation service. The most critical challenge is how to formulate the dynamic model of wind farm for dynamic control, since…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-12-08 Zizhen Guo , Wenchuan Wu

Beyond the practical goal of improving search and measurement sensitivity through better jet tagging algorithms, there is a deeper question: what are their upper performance limits? Generative surrogate models with learned likelihood…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2025-11-21 Ian Pang , Darius A. Faroughy , David Shih , Ranit Das , Gregor Kasieczka

Oilfield development related decisions are made using reservoir simulation-based optimization study in which different production scenarios and well controls are compared. Such simulations are computationally expensive and so surrogate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-01 Ajitabh Kumar

Airborne wind energy systems aim to generate renewable energy by means of the aerodynamic lift produced by a wing tethered to the ground and controlled to fly crosswind paths. The problem of maximizing the average power developed by the…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2014-09-23 Aldo U. Zgraggen , Lorenzo Fagiano , Manfred Morari

The prediction of wind speed is very important when dealing with the production of energy through wind turbines. In this paper, we show a new nonparametric model, based on semi-Markov chains, to predict wind speed. Particularly we use an…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-12-16 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni , Flavio Prattico

Synthetic time series are often used in practical applications to augment the historical time series dataset for better performance of machine learning algorithms, amplify the occurrence of rare events, and also create counterfactual…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-18 Andrea Coletta , Sriram Gopalakrishan , Daniel Borrajo , Svitlana Vyetrenko

The Taylor hypothesis which allows surrogating spatial measurements requiring many experimental probes by time series from one or two probes is examined on the basis of a simple analytic model of turbulent statistics. The main points are as…

chao-dyn · 物理学 2009-10-31 Victor S. L'vov , Anna Pomyalov , Itamar Procaccia

Understanding the mechanisms of shock-induced pore collapse is of great interest in various disciplines in sciences and engineering, including materials science, biological sciences, and geophysics. However, numerical modeling of the…

计算物理 · 物理学 2023-06-05 Siu Wun Cheung , Youngsoo Choi , H. Keo Springer , Teeratorn Kadeethum

Generating simulated training data needed for constructing sufficiently accurate surrogate models to be used for efficient optimization or parameter identification can incur a huge computational effort in the offline phase. We consider a…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-04-03 Phillip Semler , Martin Weiser

The increasing adoption of synthetic data in aviation research offers a promising solution to data scarcity and confidentiality challenges. This study investigates the potential of generative models to produce realistic synthetic flight…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-24 Karim Aly , Alexei Sharpanskykh

The reliable integration of wind energy into modern-day electricity systems heavily relies on accurate short-term wind forecasts. We propose a spatio-temporal model called AIRU-WRF (short for the AI-powered Rutgers University Weather…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-08-31 Feng Ye , Joseph Brodie , Travis Miles , Ahmed Aziz Ezzat

Scenario generation is an important step in the operation and planning of power systems with high renewable penetrations. In this work, we proposed a data-driven approach for scenario generation using generative adversarial networks, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-02-06 Yize Chen , Yishen Wang , Daniel Kirschen , Baosen Zhang

The generation of synthetic financial data is a critical technology in the financial domain, addressing challenges posed by limited data availability. Traditionally, statistical models have been employed to generate synthetic data. However,…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-03-07 Yuki Tanaka , Ryuji Hashimoto , Takehiro Takayanagi , Zhe Piao , Yuri Murayama , Kiyoshi Izumi

Surrogate models are widely used in mechanical design and manufacturing process optimization, where high-fidelity computational models may be unavailable or prohibitively expensive. Their effectiveness, however, is often limited by data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Bingran Wang , Seongha Jeong , Sebastiaan P. C. van Schie , Dongyeon Han , Jaeho Min , John T. Hwang

Diffusion models generate high-quality synthetic data. They operate by defining a continuous-time forward process which gradually adds Gaussian noise to data until fully corrupted. The corresponding reverse process progressively "denoises"…

Synthetic data generation is an appealing tool for augmenting and enriching datasets, playing a crucial role in advancing artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML). Not only does synthetic data help build robust AI/ML datasets…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-20 José Pulido , Francesc Wilhelmi , Sergio Fortes , Alfonso Fernández-Durán , Lorenzo Galati Giordano , Raquel Barco

We introduce a class of semiparametric time series models by assuming a quasi-likelihood approach driven by a latent factor process. More specifically, given the latent process, we only specify the conditional mean and variance of the time…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-02 Gisele O. Maia , Wagner Barreto-Souza , Fernando S. Bastos , Hernando Ombao

In this paper, we develop a distributionally robust model predictive control framework for the control of wind farms with the goal of power tracking and mechanical stress reduction of the individual wind turbines. We introduce an ARMA model…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-03-07 Christoph Mark , Steven Liu