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As machine learning algorithms are deployed ubiquitously to a variety of domains, it is imperative to make these often black-box models transparent. Several recent works explain black-box models by capturing the most influential features…

Fault diagnosis in multimode processes plays a critical role in ensuring the safe operation of industrial systems across multiple modes. It faces a great challenge yet to be addressed - that is, the significant distributional differences…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-24 Guangqiang Li , M. Amine Atoui , Xiangshun Li

Anomaly detection in multivariate time series is an important problem across various fields such as healthcare, financial services, manufacturing or physics detector monitoring. Accurately identifying when unexpected errors or faults occur…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-26 Laura Boggia , Rafael Teixeira de Lima , Bogdan Malaescu

Time-series forecasting is crucial for numerous real-world applications including weather prediction and financial market modeling. While temporal-domain methods remain prevalent, frequency-domain approaches can effectively capture…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Zhixuan Li , Naipeng Chen , Seonghwa Choi , Sanghoon Lee , Weisi Lin

Adapting to latent confounded shift remains a core challenge in modern AI. This setting is driven by hidden variables that induce spurious correlations between inputs and outputs during training, leading models to rely on non-causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-14 Jialin Yu , Yuxiang Zhou , Haoxuan Li , Junchi Yu , Mengyue Yang , Yulan He , Nevin L. Zhang , Philip Torr , Ricardo Silva

This paper studies forecasting of the future distribution of events in human action sequences, a task essential in domains like retail, finance, healthcare, and recommendation systems where the precise temporal order is often less critical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-08 Egor Surkov , Dmitry Osin , Evgeny Burnaev , Egor Shvetsov

Longitudinal data are characterized by the dependence between observations coming from the same individual. In a regression perspective, such a dependence can be usefully ascribed to unobserved features (covariates) specific to each…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-09-07 Maria Francesca Marino , Marco Alfó

Time Series Forecasting plays a crucial role in various fields such as industrial equipment maintenance, meteorology, energy consumption, traffic flow and financial investment. However, despite their considerable advantages over traditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-02 Ruiqi Li , Maowei Jiang , Kai Wang , Kaiduo Feng , Quangao Liu , Yue Sun , Xiufang Zhou

Machine learning methods strive to acquire a robust model during the training process that can effectively generalize to test samples, even in the presence of distribution shifts. However, these methods often suffer from performance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-13 Jian Liang , Ran He , Tieniu Tan

Feature importance inference is critical for the interpretability and reliability of machine learning models. There has been increasing interest in developing model-agnostic approaches to interpret any predictive model, often in the form of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-24 Luqin Gan , Lili Zheng , Genevera I. Allen

In various web applications like targeted advertising and recommender systems, the available categorical features (e.g., product type) are often of great importance but sparse. As a widely adopted solution, models based on Factorization…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-19 Tong Chen , Hongzhi Yin , Quoc Viet Hung Nguyen , Wen-Chih Peng , Xue Li , Xiaofang Zhou

This paper investigates the role of high-dimensional information sets in the context of Markov switching models with time varying transition probabilities. Markov switching models are commonly employed in empirical macroeconomic research…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-05-07 Gregor Zens , Maximilian Böck

We propose an unsupervised anomaly detection approach based on a physics-informed diffusion model for multivariate time series data. Over the past years, diffusion model has demonstrated its effectiveness in forecasting, imputation,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-18 Juhi Soni , Markus Lange-Hegermann , Stefan Windmann

Transformer-based models have emerged as powerful tools for multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF). However, existing Transformer models often fall short of capturing both intricate dependencies across variate and temporal dimensions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-10 Juncheng Liu , Chenghao Liu , Gerald Woo , Yiwei Wang , Bryan Hooi , Caiming Xiong , Doyen Sahoo

Explaining deep learning models operating on time series data is crucial in various applications of interest which require interpretable and transparent insights from time series signals. In this work, we investigate this problem from an…

Systems are commonly monitored for health and security through collection and streaming of multivariate time series. Advances in time series forecasting due to adoption of multilayer recurrent neural network architectures make it possible…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-10 Oshri Barazani , David Tolpin

This paper investigates when the importance weighting (IW) correction is needed to address covariate shift, a common situation in supervised learning where the input distributions of training and test data differ. Classic results show that…

Sequence modeling faces challenges in capturing long-range dependencies across diverse tasks. Recent linear and transformer-based forecasters have shown superior performance in time series forecasting. However, they are constrained by their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-25 Bong Gyun Kang , Dongjun Lee , HyunGi Kim , DoHyun Chung , Sungroh Yoon

Time series modeling techniques based on deep learning have seen many advancements in recent years, especially in data-abundant settings and with the central aim of learning global models that can extract patterns across multiple time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-21 Stephan Rabanser , Tim Januschowski , Valentin Flunkert , David Salinas , Jan Gasthaus

Time series forecasting is of significant importance across various domains. However, it faces significant challenges due to distribution shift. This issue becomes particularly pronounced in online deployment scenarios where data arrives…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-27 Xiannan Huang , Shuhan Qiu , Jiayuan Du , Chao Yang