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Existing well investigated Predictive Process Monitoring techniques typically construct a predictive model based on past process executions, and then use it to predict the future of new ongoing cases, without the possibility of updating it…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-26 Williams Rizzi , Chiara Di Francescomarino , Chiara Ghidini , Fabrizio Maria Maggi

Inferring models, predicting the future, and estimating the entropy rate of discrete-time, discrete-event processes is well-worn ground. However, a much broader class of discrete-event processes operates in continuous-time. Here, we provide…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-05-11 S. E. Marzen , J. P. Crutchfield

The availability of large amounts of time series data, paired with the performance of deep-learning algorithms on a broad class of problems, has recently led to significant interest in the use of sequence-to-sequence models for time series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-27 Vitaly Kuznetsov , Zelda Mariet

A large fraction of data generated via human activities such as online purchases, health records, spatial mobility etc. can be represented as a sequence of events over a continuous-time. Learning deep learning models over these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-29 Vinayak Gupta , Srikanta Bedathur , Sourangshu Bhattacharya , Abir De

Hierarchical time-series forecasting is essential for demand prediction across various industries. While machine learning models have obtained significant accuracy and scalability on such forecasting tasks, the interpretability of their…

Time series forecasting using historical data has been an interesting and challenging topic, especially when the data is corrupted by missing values. In many industrial problem, it is important to learn the inference function between the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-02 Trang H. Tran , Lam M. Nguyen , Kyongmin Yeo , Nam Nguyen , Dzung Phan , Roman Vaculin , Jayant Kalagnanam

Irregular sampling occurs in many time series modeling applications where it presents a significant challenge to standard deep learning models. This work is motivated by the analysis of physiological time series data in electronic health…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-08 Satya Narayan Shukla , Benjamin M. Marlin

Delay embedding---a method for reconstructing dynamical systems by delay coordinates---is widely used to forecast nonlinear time series as a model-free approach. When multivariate time series are observed, several existing frameworks can be…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-07-04 Shunya Okuno , Kazuyuki Aihara , Yoshito Hirata

Cyber-physical systems often consist of entities that interact with each other over time. Meanwhile, as part of the continued digitization of industrial processes, various sensor technologies are deployed that enable us to record…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-09-03 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Darius-Valer Micu , Gabriel-Marcel Muresan , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Modern time series forecasting methods, such as Transformer and its variants, have shown strong ability in sequential data modeling. To achieve high performance, they usually rely on redundant or unexplainable structures to model complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-30 Jingyi Hou , Zhen Dong , Jiayu Zhou , Zhijie Liu

Numerous powerful point process models have been developed to understand temporal patterns in sequential data from fields such as health-care, electronic commerce, social networks, and natural disaster forecasting. In this paper, we develop…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-08-15 Yatao Zhong , Bicheng Xu , Guang-Tong Zhou , Luke Bornn , Greg Mori

Demand forecasting is a central component of the replenishment process for retailers, as it provides crucial input for subsequent decision making like ordering processes. In contrast to point estimates, such as the conditional mean of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-23 F. Wick , U. Kerzel , M. Hahn , M. Wolf , T. Singhal , D. Stemmer , J. Ernst , M. Feindt

In industrial data analytics, one of the fundamental problems is to utilize the temporal correlation of the industrial data to make timely predictions in the production process, such as fault prediction and yield prediction. However, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-23 Hongzhi Wang , Yijie Yang , Yang Song

Time series forecasting plays an increasingly important role in modern business decisions. In today's data-rich environment, people often aim to choose the optimal forecasting model for their data. However, identifying the optimal model…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-12-17 Xixi Li , Fotios Petropoulos , Yanfei Kang

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful generative frameworks by progressively adding noise to data through a forward process and then reversing this process to generate realistic samples. While these models have achieved strong…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Xingzhuo Guo , Yu Zhang , Baixu Chen , Haoran Xu , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

In this paper, we conduct a systematic large-scale analysis of order book-driven predictability in high-frequency returns by leveraging deep learning techniques. First, we introduce a new and robust representation of the order book, the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-10-10 Lorenzo Lucchese , Mikko Pakkanen , Almut Veraart

Mobility-on-demand (MoD) systems represent a rapidly developing mode of transportation wherein travel requests are dynamically handled by a coordinated fleet of vehicles. Crucially, the efficiency of an MoD system highly depends on how well…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-05-05 Daniele Gammelli , Filipe Rodrigues

Forecasting with multivariate time series, which aims to predict future values given previous and current several univariate time series data, has been studied for decades, with one example being ARIMA. Because it is difficult to measure…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-10-19 Youngjin Park , Deokjun Eom , Byoungki Seo , Jaesik Choi

Generating high quality uncertainty estimates for sequential regression, particularly deep recurrent networks, remains a challenging and open problem. Existing approaches often make restrictive assumptions (such as stationarity) yet still…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-26 Jiri Navratil , Matthew Arnold , Benjamin Elder

There has been an arising trend of adopting deep learning methods to study partial differential equations (PDEs). In this paper, we introduce a deep recurrent framework for solving time-dependent PDEs without generating large scale data…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-04-21 Cheng Chang , Liu Liu , Tieyong Zeng