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Local climate information is crucial for impact assessment and decision-making, yet coarse global climate simulations cannot capture small-scale phenomena. Current statistical downscaling methods infer these phenomena as temporally…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-24 Jonathan Schmidt , Luca Schmidt , Felix Strnad , Nicole Ludwig , Philipp Hennig

Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) are widely used to recover the conditional independence structure among random variables. Recent work has sought to incorporate auxiliary covariates to improve estimation, particularly in applications such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Ruobin Liu , Guo Yu

Given (small amounts of) time-series' data from a high-dimensional, fine-grained, multiscale dynamical system, we propose a generative framework for learning an effective, lower-dimensional, coarse-grained dynamical model that is predictive…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-01-18 Sebastian Kaltenbach , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

We develop Bayesian machine learning methods for mixed data sampling (MIDAS) regressions. This involves handling frequency mismatches and specifying functional relationships between many predictors and the dependent variable. We use…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-09-11 Niko Hauzenberger , Massimiliano Marcellino , Michael Pfarrhofer , Anna Stelzer

A variational inference-based framework for training a multi-output Gaussian process latent variable model, specifically tailored to the tails-up spatio-temporal stream network, is developed. Training, given a censored observational data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-21 Marno Basson , Tobias M. Louw , Theresa R. Smith

We formulate a reduced-order strategy for efficiently forecasting complex high-dimensional dynamical systems entirely based on data streams. The first step of our method involves reconstructing the dynamics in a reduced-order subspace of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2017-03-08 Zhong Yi Wan , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

In the past years, many computational methods have been developed to infer the structure of gene regulatory networks from time-series data. However, the applicability and accuracy presumptions of such algorithms remain unclear due to…

分子网络 · 定量生物学 2019-07-01 Laurent Mombaerts , Atte Aalto , Johan Markdahl , Jorge Goncalves

Generalizable 3D Gaussian Splatting reconstruction showcases advanced Image-to-3D content creation but requires substantial computational resources and large datasets, posing challenges to training models from scratch. Current methods…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-01-05 Xiufeng Huang , Ka Chun Cheung , Runmin Cong , Simon See , Renjie Wan

Empirically observed time series in physics, biology, or medicine, are commonly generated by some underlying dynamical system (DS) which is the target of scientific interest. There is an increasing interest to harvest machine learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-07 Daniel Kramer , Philine Lou Bommer , Carlo Tombolini , Georgia Koppe , Daniel Durstewitz

We present a non-parametric prognostic framework for individualized event prediction based on joint modeling of both longitudinal and time-to-event data. Our approach exploits a multivariate Gaussian convolution process (MGCP) to model the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-07-04 Xubo Yue , Raed Kontar

Realistic human geometry generation is an important yet challenging task, requiring both the preservation of fine clothing details and the accurate modeling of clothing-body interactions. To tackle this challenge, we build upon Geometry…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-01 Xiangjun Tang , Biao Zhang , Peter Wonka

Bayesian learning using Gaussian processes provides a foundational framework for making decisions in a manner that balances what is known with what could be learned by gathering data. In this dissertation, we develop techniques for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-04-29 Alexander Terenin

Modern cosmological analyses constrain physical parameters using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) or similar sampling techniques. Oftentimes, these techniques are computationally expensive to run and require up to thousands of CPU hours to…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2019-09-25 Thomas McClintock , Eduardo Rozo

We present a novel extension of multi-output Gaussian processes for handling heterogeneous outputs. We assume that each output has its own likelihood function and use a vector-valued Gaussian process prior to jointly model the parameters in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-01-04 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez , Mauricio A. Álvarez

We introduce a variational Bayesian neural network where the parameters are governed via a probability distribution on random matrices. Specifically, we employ a matrix variate Gaussian \cite{gupta1999matrix} parameter posterior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-06-24 Christos Louizos , Max Welling

Predicting the dependencies between observations from multiple time series is critical for applications such as anomaly detection, financial risk management, causal analysis, or demand forecasting. However, the computational and numerical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-28 David Salinas , Michael Bohlke-Schneider , Laurent Callot , Roberto Medico , Jan Gasthaus

In this paper, we explore the application of Gaussian Processes (GPs) for predicting mean-reverting time series with an underlying structure, using relatively unexplored functional and augmented data structures. While many conventional…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-03-05 Narayan Tondapu

Finite element model updating utilizing frequency response functions as inputs is an important procedure in structural analysis, design and control. This paper presents a highly efficient framework that is built upon Gaussian process…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2020-08-26 Kai Zhou , Jiong Tang

Learning to sample from complex unnormalized distributions is a fundamental challenge in computational physics and machine learning. While score-based and variational methods have achieved success in continuous domains, extending them to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-11 Lei Li , Zhen Wang , Lishuo Zhang

In this work, we consider the inverse problem of reconstructing the internal structure of an object from limited x-ray projections. We use a Gaussian process prior to model the target function and estimate its (hyper)parameters from…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-07-04 Zenith Purisha , Carl Jidling , Niklas Wahlström , Simo Särkkä , Thomas B. Schön