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In this paper we study the problems of estimating heterogeneity in causal effects in experimental or observational studies and conducting inference about the magnitude of the differences in treatment effects across subsets of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-08 Susan Athey , Guido Imbens

Regression discontinuity (RD) designs are often interpreted as local randomized experiments: a RD design can be considered as a randomized experiment for units with a realized value of a so-called forcing variable falling around a pre-fixed…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-07-16 Fan Li , Alessandra Mattei , Fabrizia Mealli

Regression discontinuity designs have become one of the most popular research designs in empirical economics. We argue, however, that widely used approaches to building confidence intervals in regression discontinuity designs exhibit…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-01 Aditya Ghosh , Guido Imbens , Stefan Wager

This paper studies regression discontinuity designs (RDD) when linear-in-means spillovers occur between units that are close in their running variable. We show that the RDD estimand depends on the ratio of two terms: (1) the radius over…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-16 Eric Auerbach , Yong Cai , Ahnaf Rafi

We propose a new class of semiparametric regression models of mean residual life for censored outcome data. The models, which enable us to estimate the expected remaining survival time and generalize commonly used mean residual life models,…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-10 Ge Zhao , Yanyuan Ma , Huazhen Lin , Yi Li

Algorithms for constraint-based causal discovery select graphical causal models among a space of possible candidates (e.g., all directed acyclic graphs) by executing a sequence of conditional independence tests. These may be used to inform…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-19 Ting-Hsuan Chang , Zijian Guo , Daniel Malinsky

One goal in survival analysis of right-censored data is to estimate the marginal survival function in the presence of dependent censoring. When many auxiliary covariates are sufficient to explain the dependent censoring, estimation based on…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Donglin Zeng

The issue of spatial confounding between the spatial random effect and the fixed effects in regression analyses has been identified as a concern in the statistical literature. Multiple authors have offered perspectives and potential…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-18 Kori Khan , Catherine A. Calder

In this paper, we propose a robust method to estimate the average treatment effects in observational studies when the number of potential confounders is possibly much greater than the sample size. We first use a class of penalized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-21 Yang Ning , Sida Peng , Kosuke Imai

We study causal effect estimation from a mixture of observational and interventional data in a confounded linear regression model with multivariate treatments. We show that the statistical efficiency in terms of expected squared error can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-03 Klaus-Rudolf Kladny , Julius von Kügelgen , Bernhard Schölkopf , Michael Muehlebach

The Student-$t$ distribution is widely used in statistical modeling of datasets involving outliers since its longer-than-normal tails provide a robust approach to hand such data. Furthermore, data collected over time may contain censored or…

Expectile regression neural networks (ERNNs) are powerful tools for capturing heterogeneity and complex nonlinear structures in data. However, most existing research has primarily focused on fully observed data, with limited attention paid…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-24 Wei Cao , Shanshan Wang

A basic principle in the design of observational studies is to approximate the randomized experiment that would have been conducted under controlled circumstances. Now, linear regression models are commonly used to analyze observational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-08 Ambarish Chattopadhyay , Jose R. Zubizarreta

Regression discontinuity designs are extensively used for causal inference in observational studies. However, they are usually confined to settings with simple treatment rules, determined by a single running variable, with a single cutoff.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-10 Juan D. Diaz , Jose R. Zubizarreta

In causal inference, it is common to estimate the causal effect of a single treatment variable on an outcome. However, practitioners may also be interested in the effect of simultaneous interventions on multiple covariates of a fixed target…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-24 Jaime Roquero Gimenez , Dominik Rothenhäusler

We consider causal inference in dynamic settings where treatment is assigned by thresholding a state variable that can change over time. There is a large literature on regression-discontinuity methods building on the fact that, in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-25 Aditya Ghosh , Stefan Wager

This study investigates treatment effect estimation in the semi-supervised setting, also can be interpreted as prediction-powered inference. In our setting, we can use not only the standard triple of covariates, treatment indicator, and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Masahiro Kato

This paper presents a novel nonlinear regression model for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects from observational data, geared specifically towards situations with small effect sizes, heterogeneous effects, and strong confounding.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-14 P. Richard Hahn , Jared S. Murray , Carlos Carvalho

Analysts are often confronted with censoring, wherein some variables are not observed at their true value, but rather at a value that is known to fall above or below that truth. While much attention has been given to the analysis of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-31 Sarah C. Lotspeich , Kyle F. Grosser , Tanya P. Garcia

Linear regression is arguably the most fundamental statistical model; however, the validity of its use in randomized clinical trials, despite being common practice, has never been crystal clear, particularly when stratified or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-14 Wei Ma , Fuyi Tu , Hanzhong Liu