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Models in the supervised learning framework may capture rich and complex representations over the features that are hard for humans to interpret. Existing methods to explain such models are often specific to architectures and data where the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-25 Akshay Sood , Mark Craven

Using a time series model to mimic an observed time series has a long history. However, with regard to this objective, conventional estimation methods for discrete-time dynamical models are frequently found to be wanting. In fact, they are…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-19 Yingcun Xia , Howell Tong

Time series data introduces two key challenges for explainability methods: firstly, observations of the same feature over subsequent time steps are not independent, and secondly, the same feature can have varying importance to model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-08 Kin Kwan Leung , Clayton Rooke , Jonathan Smith , Saba Zuberi , Maksims Volkovs

A time series represents a set of observations collected over time. Typically, these observations are captured with a uniform sampling frequency (e.g. daily). When data points are observed in uneven time intervals the time series is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-03 Pedro Costa , Vitor Cerqueira , João Vinagre

With increasing reliance on the outcomes of black-box models in critical applications, post-hoc explainability tools that do not require access to the model internals are often used to enable humans understand and trust these models. In…

The use of deep neural networks to make high risk decisions creates a need for global and local explanations so that users and experts have confidence in the modeling algorithms. We introduce a novel technique to find global and local…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-15 Xochitl Watts , Freddy Lecue

Multivariate time series have many applications, from healthcare and meteorology to life science. Although deep learning models have shown excellent predictive performance for time series, they have been criticised for being "black-boxes"…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-06 Qiqi Su , Christos Kloukinas , Artur d'Avila Garcez

Notable progress has been made in generalist medical large language models across various healthcare areas. However, large-scale modeling of in-hospital time series data - such as vital signs, lab results, and treatments in critical care -…

Accurate time series forecasting is a highly valuable endeavour with applications across many industries. Despite recent deep learning advancements, increased model complexity, and larger model sizes, many state-of-the-art models often…

Time series data is prevalent in a wide variety of real-world applications and it calls for trustworthy and explainable models for people to understand and fully trust decisions made by AI solutions. We consider the problem of building…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Tsung-Yu Hsieh , Suhang Wang , Yiwei Sun , Vasant Honavar

This work presents an introduction to feature-based time-series analysis. The time series as a data type is first described, along with an overview of the interdisciplinary time-series analysis literature. I then summarize the range of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-10-03 Ben D. Fulcher

Evaluating the contribution of individual data points to a model's prediction is critical for interpreting model predictions and improving model performance. Existing data contribution methods have been applied to various data types,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-17 Yizi Zhang , Jingyan Shen , Xiaoxue Xiong , Yongchan Kwon

A probabilistic model is said to be calibrated if its predicted probabilities match the corresponding empirical frequencies. Calibration is important for uncertainty quantification and decision making in safety-critical applications. While…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-01 Anusri Pampari , Stefano Ermon

In recent years, a large amount of model-agnostic methods to improve the transparency, trustability and interpretability of machine learning models have been developed. We introduce local feature importance as a local version of a recent…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-15 Giuseppe Casalicchio , Christoph Molnar , Bernd Bischl

Human understandable explanation of deep learning models is essential for various critical and sensitive applications. Unlike image or tabular data where the importance of each input feature (for the classifier's decision) can be directly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-07 Shahbaz Rezaei , Xin Liu

Understanding how changes in explanatory features affect the unconditional distribution of the outcome is important in many applications. However, existing black-box predictive models are not readily suited for analyzing such questions. In…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-12-10 Jing Zhou , Chunlin Li

Distribution-free prediction sets play a pivotal role in uncertainty quantification for complex statistical models. Their validity hinges on reliable calibration data, which may not be readily available as real-world environments often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-11 Elise Han , Chengpiao Huang , Kaizheng Wang

Data in the real world often has an evolving distribution. Thus, machine learning models trained on such data get outdated over time. This phenomenon is called model drift. Knowledge of this drift serves two purposes: (i) Retain an accurate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-11 Pranoy Panda , Kancheti Sai Srinivas , Vineeth N Balasubramanian , Gaurav Sinha

With the ever growing involvement of data-driven AI-based decision making technologies in our daily social lives, the fairness of these systems is becoming a crucial phenomenon. However, an important and often challenging aspect in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-28 Siamak Ghodsi , Harith Alani , Eirini Ntoutsi

Counterfactual explanations are increasingly proposed as interpretable mechanisms to achieve algorithmic recourse. However, current counterfactual techniques for time series classification are predominantly designed with static data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-17 Emmanuel C. Chukwu , Rianne M. Schouten , Monique Tabak , Mykola Pechenizkiy
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