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相关论文: Multivariate time-series modeling with generative …

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Generative moment matching networks (GMMNs) are suggested for modeling the cross-sectional dependence between stochastic processes. The stochastic processes considered are geometric Brownian motions and ARMA-GARCH models. Geometric Brownian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-08-30 Marius Hofert , Avinash Prasad , Mu Zhu

Generative moment matching networks (GMMNs) are introduced for generating quasi-random samples from multivariate models with any underlying copula in order to compute estimates under variance reduction. So far, quasi-random sampling for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-04-06 Marius Hofert , Avinash Prasad , Mu Zhu

Modeling multivariate time series has long been a subject that has attracted researchers from a diverse range of fields including economics, finance, and traffic. A basic assumption behind multivariate time series forecasting is that its…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-26 Zonghan Wu , Shirui Pan , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Xiaojun Chang , Chengqi Zhang

We introduce a general approach for modeling the dynamic of multivariate time series when the data are of mixed type (binary/count/continuous). Our method is quite flexible and conditionally on past values, each coordinate at time $t$ can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-05 Zinsou Max Debaly , Lionel Truquet

An adaptive bandwidth selection procedure for the mixture kernel in the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) for fitting generative moment matching networks (GMMNs) is introduced, and its ability to improve the learning of copula random number…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-01 Marius Hofert , Gan Yao

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting plays an important role in the automation and optimization of intelligent applications. It is a challenging task, as we need to consider both complex intra-variable dependencies and inter-variable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-11 Ling Chen , Donghui Chen , Zongjiang Shang , Binqing Wu , Cen Zheng , Bo Wen , Wei Zhang

Forecasting on sparse multivariate time series (MTS) aims to model the predictors of future values of time series given their incomplete past, which is important for many emerging applications. However, most existing methods process MTS's…

Time-series data augmentation plays a crucial role in regression-oriented forecasting tasks, where limited data restricts the performance of deep learning models. While Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have shown promise in synthetic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-01 Ci Lin , Futong Li , Tet Yeap , Iluju Kiringa

In the copula-based approach to univariate time series modeling, the finite dimensional temporal dependence of a stationary time series is captured by a copula. Recent studies investigate how copula-based time series models can be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-03 Sven Pappert , Harry Joe

Graphical Transformation Models (GTMs) are introduced as a novel approach to effectively model multivariate data with intricate marginals and complex dependency structures semiparametrically, while maintaining interpretability through the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-28 Matthias Herp , Johannes Brachem , Michael Altenbuchinger , Thomas Kneib

Copula-based time series models can model univariate and stationary time series in a flexible way by decomposing the joint distribution of consecutive observations into a copula and the stationary distribution. Implicitly this approach…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-24 Sven Pappert

Finding parametric models that accurately describe the dependence structure of observed data is a central task in the analysis of time series. Classical frequency domain methods provide a popular set of tools for fitting and diagnostics of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-18 Stefan Birr , Tobias Kley , Stanislav Volgushev

Ensemble weather forecasts based on multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models typically show systematic errors and require post-processing to obtain reliable forecasts. Accurately modeling multivariate dependencies is crucial in…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-02-02 Jieyu Chen , Tim Janke , Florian Steinke , Sebastian Lerch

Similarity-based approaches represent a promising direction for time series analysis. However, many such methods rely on parameter tuning, and some have shortcomings if the time series are multivariate (MTS), due to dependencies between…

The imputation of the Multivariate time series (MTS) is particularly challenging since the MTS typically contains irregular patterns of missing values due to various factors such as instrument failures, interference from irrelevant data,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-04 Ye Su , Hezhe Qiao , Di Wu , Yuwen Chen , Lin Chen

Devising and analyzing learning models for spatiotemporal network data is of importance for tasks including forecasting, anomaly detection, and multi-agent coordination, among others. Graph Convolutional Neural Networks (GCNNs) are an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-01 Mohammad Sabbaqi , Elvin Isufi

In recent years, there has been an increasing interest in the use of graph neural networks (GNNs) for analyzing dynamic graphs, which are graphs that evolve over time. However, there is still a lack of understanding of how different…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-03 Rishu Verma , Ashmita Bhattacharya , Sai Naveen Katla

The non-stationary nature of real-world Multivariate Time Series (MTS) data presents forecasting models with a formidable challenge of the time-variant distribution of time series, referred to as distribution shift. Existing studies on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-19 Hui He , Qi Zhang , Kun Yi , Xiaojun Xue , Shoujin Wang , Liang Hu , Longbing Cao

The essence of multivariate sequential learning is all about how to extract dependencies in data. These data sets, such as hourly medical records in intensive care units and multi-frequency phonetic time series, often time exhibit not only…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-01 Yaquan Zhang , Qi Wu , Nanbo Peng , Min Dai , Jing Zhang , Hu Wang

Longitudinal studies frequently incorporate covariates that evolve over time, creating complex dependence structures between outcomes and predictors. When covariates are time dependent, standard power analysis tools--largely developed for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Niloofar Ramezani , Oliver Hurst
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