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Recidivism prediction instruments provide decision makers with an assessment of the likelihood that a criminal defendant will reoffend at a future point in time. While such instruments are gaining increasing popularity across the country,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-10-25 Alexandra Chouldechova

Recidivism prediction instruments (RPI's) provide decision makers with an assessment of the likelihood that a criminal defendant will reoffend at a future point in time. While such instruments are gaining increasing popularity across the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-03-02 Alexandra Chouldechova

Criminal recidivism models are tools that have gained widespread adoption by parole boards across the United States to assist with parole decisions. These models take in large amounts of data about an individual and then predict whether an…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2022-09-29 Eric Ingram , Furkan Gursoy , Ioannis A. Kakadiaris

Recidivism prediction scores are used across the USA to determine sentencing and supervision for hundreds of thousands of inmates. One such generator of recidivism prediction scores is Northpointe's Correctional Offender Management…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-07-03 Christina Wadsworth , Francesca Vera , Chris Piech

Predictive modeling is increasingly being employed to assist human decision-makers. One purported advantage of replacing or augmenting human judgment with computer models in high stakes settings-- such as sentencing, hiring, policing,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-03-16 James E. Johndrow , Kristian Lum

Predictive modeling is increasingly being employed to assist human decision-makers. One purported advantage of replacing human judgment with computer models in high stakes settings-- such as sentencing, hiring, policing, college admissions,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-10-27 Kristian Lum , James Johndrow

Deep learning crime predictive tools use past crime data and additional behavioral datasets to forecast future crimes. Nevertheless, these tools have been shown to suffer from unfair predictions across minority racial and ethnic groups.…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-06-14 Jiahui Wu , Vanessa Frias-Martinez

Machine learning algorithms are increasingly deployed in critical domains such as finance, healthcare, and criminal justice [1]. The increasing popularity of algorithmic decision-making has stimulated interest in algorithmic fairness within…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-18 Animesh Joshi

Complex statistical machine learning models are increasingly being used or considered for use in high-stakes decision-making pipelines in domains such as financial services, health care, criminal justice and human services. These models are…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-07-04 Alexandra Chouldechova , Max G'Sell

The criminal justice system is currently ill-equipped to improve outcomes of individuals who cycle in and out of the system with a series of misdemeanor offenses. Often due to constraints of caseload and poor record linkage, prior…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2020-01-28 Kit T. Rodolfa , Erika Salomon , Lauren Haynes , Ivan Higuera Mendieta , Jamie Larson , Rayid Ghani

While data-driven predictive models are a strictly technological construct, they may operate within a social context in which benign engineering choices entail implicit, indirect and unexpected real-life consequences. Fairness of such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-11 Kacper Sokol , Meelis Kull , Jeffrey Chan , Flora Salim

Algorithmic systems have been used to inform consequential decisions for at least a century. Recidivism prediction dates back to the 1920s. Automated credit scoring dates began in the middle of the last century, but the last decade has…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2019-09-13 David C. Parkes , Rakesh V. Vohra , other workshop participants

Risk assessment tools are widely used around the country to inform decision making within the criminal justice system. Recently, considerable attention has been devoted to the question of whether such tools may suffer from racial bias. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-01 Riccardo Fogliato , Max G'Sell , Alexandra Chouldechova

The importance of algorithmic fairness grows with the increasing impact machine learning has on people's lives. Recent work on fairness metrics shows the need for causal reasoning in fairness constraints. In this work, a practical method…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-26 Rik Helwegen , Christos Louizos , Patrick Forré

Computer-aided decision making--where a human decision-maker is aided by a computational classifier in making a decision--is becoming increasingly prevalent. For instance, judges in at least nine states make use of algorithmic tools meant…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-02-02 Andrew Morgan , Rafael Pass

Machine learning can impact people with legal or ethical consequences when it is used to automate decisions in areas such as insurance, lending, hiring, and predictive policing. In many of these scenarios, previous decisions have been made…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-09 Matt J. Kusner , Joshua R. Loftus , Chris Russell , Ricardo Silva

Algorithmic decision making systems are ubiquitous across a wide variety of online as well as offline services. These systems rely on complex learning methods and vast amounts of data to optimize the service functionality, satisfaction of…

There is increasing regulatory interest in whether machine learning algorithms deployed in consequential domains (e.g. in criminal justice) treat different demographic groups "fairly." However, there are several proposed notions of…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2020-02-19 Christopher Jung , Sampath Kannan , Changhwa Lee , Mallesh M. Pai , Aaron Roth , Rakesh Vohra

Objectives: We study interpretable recidivism prediction using machine learning (ML) models and analyze performance in terms of prediction ability, sparsity, and fairness. Unlike previous works, this study trains interpretable models that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-15 Caroline Wang , Bin Han , Bhrij Patel , Cynthia Rudin

With the current ongoing debate about fairness, explainability and transparency of machine learning models, their application in high-impact clinical decision-making systems must be scrutinized. We consider a real-life example of risk…

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