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We investigate the estimation of the causal effect of a treatment variable on an outcome in the presence of a latent confounder. We first show that the causal effect is identifiable under certain conditions when data is available from…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-06-16 Yaroslav Kivva , Sina Akbari , Saber Salehkaleybar , Negar Kiyavash

Given data sampled from a number of variables, one is often interested in the underlying causal relationships in the form of a directed acyclic graph. In the general case, without interventions on some of the variables it is only possible…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-12-05 Christopher Nowzohour , Peter Bühlmann

Causal inference methods based on conditional independence construct Markov equivalent graphs, and cannot be applied to bivariate cases. The approaches based on independence of cause and mechanism state, on the contrary, that causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-04 Nataliya Sokolovska , Pierre-Henri Wuillemin

Causal effect estimation from observational data is a crucial but challenging task. Currently, only a limited number of data-driven causal effect estimation methods are available. These methods either provide only a bound estimation of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-10 Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Kui Yu , Thuc Duy Lee , Jixue Liu

Causal effect moderation investigates how the effect of interventions (or treatments) on outcome variables changes based on observed characteristics of individuals, known as potential effect moderators. With advances in data collection,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-26 Soham Bakshi , Walter Dempsey , Snigdha Panigrahi

We address the problem of inferring the causal direction between two variables by comparing the least-squares errors of the predictions in both possible directions. Under the assumption of an independence between the function relating cause…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2019-01-25 Patrick Blöbaum , Dominik Janzing , Takashi Washio , Shohei Shimizu , Bernhard Schölkopf

This paper develops a Bayesian framework for robust causal inference from longitudinal observational data. Many contemporary methods rely on structural assumptions, such as factor models, to adjust for unobserved confounding, but they can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-20 Angelos Alexopoulos , Nikolaos Demiris

Instrumental variable methods are fundamental to causal inference when treatment assignment is confounded by unobserved variables. In this article, we develop a general nonparametric causal framework for identification and learning with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-10 Shuyuan Chen , Peng Zhang , Yifan Cui

We deal with a model where a set of observations is obtained by a linear superposition of unknown components called sources. The problem consists in recovering the sources without knowing the linear transform. We extend the well-known…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-12-14 Marc Castella

We consider a multi-view learning problem known as group independent component analysis (group ICA), where the goal is to recover shared independent sources from many views. The statistical modeling of this problem requires to take noise…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-23 Hugo Richard , Pierre Ablin , Aapo Hyvärinen , Alexandre Gramfort , Bertrand Thirion

This tutorial provides a concise introduction to modern causal modeling by integrating potential outcomes and graphical methods. We motivate causal questions such as counterfactual reasoning under interventions and define binary treatments…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-27 Gauranga Kumar Baishya

Independent Component Analysis (ICA) - one of the basic tools in data analysis - aims to find a coordinate system in which the components of the data are independent. In this paper we present Multiple-weighted Independent Component Analysis…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-04 Andrzej Bedychaj , Przemysław Spurek , Łukasz Struskim , Jacek Tabor

Causal inference is a critical research topic across many domains, such as statistics, computer science, education, public policy and economics, for decades. Nowadays, estimating causal effect from observational data has become an appealing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-10 Liuyi Yao , Zhixuan Chu , Sheng Li , Yaliang Li , Jing Gao , Aidong Zhang

We propose a method to classify the causal relationship between two discrete variables given only the joint distribution of the variables, acknowledging that the method is subject to an inherent baseline error. We assume that the causal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-11-07 Krzysztof Chalupka , Frederick Eberhardt , Pietro Perona

We study the problem of causal effect identification from observational distribution given the causal graph and some context-specific independence (CSI) relations. It was recently shown that this problem is NP-hard, and while a sound…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-18 Ehsan Mokhtarian , Fateme Jamshidi , Jalal Etesami , Negar Kiyavash

We present new methods to estimate causal effects retrospectively from micro data with the assistance of a machine learning ensemble. This approach overcomes two important limitations in conventional methods like regression modeling or…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-07-12 Cyrus Samii , Laura Paler , Sarah Zukerman Daly

Scientists regularly pose questions about treatment effects on outcomes conditional on a post-treatment event. However, causal inference in such settings requires care, even in perfectly executed randomized experiments. Recently, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-19 Chan Park , Mats Stensrud , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Causal models bring many benefits to decision-making systems (or agents) by making them interpretable, sample-efficient, and robust to changes in the input distribution. However, spurious correlations can lead to wrong causal models and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-09 Sergei Volodin , Nevan Wichers , Jeremy Nixon

Information Geometric Causal Inference (IGCI) is a new approach to distinguish between cause and effect for two variables. It is based on an independence assumption between input distribution and causal mechanism that can be phrased in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-02-12 Dominik Janzing , Bastian Steudel , Naji Shajarisales , Bernhard Schölkopf

Causal effect identification considers whether an interventional probability distribution can be uniquely determined from a passively observed distribution in a given causal structure. If the generating system induces context-specific…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-07-03 Santtu Tikka , Antti Hyttinen , Juha Karvanen