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Recidivism prediction scores are used across the USA to determine sentencing and supervision for hundreds of thousands of inmates. One such generator of recidivism prediction scores is Northpointe's Correctional Offender Management…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-07-03 Christina Wadsworth , Francesca Vera , Chris Piech

Recidivism prediction provides decision makers with an assessment of the likelihood that a criminal defendant will reoffend that can be used in pre-trial decision-making. It can also be used for prediction of locations where crimes most…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-07 Eduardo Soares , Plamen Angelov

In the United States and elsewhere, risk assessment algorithms are being used to help inform criminal justice decision-makers. A common intent is to forecast an offender's ``future dangerousness.'' Such algorithms have been correctly…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-08-10 Richard A. Berk , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Incarceration-diversion treatment programs aim to improve societal reintegration and reduce recidivism, but limited capacity forces policymakers to make prioritization decisions that often rely on risk assessment tools. While predictive,…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Chuwen Zhang , Pengyi Shi , Amy Ward

Deep learning crime predictive tools use past crime data and additional behavioral datasets to forecast future crimes. Nevertheless, these tools have been shown to suffer from unfair predictions across minority racial and ethnic groups.…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-06-14 Jiahui Wu , Vanessa Frias-Martinez

Racial disparities in recidivism remain a persistent challenge within the criminal justice system, increasingly exacerbated by the adoption of algorithmic risk assessment tools. Past works have primarily focused on bias induced by these…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2025-04-29 Jessy Xinyi Han , Kristjan Greenewald , Devavrat Shah

Risk assessment algorithms have been correctly criticized for potential unfairness, and there is an active cottage industry trying to make repairs. In this paper, we adopt a framework from conformal prediction sets to remove unfairness from…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-05-24 Richard A. Berk , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Recidivism prediction instruments provide decision makers with an assessment of the likelihood that a criminal defendant will reoffend at a future point in time. While such instruments are gaining increasing popularity across the country,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-10-25 Alexandra Chouldechova

A crime is a punishable offence that is harmful for an individual and his society. It is obvious to comprehend the patterns of criminal activity to prevent them. Research can help society to prevent and solve crime activates. Study shows…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-23 Sohrab Hossain , Ahmed Abtahee , Imran Kashem , Mohammed Moshiul Hoque , Iqbal H. Sarker

Complex statistical machine learning models are increasingly being used or considered for use in high-stakes decision-making pipelines in domains such as financial services, health care, criminal justice and human services. These models are…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-07-04 Alexandra Chouldechova , Max G'Sell

Settings such as lending and policing can be modeled by a centralized agent allocating a resource (loans or police officers) amongst several groups, in order to maximize some objective (loans given that are repaid or criminals that are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-16 Hadi Elzayn , Shahin Jabbari , Christopher Jung , Michael Kearns , Seth Neel , Aaron Roth , Zachary Schutzman

The algorithmic fairness of predictive analytic tools in the public sector has increasingly become a topic of rigorous exploration. While instruments pertaining to criminal recidivism and academic admissions, for example, have garnered much…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-26 Jordan Purdy , Brian Glass

Criminal recidivism models are tools that have gained widespread adoption by parole boards across the United States to assist with parole decisions. These models take in large amounts of data about an individual and then predict whether an…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2022-09-29 Eric Ingram , Furkan Gursoy , Ioannis A. Kakadiaris

In this paper, we study the effects of using an algorithm-based risk assessment instrument to support the prediction of risk of criminalrecidivism. The instrument we use in our experiments is a machine learning version ofRiskEval(name…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-03-18 Manuel Portela , Carlos Castillo , Songül Tolan , Marzieh Karimi-Haghighi , Antonio Andres Pueyo

In an attempt to make algorithms fair, the machine learning literature has largely focused on equalizing decisions, outcomes, or error rates across race or gender groups. To illustrate, consider a hypothetical government rideshare program…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-14 Alex Chohlas-Wood , Madison Coots , Henry Zhu , Emma Brunskill , Sharad Goel

There is increasing regulatory interest in whether machine learning algorithms deployed in consequential domains (e.g. in criminal justice) treat different demographic groups "fairly." However, there are several proposed notions of…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2020-02-19 Christopher Jung , Sampath Kannan , Changhwa Lee , Mallesh M. Pai , Aaron Roth , Rakesh Vohra

Gender-based crime is one of the most concerning scourges of contemporary society. Governments worldwide have invested lots of economic and human resources to radically eliminate this threat. Despite these efforts, providing accurate…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-10-28 Ángel González-Prieto , Antonio Brú , Juan Carlos Nuño , José Luis González-Álvarez

Predictive machine learning (ML) models are computational innovations that can enhance medical decision-making, including aiding in determining optimal timing for discharging patients. However, societal biases can be encoded into such…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-12-10 Ugur Kursuncu , Aaron Baird , Yusen Xia

We propose the use of Agent Based Models (ABMs) inside a reinforcement learning framework in order to better understand the relationship between automated decision making tools, fairness-inspired statistical constraints, and the social…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2019-03-25 Efrén Cruz Cortés , Debashis Ghosh

It is now well understood that machine learning models, trained on data without due care, often exhibit unfair and discriminatory behavior against certain populations. Traditional algorithmic fairness research has mainly focused on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-16 Rashidul Islam , Shimei Pan , James R. Foulds
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