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A robust multilevel functional data method is proposed to forecast age-specific mortality rate and life expectancy for two or more populations in developed countries with high-quality vital registration systems. It uses a robust multilevel…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-09-27 Han Lin Shang

We present a non-parametric prognostic framework for individualized event prediction based on joint modeling of both longitudinal and time-to-event data. Our approach exploits a multivariate Gaussian convolution process (MGCP) to model the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-07-04 Xubo Yue , Raed Kontar

Products manufactured from the same batch or utilized in the same region often exhibit correlated lifetime observations due to the latent heterogeneity caused by the influence of shared but unobserved covariates. The unavailable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-15 Xuxue Sun , Mingyang Li

Multi-output Gaussian Processes provide principled uncertainty-aware learning of vector-valued fields but are difficult to deploy in large-scale, distributed, and streaming settings due to their computational and centralized nature. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-14 Yogesh Prasanna Kumar Rao , Tamas Keviczky , Raj Thilak Rajan

Inspired by recent advances in the field of expert-based approximations of Gaussian processes (GPs), we present an expert-based approach to large-scale multi-output regression using single-output GP experts. Employing a deeply structured…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-03 Zhongjie Yu , Mingye Zhu , Martin Trapp , Arseny Skryagin , Kristian Kersting

Gaussian process regression is a powerful Bayesian nonlinear regression method. Recent research has enabled the capture of many types of observations using non-Gaussian likelihoods. To deal with various tasks in spatial modeling, we benefit…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-26 Yuta Shikuri

We develop an efficient sampling approach for handling complex missing data patterns and a large number of missing observations in conditionally Gaussian state space models. Two important examples are dynamic factor models with unbalanced…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-02-08 Joshua C. C. Chan , Aubrey Poon , Dan Zhu

Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) are well-established tools for probabilistic exploration of dependence structures using precision matrices. We develop a Bayesian method to incorporate covariate information in this GGMs setup in a nonlinear…

Longitudinal biomarker data and health outcomes are routinely collected in many studies to assess how biomarker trajectories predict health outcomes. Existing methods primarily focus on mean biomarker profiles, treating variability as a…

Multi-output Gaussian processes (GPs) are a flexible Bayesian nonparametric framework that has proven useful in jointly modeling the physiological states of patients in medical time series data. However, capturing the short-term effects of…

State-space models have been successfully used for more than fifty years in different areas of science and engineering. We present a procedure for efficient variational Bayesian learning of nonlinear state-space models based on sparse…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-11-04 Roger Frigola , Yutian Chen , Carl E. Rasmussen

The analysis of high dimensional survival data is challenging, primarily due to the problem of overfitting which occurs when spurious relationships are inferred from data that subsequently fail to exist in test data. Here we propose a novel…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-28 James E. Barrett , Anthony C. C. Coolen

Gaussian process (GP) models are widely used to analyze spatially referenced data and to predict values at locations without observations. In contrast to many algorithmic procedures, GP models are based on a statistical framework, which…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-01-01 Florian Gerber , Douglas W. Nychka

Gaussian process state-space model (GPSSM) is a fully probabilistic state-space model that has attracted much attention over the past decade. However, the outputs of the transition function in the existing GPSSMs are assumed to be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-16 Zhidi Lin , Lei Cheng , Feng Yin , Lexi Xu , Shuguang Cui

In this chapter, we show how to efficiently model high-dimensional extreme peaks-over-threshold events over space in complex non-stationary settings, using extended latent Gaussian Models (LGMs), and how to exploit the fitted model in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-07 Arnab Hazra , Raphaël Huser , Árni V. Jóhannesson

Accurate learning of system dynamics is becoming increasingly crucial for advanced control and decision-making in engineering. However, real-world systems often exhibit multiple channels and highly nonlinear transition dynamics, challenging…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-20 Tengjie Zheng , Jilan Mei , Di Wu , Lin Cheng , Shengping Gong

We present a multi-objective evolutionary optimization algorithm that uses Gaussian process (GP) regression-based models to select trial solutions in a multi-generation iterative procedure. In each generation, a surrogate model is…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2020-05-22 Xiaobiao Huang , Minghao Song , Zhe Zhang

A powerful tool for the analysis of nonrandomized observational studies has been the potential outcomes model. Utilization of this framework allows analysts to estimate average treatment effects. This article considers the situation in…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-05-31 Debashis Ghosh , Efrén Cruz-Cortés

Multi-output regression seeks to borrow strength and leverage commonalities across different but related outputs in order to enhance learning and prediction accuracy. A fundamental assumption is that the output/group membership labels for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-07-04 Seokhyun Chung , Raed Al Kontar , Zhenke Wu

In recent years, a wide range of mortality models has been proposed to address the diverse factors influencing mortality rates, which has highlighted the need to perform model selection. Traditional mortality model selection methods, such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-22 Alex Diana , Jackie Wong Siaw Tze , Aniketh Pittea