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Probabilities or confidence values produced by artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) models often do not reflect their true accuracy, with some models being under or over confident in their predictions. For example, if a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-28 Richard Oliver Lane

Uncertainty in probabilistic classifiers predictions is a key concern when models are used to support human decision making, in broader probabilistic pipelines or when sensitive automatic decisions have to be taken. Studies have shown that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-09 Nicolas Posocco , Antoine Bonnefoy

Large language models are increasingly used for code generation and debugging, but their outputs can still contain bugs, that originate from training data. Distinguishing whether an LLM prefers correct code, or a familiar incorrect version…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2026-01-16 Ali Al-Kaswan , Claudio Spiess , Prem Devanbu , Arie van Deursen , Maliheh Izadi

The software engineering field has a long history of classifying software failure causes. Understanding them is paramount for fault injection, focusing testing efforts or reliability prediction. Since software fails in manifold complex…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2016-03-15 Lena Feinbube , Peter Tröger , Andreas Polze

Machine learning models typically focus on specific targets like creating classifiers, often based on known population feature distributions in a business context. However, models calculating individual features adapt over time to improve…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-23 Emanuele Luzio , Moacir Antonelli Ponti , Christian Ramirez Arevalo , Luis Argerich

Knowing when a classifier's prediction can be trusted is useful in many applications and critical for safely using AI. While the bulk of the effort in machine learning research has been towards improving classifier performance,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-30 Heinrich Jiang , Been Kim , Melody Y. Guan , Maya Gupta

Strong empirical evidence that one machine-learning algorithm A outperforms another one B ideally calls for multiple trials optimizing the learning pipeline over sources of variation such as data sampling, data augmentation, parameter…

This research investigates the use of machine learning methods to forecast students' academic performance in a school setting. Students' data with behavioral, academic, and demographic details were used in implementations with standard…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2025-06-11 A. G. R. Sandeepa , Sanka Mohottala

There exist a wide range of single number metrics for assessing performance of classification algorithms, including AUC and the F1-score (Wikipedia lists 17 such metrics, with 27 different names). In this article, I propose a new metric to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-21 David J. T. Sumpter

Machine learning algorithms are extensively used to make increasingly more consequential decisions about people, so achieving optimal predictive performance can no longer be the only focus. A particularly important consideration is fairness…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-09 Giulio Morina , Viktoriia Oliinyk , Julian Waton , Ines Marusic , Konstantinos Georgatzis

Considerable efforts to measure and mitigate gender bias in recent years have led to the introduction of an abundance of tasks, datasets, and metrics used in this vein. In this position paper, we assess the current paradigm of gender bias…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-10-21 Hadas Orgad , Yonatan Belinkov

Methods for combining predictions from different models in a supervised learning setting must somehow estimate/predict the quality of a model's predictions at unknown future inputs. Many of these methods (often implicitly) make the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-06-25 Thijs van Ommen

ML is playing an increasingly crucial role in estimating causal effects of treatments on outcomes from observational data. Many ML methods (`causal estimators') have been proposed for this task. All of these methods, as with any ML…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-06 Damian Machlanski , Spyridon Samothrakis , Paul Clarke

Many real-world classification problems are significantly class-imbalanced to detriment of the class of interest. The standard set of proper evaluation metrics is well-known but the usual assumption is that the test dataset imbalance equals…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-16 Jan Brabec , Tomáš Komárek , Vojtěch Franc , Lukáš Machlica

Empirical and LLM-based research in model-driven engineering increasingly relies on datasets of software models, for instance, to train or evaluate machine learning techniques for modeling support. These datasets have a significant impact…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2026-03-06 Philipp-Lorenz Glaser , Lola Burgueño , Dominik Bork

Machine learning algorithms are increasingly used to inform critical decisions. There is a growing concern about bias, that algorithms may produce uneven outcomes for individuals in different demographic groups. In this work, we measure…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-01 Runshan Fu , Yangfan Liang , Peter Zhang

The cost of errors related to machine learning classifiers, namely, false positives and false negatives, are not equal and are application dependent. For example, in cybersecurity applications, the cost of not detecting an attack is very…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-01 Manish Marwah , Asad Narayanan , Stephan Jou , Martin Arlitt , Maria Pospelova

Predictions of uncertainty-aware models are diverse, ranging from single point estimates (often averaged over prediction samples) to predictive distributions, to set-valued or credal-set representations. We propose a novel unified…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-18 Shireen Kudukkil Manchingal , Muhammad Mubashar , Kaizheng Wang , Fabio Cuzzolin

Uncertainty quantification is a set of techniques that measure confidence in language models. They can be used, for example, to detect hallucinations or alert users to review uncertain predictions. To be useful, these confidence scores must…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-04-13 Lorenzo Jaime Yu Flores , Cesare Spinoso di-Piano , Jackie Chi Kit Cheung

Bug prediction is the process of training a machine learning model on software metrics and fault information to predict bugs in software entities. While feature selection is an important step in building a robust prediction model, there is…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2018-07-13 Haidar Osman , Mohammad Ghafari , Oscar Nierstrasz