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Compared to the wide array of advanced Monte Carlo methods supported by modern probabilistic programming languages (PPLs), PPL support for variational inference (VI) is less developed: users are typically limited to a predefined selection…

A popular way to estimate the causal effect of a variable x on y from observational data is to use an instrumental variable (IV): a third variable z that affects y only through x. The more strongly z is associated with x, the more reliable…

Traditional instrumental variable (IV) estimators face a fundamental constraint: they can only accommodate as many endogenous treatment variables as available instruments. This limitation becomes particularly challenging in settings where…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-25 Shiangyi Lin , Hui Lan , Vasilis Syrgkanis

A Bayesian method of moments/instrumental variable (BMOM/IV) approach is developed and applied in the analysis of the important mean and multiple regression models. Given a single set of data, it is shown how to obtain posterior and…

bayes-an · 物理学 2008-02-03 Arnold Zellner

Estimating conditional mutual information (CMI) is an essential yet challenging step in many machine learning and data mining tasks. Estimating CMI from data that contains both discrete and continuous variables, or even discrete-continuous…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-01-14 Alexander Marx , Lincen Yang , Matthijs van Leeuwen

Instrumental variable (IV) is a powerful approach to inferring the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome of interest from observational data even when there exist latent confounders between the treatment and the outcome. However,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-06-07 Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Kui Yu , Thuc Duy Lee , Jixue Liu

Projection predictive inference is a decision theoretic Bayesian approach that decouples model estimation from decision making. Given a reference model previously built including all variables present in the data, projection predictive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-15 Alejandro Catalina , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Aki Vehtari

This paper studies the application of the generalized method of moments (GMM) to multi-reference alignment (MRA): the problem of estimating a signal from its circularly-translated and noisy copies. We begin by proving that the GMM estimator…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-04-06 Asaf Abas , Tamir Bendory , Nir Sharon

When studying the association between treatment and a clinical outcome, a parametric multivariable model of the conditional outcome expectation is often used to adjust for covariates. The treatment coefficient of the outcome model targets a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-07 Antonio Remiro-Azócar , Anna Heath , Gianluca Baio

As increasingly popular metrics of worker and institutional quality, estimated value-added (VA) measures are now widely used as dependent or explanatory variables in regressions. For example, VA is used as an explanatory variable when…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-10-12 Antoine Deeb

We present some new results on the dynamic regressor extension and mixing parameter estimators for linear regression models recently proposed in the literature. This technique has proven instrumental in the solution of several open problems…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-08-15 Romeo Ortega , Stanislav Aranovskiy , Anton A. Pyrkin , Alessandro Astolfi , Alexey A. Bobtsov

Instrumental variable methods have been widely used to identify causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. A key identification condition known as the exclusion restriction states that the instrument cannot have a direct…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-05 Baoluo Sun , Yifan Cui , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

This paper develops a penalized GMM (PGMM) framework for automatic debiased inference on functionals of nonparametric instrumental variable estimators. We derive convergence rates for the PGMM estimator and provide conditions for root-n…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-06 Edvard Bakhitov

Fields like public health, public policy, and social science often want to quantify the degree of dependence between variables whose relationships take on unknown functional forms. Typically, in fact, researchers in these fields are…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-12-10 Octavio César Mesner , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

The technique of data augmentation (DA) is often used in machine learning for regularization purposes to better generalize under i.i.d. settings. In this work, we present a unifying framework with topics in causal inference to make a case…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-02 Uzair Akbar , Niki Kilbertus , Hao Shen , Krikamol Muandet , Bo Dai

Instrumental variable methods are widely used for inferring the causal effect in the presence of unmeasured confounders. Existing instrumental variable methods for nonlinear outcome models require stringent identifiability conditions. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-01 Sai Li , Zijian Guo

In randomized trials, repeated measures of the outcome are routinely collected. The mixed model for repeated measures (MMRM) leverages the information from these repeated outcome measures, and is often used for the primary analysis to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-20 Bingkai Wang , Yu Du

Multivariable parametric models are critical for designing, controlling, and optimizing the performance of engineered systems. The main aim of this paper is to develop a parametric identification strategy that delivers accurate and…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-01 Maarten van der Hulst , Rodrigo González , Koen Classens , Nic Dirkx , Jeroen van de Wijdeven , Tom Oomen

The modern formulation of the instrumental variable methods initiated the valuable interactions between economics and statistics literatures of causal inference and fueled new innovations of the idea. It helped resolving the long-standing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-03 Toru Kitagawa

We present efficient finite difference estimators for goal-oriented sensitivity indices with applications to the generalized Langevin equation (GLE). In particular, we apply these estimators to analyze an extended variable formulation of…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-09-18 Eric Joseph Hall , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Luc Rey-Bellet