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Predicting the economy's short-term dynamics -- a vital input to economic agents' decision-making process -- often uses lagged indicators in linear models. This is typically sufficient during normal times but could prove inadequate during…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-21 James T. E. Chapman , Ajit Desai

This paper describes the application of reinforcement learning (RL) to multi-product inventory management in supply chains. The problem description and solution are both adapted from a real-world business solution. The novelty of this…

Retailers have significant potential to improve recommendations through strategic bundling and pricing. By taking into account different types of customers and their purchasing decisions, retailers can better accommodate customer…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-09-06 Maxime Bouscary , Mazen Danaf , Saurabh Amin

Inaccurate records of inventory occur frequently, and by some measures cost retailers approximately 4% in annual sales. Detecting inventory inaccuracies manually is cost-prohibitive, and existing algorithmic solutions rely almost…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-15 Vivek F. Farias , Andrew A. Li , Tianyi Peng

The expansion of residential demand response programs and increased deployment of controllable loads will require accurate appliance-level load modeling and forecasting. This paper proposes a conditional hidden semi-Markov model to describe…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-10-10 Yuting Ji , Elizabeth Buechler , Ram Rajagopal

We introduce a new class of adaptive policies called periodic-affine policies, that allows a decision maker to optimally manage and control large-scale newsvendor networks in the presence of uncertain demand without distributional…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-06-19 Chaithanya Bandi , Eojin Han , Omid Nohadani

Employee theft and dishonesty is a major contributor to loss in the retail industry. Retailers have reported the need for more automated analytic tools to assess the liability of their employees. In this work, we train and optimize several…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-03-30 Richard R. Yang , Mike Borowczak

The newsvendor problem is one of the most basic and widely applied inventory models. There are numerous extensions of this problem. If the probability distribution of the demand is known, the problem can be solved analytically. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-03-07 Afshin Oroojlooyjadid , Lawrence Snyder , Martin Takáč

Accurate demand forecasting is critical for supply chain optimization, yet remains difficult in practice due to hierarchical complexity, domain shifts, and evolving external factors. While recent foundation models offer strong potential for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-30 Wei Yang , Defu Cao , Yan Liu

A novel high-frequency market-making approach in discrete time is proposed that admits closed-form solutions. By taking advantage of demand functions that are linear in the quoted bid and ask spreads with random coefficients, we model the…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-05-21 Jonathan Chávez-Casillas , José E. Figueroa-López , Chuyi Yu , Yi Zhang

We consider a manufacturing plant that purchases raw materials for product assembly and then sells the final products to customers. There are M types of raw materials and K types of products, and each product uses a certain subset of raw…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2010-04-06 Michael J. Neely , Longbo Huang

We study the warehouse problem, arising in the area of inventory management and production planning. Here, a merchant wants to decide an optimal trading policy that computes quantities of a single commodity to purchase, store and sell…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2024-01-22 Ishan Bansal , Oktay Günlük

We consider a two-product inventory system with independent Poisson demands, limited joint storage capacity and partial demand substitution. Replenishment is performed simultaneously for both products and the replenishment time may be fixed…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-10-20 Apostolos N. Burnetas , Odysseas Kanavetas

Accurately predicting stock repurchases is crucial for quantitative investment and risk management, yet traditional static models fail to capture the complex temporal dependencies of corporate financial conditions. This paper proposes a…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2026-04-14 Xiang Ao , Jingxuan Zhang , Xinyu Zhao

Electricity demand forecasting is key to ensuring that supply meets demand lest the grid would blackout. Reliable short-term forecasts may be obtained by combining a Generalized Additive Models (GAM) with a State-Space model (Obst et al.,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-04-01 Keshav Das , Julie Keisler , Margaux Brégère , Amaury Durand

The increased availability of massive data sets provides a unique opportunity to discover subtle patterns in their distributions, but also imposes overwhelming computational challenges. To fully utilize the information contained in big…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-12 Stanislav Volgushev , Shih-Kang Chao , Guang Cheng

A key challenge in inventory management is to identify policies that optimally replenish inventory from multiple suppliers. To solve such optimization problems, inventory managers need to decide what quantities to order from each supplier,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-29 Lucas Böttcher , Thomas Asikis , Ioannis Fragkos

In a variety of business situations, the introduction or improvement of machine learning approaches is impaired as these cannot draw on existing analytical models. However, in many cases similar problems may have already been solved…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-22 Robin Hirt , Niklas Kühl , Yusuf Peker , Gerhard Satzger

We present statistical methods for big data arising from online analytical processing, where large amounts of data arrive in streams and require fast analysis without storage/access to the historical data. In particular, we develop…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-06-13 Elizabeth D. Schifano , Jing Wu , Chun Wang , Jun Yan , Ming-Hui Chen

Today, many public or private institutions provide professional food service for personnels working in their own organizations. Regarding the planning of the said service, there are some obstacles due to the fact that the number of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-13 M. Hanefi Calp