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This paper addresses the task of estimating a covariance matrix under a patternless sparsity assumption. In contrast to existing approaches based on thresholding or shrinkage penalties, we propose a likelihood-based method that regularizes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-13 Jason Xu , Kenneth Lange

Current and upcoming cosmological surveys will produce unprecedented amounts of high-dimensional data, which require complex high-fidelity forward simulations to accurately model both physical processes and systematic effects which describe…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2025-08-11 Aizhan Akhmetzhanova , Carolina Cuesta-Lazaro , Siddharth Mishra-Sharma

Statistical methods for inference on spatial extremes of large datasets are yet to be developed. Motivated by standard dimension reduction techniques used in spatial statistics, we propose an approach based on empirical basis functions to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-02 Samuel A. Morris , Brian J. Reich , Emeric Thibaud

Discovering the underlying dynamics of complex systems from data is an important practical topic. Constrained optimization algorithms are widely utilized and lead to many successes. Yet, such purely data-driven methods may bring about…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-05-17 Nan Chen , Yinling Zhang

The peculiar velocity field of the local Universe provides direct insights into its matter distribution and the underlying theory of gravity, and is essential in cosmological analyses for modelling deviations from the Hubble flow. Numerous…

A number of theoretically well-motivated additions to the standard cosmological model predict weak signatures in the form of spatially localized sources embedded in the cosmic microwave background (CMB) fluctuations. We present a…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2013-09-18 Stephen M. Feeney , Matthew C. Johnson , Jason D. McEwen , Daniel J. Mortlock , Hiranya V. Peiris

Spatial maps of extreme precipitation are crucial in flood protection. With the aim of producing maps of precipitation return levels, we propose a novel approach to model a collection of spatially distributed time series where the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-27 Federica Stolf , Antonio Canale

We consider an empirical likelihood framework for inference for a statistical model based on an informative sampling design. Covariate information is incorporated both through the weights and the estimating equations. The estimator is based…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-03 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Mark S. Handcock

Comparing competing mathematical models of complex natural processes is a shared goal among many branches of science. The Bayesian probabilistic framework offers a principled way to perform model comparison and extract useful metrics for…

Here we develop a method for performing nonparametric Bayesian inference on quantiles. Relying on geometric measure theory and employing a Hausdorff base measure, we are able to specify meaningful priors for the quantile while treating the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-05-12 Luke Bornn , Neil Shephard , Reza Solgi

Bayesian hierarchical models have been demonstrated to provide efficient algorithms for finding sparse solutions to ill-posed inverse problems. The models comprise typically a conditionally Gaussian prior model for the unknown, augmented by…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-03-31 Daniela Calvetti , Erkki Somersalo

Inverse problems and, in particular, inferring unknown or latent parameters from data are ubiquitous in engineering simulations. A predominant viewpoint in identifying unknown parameters is Bayesian inference where both prior information…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-08-31 Vahid Keshavarzzadeh , Robert M. Kirby , Akil Narayan

By introducing Crossing functions and hyper-parameters I show that the Bayesian interpretation of the Crossing Statistics [1] can be used trivially for the purpose of model selection among cosmological models. In this approach to falsify a…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2012-05-24 Arman Shafieloo

Understanding the properties of transient gravitational waves and their sources is of broad interest in physics and astronomy. Bayesian inference is the standard framework for astro-physical measurement in transient gravitational-wave…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2020-10-07 Rory Smith , Gregory Ashton , Avi Vajpeyi , Colm Talbot

Well-calibrated probabilistic regression models are a crucial learning component in robotics applications as datasets grow rapidly and tasks become more complex. Unfortunately, classical regression models are usually either probabilistic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-12 Hany Abdulsamad , Peter Nickl , Pascal Klink , Jan Peters

The abundance of new cosmological data becoming available means that a wider range of cosmological models are testable than ever before. However, an important distinction must be made between parameter fitting and model selection. While…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Pia Mukherjee , David Parkinson , Andrew R. Liddle

Building upon [2308.02636], we investigate the constraining power of persistent homology on cosmological parameters and primordial non-Gaussianity in a likelihood-free inference pipeline utilizing machine learning. We evaluate the ability…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2025-09-22 Juan Calles , Jacky H. T. Yip , Gabriella Contardo , Jorge Noreña , Adam Rouhiainen , Gary Shiu

We use astrophysical data to shed light on fundamental physics by constraining parametrized theoretical cosmological and gravitational models. Gravitational parameters are those constants that parametrize possible departures from Einstein's…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2008-08-18 Yi Mao

In recent years, cosmic shear has emerged as a powerful tool to study the statistical distribution of matter in our Universe. Apart from the standard two-point correlation functions, several alternative methods like peak count statistics…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2021-04-21 Sven Heydenreich , Benjamin Brück , Joachim Harnois-Déraps

Data-driven anomaly detection methods typically build a model for the normal behavior of the target system, and score each data instance with respect to this model. A threshold is invariably needed to identify data instances with high (or…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-09 Sreelekha Guggilam , S. M. Arshad Zaidi , Varun Chandola , Abani Patra