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Real-time state estimation and forecasting is critical for efficient operation of power grids. In this paper, a physics-informed Gaussian process regression (PhI-GPR) method is presented and used for probabilistic forecasting and estimating…

We present a physics-informed Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) model to predict the phase angle, angular speed, and wind mechanical power from a limited number of measurements. In the traditional data-driven GPR method, the form of the…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2018-06-29 Ramakrishna Tipireddy , Alexandre Tartakovsky

The increasing demand for electricity and the need for clean energy sources have increased solar energy use. Accurate forecasts of solar energy are required for easy management of the grid. This paper compares the accuracy of two Gaussian…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-12-13 Edina Chandiwana , Caston Sigauke , Alphonce Bere

Photovoltaic (PV) power is affected by weather conditions, making the power generated from the PV systems uncertain. Solving this problem would help improve the reliability and cost effectiveness of the grid, and could help reduce reliance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-07 Yahya Al Lawati , Jack Kelly , Dan Stowell

We introduce an ensemble learning method based on Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) for predicting conditional expected stock returns given stock-level and macro-economic information. Our ensemble learning approach significantly reduces the…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-03-10 Damir Filipović , Puneet Pasricha

This paper presents a new hybrid model for predicting German electricity prices. The algorithm is based on a combination of Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) and Support Vector Regression (SVR). Although GPR is a competent model for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-01 Abhinav Das , Stephan Schlüter , Lorenz Schneider

Interference prediction and resource allocation are critical challenges in mission-critical applications where stringent latency and reliability constraints must be met. This paper proposes a novel Gaussian process regression (GPR)-based…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-31 Syed Luqman Shah , Nurul Huda Mahmood , Matti Latva-aho

Accurate mid-term (weeks to one year) hourly electricity load forecasts are essential for strategic decision-making in power plant operation, ensuring supply security and grid stability, planning and building energy storage systems, and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-05-01 Monika Zimmermann , Florian Ziel

Wireless power transfer (WPT) with coupled resonators offers a promising solution for the seamless powering of electronic devices. Interactive design approaches that visualize the magnetic field and power transfer efficiency based on system…

应用物理 · 物理学 2025-10-23 Yuichi Honjo , Cedric Caremel , Ken Takaki , Yuta Noma , Yoshihiro Kawahara , Takuya Sasatani

With increasing concerns of climate change, renewable resources such as photovoltaic (PV) have gained popularity as a means of energy generation. The smooth integration of such resources in power system operations is enabled by accurate…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-30 Fatemeh Najibi , Dimitra Apostolopoulou , Eduardo Alonso

Predicting patient volumes in a hospital setting is a well-studied application of time series forecasting. Existing tools usually make forecasts at the daily or weekly level to assist in planning for staffing requirements. Prompted by new…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-13 Erik Drysdale , Devin Singh , Anna Goldenberg

Gaussian process regression (GPR) is a fundamental model used in machine learning. Owing to its accurate prediction with uncertainty and versatility in handling various data structures via kernels, GPR has been successfully used in various…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-16 Yuya Yoshikawa , Tomoharu Iwata

Modeling epidemic spread is critical for informing policy decisions aimed at mitigation. Accordingly, in this work we present a new data-driven method based on Gaussian process regression (GPR) to model epidemic spread through the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-23 Baike She , Lei Xin , Philip E. Paré , Matthew Hale

Time series forecasting remains a central challenge problem in almost all scientific disciplines. We introduce a novel load forecasting method in which observed dynamics are modeled as a forced linear system using Dynamic Mode Decomposition…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-07-13 Daniel Dylewsky , David Barajas-Solano , Tong Ma , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky , J. Nathan Kutz

Electric energy is difficult to store, requiring stricter control over its generation, transmission, and distribution. A persistent challenge in power systems is maintaining real-time equilibrium between electricity demand and supply.…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-05-27 Aurausp Maneshni

Electric vehicles (EVs) have the potential to reduce grid stress through smart charging strategies while simultaneously meeting user demand. This requires accurate forecasts of key charging parameters, such as energy demand and connection…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-26 Parnian Alikhani , Nico Brinkel , Wouter Schram , Ioannis Lampropoulos , Wilfried van Sark

Mid-term and long-term electric energy demand prediction is essential for the planning and operations of the smart grid system. Mainly in countries where the power system operates in a deregulated environment. Traditional forecasting models…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-12-29 Yuting Ding , Di Wu , Yi He , Xin Luo , Song Deng

The integration of renewable energy sources (RES) into power grids presents significant challenges due to their intrinsic stochasticity and uncertainty, necessitating the development of new techniques for reliable and efficient forecasting.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-13 Hanyu Zhang , Reza Zandehshahvar , Mathieu Tanneau , Pascal Van Hentenryck

Learning-based approaches are increasingly leveraged to manage and coordinate the operation of grid-edge resources in active power distribution networks. Among these, model-based techniques stand out for their superior data efficiency and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-05-01 Daniel Glover , Parikshit Pareek , Deepjyoti Deka , Anamika Dubey

Multi-model ensemble analysis integrates information from multiple climate models into a unified projection. However, existing integration approaches based on model averaging can dilute fine-scale spatial information and incur bias from…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-04-12 Trevor Harris , Bo Li , Ryan Sriver
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