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Gradient Boosted Decision Tree (GBDT) is a widely-used machine learning algorithm that has been shown to achieve state-of-the-art results on many standard data science problems. We are interested in its application to multioutput problems…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-24 Leonid Iosipoi , Anton Vakhrushev

Within machine learning, the supervised learning field aims at modeling the input-output relationship of a system, from past observations of its behavior. Decision trees characterize the input-output relationship through a series of nested…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-20 Arnaud Joly

Technology and collaboration enable dramatic increases in the size of psychological and psychiatric data collections, but finding structure in these large data sets with many collected variables is challenging. Decision tree ensembles like…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-02-15 Patrick J. Miller , Gitta H. Lubke , Daniel B. McArtor , C. S. Bergeman

Score-based generative models can effectively learn the distribution of data by estimating the gradient of the distribution. Due to the multi-step denoising characteristic, researchers have recently considered combining score-based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-17 Changyuan Zhao , Hongyang Du , Guangyuan Liu , Dusit Niyato

In randomized clinical trials with survival outcome, there has been an increasing interest in subgroup identification based on baseline genomic, proteomic markers or clinical characteristics. Some of the existing methods identify subgroups…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-17 Pingye Zhang , Junshui Ma , Xinqun Chen , Yue Shentu

Credit risk assessment is a crucial aspect of financial decision-making, enabling institutions to predict the likelihood of default and make informed lending decisions. Two prominent methodologies in credit risk modeling are logistic…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-30 Cheng Lee , Hsi Lee

Credit scoring is a rapidly expanding analytical technique used by banks and other financial institutions. Academic studies on credit scoring provide a range of classification techniques used to differentiate between good and bad borrowers.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-27 Hamidreza Arian , Seyed Mohammad Sina Seyfi , Azin Sharifi

We present an algorithm for learning decision trees using stochastic gradient information as the source of supervision. In contrast to previous approaches to gradient-based tree learning, our method operates in the incremental learning…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-25 Henry Gouk , Bernhard Pfahringer , Eibe Frank

Despite the rise to dominance of deep learning in unstructured data domains, tree-based methods such as Random Forests (RF) and Gradient Boosted Decision Trees (GBDT) are still the workhorses for handling discriminative tasks on tabular…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-21 João Bravo

Gradient Boosting Machines (GBM) are hugely popular for solving tabular data problems. However, practitioners are not only interested in point predictions, but also in probabilistic predictions in order to quantify the uncertainty of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-08 Olivier Sprangers , Sebastian Schelter , Maarten de Rijke

Functional survival models are key tools for analyzing time-to-event data with complex predictors, such as functional or high-dimensional inputs. Despite their predictive strength, these models often lack interpretability, which limits…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-04-28 Giuseppe Loffredo , Elvira Romano , Fabrizio MAturo

Survival analysis studies and predicts the time of death, or other singular unrepeated events, based on historical data, while the true time of death for some instances is unknown. Survival trees enable the discovery of complex nonlinear…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-10 Tim Huisman , Jacobus G. M. van der Linden , Emir Demirović

Gradient boosting is widely popular due to its flexibility and predictive accuracy. However, statistical inference and uncertainty quantification for gradient boosting remain challenging and under-explored. We propose a unified framework…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-30 Haimo Fang , Kevin Tan , Giles Hooker

Survival analysis aims to predict the timing of future events across various fields, from medical outcomes to customer churn. However, the integration of clustering into survival analysis, particularly for precision medicine, remains…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-28 Gabriel Buginga , Edmundo de Souza e Silva

Machine learning plays an essential role in preventing financial losses in the banking industry. Perhaps the most pertinent prediction task that can result in billions of dollars in losses each year is the assessment of credit risk (i.e.,…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-01-01 Jillian M. Clements , Di Xu , Nooshin Yousefi , Dmitry Efimov

Gradient boosting is a state-of-the-art prediction technique that sequentially produces a model in the form of linear combinations of simple predictors---typically decision trees---by solving an infinite-dimensional convex optimization…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-07-18 Gérard Biau , Benoît Cadre

Gradient boosting for decision tree algorithms are increasingly used in actuarial applications as they show superior predictive performance over traditional generalised linear models. Many enhancements to the first gradient boosting machine…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-05 Dominik Chevalier , Marie-Pier Côté

Component-wise gradient boosting algorithms are popular for their intrinsic variable selection and implicit regularization, which can be especially beneficial for very flexible model classes. When estimating generalized additive models for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-15 Alexandra Daub , Andreas Mayr , Boyao Zhang , Elisabeth Bergherr

When data are right-censored, i.e. some outcomes are missing due to a limited period of observation, survival analysis can compute the "time to event". Multiple classes of outcomes lead to a classification variant: predicting the most…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-06-21 Julie Alberge , Vincent Maladière , Olivier Grisel , Judith Abécassis , Gaël Varoquaux

A gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT), which aggregates a collection of single weak learners (i.e. decision trees), is widely used for data mining tasks. Because GBDT inherits the good performance from its ensemble essence, much…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-06 Wenjing Fang , Jun Zhou , Xiaolong Li , Kenny Q. Zhu