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Demand forecasting in power sector has become an important part of modern demand management and response systems with the rise of smart metering enabled grids. Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) shows promising results in predicting time series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-30 Koushik Roy , Abtahi Ishmam , Kazi Abu Taher

Improving the performance of solar flare forecasting is a hot topic in solar physics research field. Deep learning has been considered a promising approach to perform solar flare forecasting in recent years. We first used the Generative…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-12-15 Zheng Deng , Feng Wang , Hui Deng , Lei Tan , Linhua Deng , Song Feng

This study progresses solar flare prediction research by presenting a full-disk deep-learning model to forecast $\geq$M-class solar flares and evaluating its efficacy on both central (within $\pm$70$^\circ$) and near-limb (beyond…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-08-31 Chetraj Pandey , Anli Ji , Trisha Nandakumar , Rafal A. Angryk , Berkay Aydin

This work presents a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network for forecasting a monthly electricity demand time series with a one-year horizon. The novelty of this work is the use of pattern representation of the seasonal time series as an…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-04-29 Paweł Pełka , Grzegorz Dudek

Recently, there has been growing interest in the use of machine-learning methods for predicting solar flares. Initial efforts along these lines employed comparatively simple models, correlating features extracted from observations of…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-06-21 Varad Deshmukh , Srinivas Baskar , Elizabeth Bradley , Thomas Berger , James D. Meiss

The Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) mission has delivered valuable sensing of surface soil moisture since 2015. However, it has a short time span and irregular revisit schedule. Utilizing a state-of-the-art time-series deep learning…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-10-26 Kuai Fang , Chaopeng Shen , Daniel Kifer , Xiao Yang

This study presents a comprehensive methodology for modeling and forecasting the historical time series of active fire spots detected by the AQUA\_M-T satellite in the Amazon, Brazil. The approach employs a mixed Recurrent Neural Network…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-05 Ramon Tavares , Ricardo Olinda

Solar flares are caused by magnetic eruptions in active regions (ARs) on the surface of the sun. These events can have significant impacts on human activity, many of which can be mitigated with enough advance warning from good forecasts. To…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-09-18 Varad Deshmukh , Thomas Berger , James Meiss , Elizabeth Bradley

Prediction of solar flares is an important task in solar physics. The occurrence of solar flares is highly dependent on the structure and the topology of solar magnetic fields. A new method for predicting large (M and X class) flares is…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2016-12-28 Abbas Raboonik , Hossein Safari , Nasibe Alipour , Michael S. Wheatland

With an increasing emphasis on driving down the costs of Operations and Maintenance (O&M) in the Offshore Wind (OSW) sector, comes the requirement to explore new methodology and applications of Deep Learning (DL) to the domain.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-27 Connor Walker , Callum Rothon , Koorosh Aslansefat , Yiannis Papadopoulos , Nina Dethlefs

Whilst the most dynamic solar active regions (ARs) are known to flare frequently, predicting the occurrence of individual flares and their magnitude, is very much a developing field with strong potentials for machine learning applications.…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-12-16 M. B. Korsos , R. Erdelyi , J. Liu , H. Morgan

Solar flares emanate from solar active regions hosting complex and strong bipolar magnetic fluxes. Estimating the probability of an active region to flare and defining reliable precursors of intense flares is an extremely challenging task…

Solar based electricity generations have experienced strong and impactful growth in recent years. The regulation, scheduling, dispatching, and unit commitment of intermittent solar power is dependent on the accuracy of the forecasting…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-03-30 Shaktinarayana Mishra , Lokanath Tripathy , Prachitara Satapathy , P. K. Dash , Nitasha Sahani

This study presents the development and optimization of a deep learning model based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to predict short-term hourly electricity demand in C\'ordoba, Argentina. Integrating historical consumption data…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-09-25 Oscar A. Oviedo

Flares are a well-studied aspect of the Sun's magnetic activity. Detecting and classifying solar flares can inform the analysis of contamination caused by stellar flares in exoplanet transmission spectra. In this paper, we present a…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-06-25 Nicole Hao , Laura Flagg , Ray Jayawardhana

Solar flare prediction plays an important role in understanding and forecasting space weather. The main goal of the Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI), one of the instruments on NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory, is to study the origin…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2021-09-08 Yasser Abduallah , Jason T. L. Wang , Yang Nie , Chang Liu , Haimin Wang

Unpredictability of renewable energy sources coupled with the complexity of those methods used for various purposes in this area calls for the development of robust methods such as DL models within the renewable energy domain. Given the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-07 Lutfu Sua , Haibo Wang , Jun Huang

Here, we developed a complex network of solar active regions (ARs) to study various local and global properties of the network. The values of the Hurst exponent ($0.8-0.9$) were evaluated by both the detrended fluctuation analysis and the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-08-23 Farhad Daei , Hossein Safari , Neda Dadashi

This paper contributes to the growing body of research on deep learning methods for solar flare prediction, primarily focusing on highly overlooked near-limb flares and utilizing the attribution methods to provide a post hoc qualitative…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-27 Chetraj Pandey , Rafal A. Angryk , Berkay Aydin

Over the past few decades, many applications of physics-based simulations and data-driven techniques (including machine learning and deep learning) have emerged to analyze and predict solar flares. These approaches are pivotal in…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-02-07 Anli Ji , Berkay Aydin