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相关论文: Global Sensitivity Analysis on Numerical Solver Pa…

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Sensitivity analysis (SA) is a procedure for studying how sensitive are the output results of large-scale mathematical models to some uncertainties of the input data. The models are described as a system of partial differential equations.…

数值分析 · 数学 2017-01-20 Ivan Dimov , Rayna Georgieva

This paper presents an efficient surrogate modeling strategy for the uncertainty quantification and Bayesian calibration of a hydrological model. In particular, a process-based dynamical urban drainage simulator that predicts the discharge…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-11-14 Joseph B. Nagel , Jörg Rieckermann , Bruno Sudret

Stochastic simulation models are generative models that mimic complex systems to help with decision-making. The reliability of these models heavily depends on well-calibrated input model parameters. However, in many practical scenarios,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-11 Ziwei Su , Diego Klabjan

This is a technical report that extends and clarifies the results presented in [1]. The model identification problem for asymptotically stable linear time invariant systems is considered. The system output is affected by an additive noise…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-09-05 Marco Lauricella , Lorenzo Fagiano

Simulation models of critical systems often have parameters that need to be calibrated using observed data. For expensive simulation models, calibration is done using an emulator of the simulation model built on simulation output at…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-24 Özge Sürer , Matthew Plumlee , Stefan M. Wild

Approximate solutions of partial differential equations (PDEs) obtained by neural networks are highly affected by hyper parameter settings. For instance, the model training strongly depends on loss function design, including the choice of…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-03-13 Hee Jun Yang , Alexander Heinlein , Hyea Hyun Kim

Engineering risk is concerned with the likelihood of failure and the scenarios when it occurs. The sensitivity of failure probability to change in system parameters is relevant to risk-informed decision making. Computing sensitivity is at…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-19 Siu-Kui Au , Zi-Jun Cao

We consider estimation of the parameters of a Gaussian Stochastic Process (GaSP), in the context of emulation (approximation) of computer models for which the outcomes are real-valued scalars. The main focus is on estimation of the GaSP…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-08-17 Mengyang Gu , Xiaojing Wang , James O. Berger

Global sensitivity analysis of a numerical code, more specifically estimation of Sobol indices associated with input variables, generally requires a large number of model runs. When those demand too much computation time, it is necessary to…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2012-01-16 Alexandre Janon , Maëlle Nodet , Clémentine Prieur

Computational models of the cardiovascular system are increasingly used for the diagnosis, treatment, and prevention of cardiovascular disease. Before being used for translational applications, the predictive abilities of these models need…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-01-11 Friederike Schäfer , Daniele E. Schiavazzi , Leif Rune Hellevik , Jacob Sturdy

This paper proposes a novel approach to determining the internal parameters of the hashing-based approximate model counting algorithm $\mathsf{ApproxMC}$. In this problem, the chosen parameter values must ensure that $\mathsf{ApproxMC}$ is…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-05-22 Jinping Lei , Toru Takisaka , Junqiang Peng , Mingyu Xiao

Scatterometry is a fast, indirect and nondestructive optical method for the quality control in the production of lithography masks. Geometry parameters of line gratings are obtained from diffracted light intensities by solving an inverse…

We provide a novel method for sensitivity analysis of parametric robust Markov chains. These models incorporate parameters and sets of probability distributions to alleviate the often unrealistic assumption that precise probabilities are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-03 Thom Badings , Sebastian Junges , Ahmadreza Marandi , Ufuk Topcu , Nils Jansen

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) can provide rich information for controlling output uncertainty. In practical applications, segmented models are commonly used to describe an abrupt model change. For segmented models, the complicated…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-06-12 Shi-Shun Chen , Xiao-Yang Li

Nonlinear regression is a useful statistical tool, relating observed data and a nonlinear function of unknown parameters. When the parameter-dependent nonlinear function is computationally intensive, a straightforward regression analysis by…

应用统计 · 统计学 2009-01-26 Dorin Drignei , Chris E. Forest , Doug Nychka

The accuracy and precision of high-energy spallation models are key issues for the design and development of new applications and experiments. We present a method to estimate model parameters and associated uncertainties by leveraging the…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2024-06-28 Jason Hirtz , Jean-Christophe David , Joseph Cugnon , Ingo Leya , José Luís Rodríguez-Sánchez , Georg Schnabel

Machine learning has emerged as a promising approach for estimating material parameters in solar cells. Traditional methods for parameter extraction often rely on time-consuming numerical simulations that fail to capture the full complexity…

材料科学 · 物理学 2025-06-17 Eunchi Kim , Paula Hartnagel , Barbara Urbano , Leonard Christen , Thomas Kirchartz

Results from global sensitivity analysis (GSA) often guide the understanding of complicated input-output systems. Kernel-based GSA methods have recently been proposed for their capability of treating a broad scope of complex systems. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-09 John Barr , Herschel Rabitz

We address the problem of parameter estimation in models of systems biology from noisy observations. The models we consider are characterized by simultaneous deterministic nonlinear differential equations whose parameters are either taken…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-05-01 Xin Liu , Mahesan Niranjan

Many real-world processes and phenomena are modeled using systems of ordinary differential equations with parameters. Given such a system, we say that a parameter is globally identifiable if it can be uniquely recovered from input and…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2023-05-24 Hoon Hong , Alexey Ovchinnikov , Gleb Pogudin , Chee Yap