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The possibility of earthquake prediction is one of the key open questions in modern geophysics. We propose an approach based on the analysis of common short-term candidate precursors (2 weeks to 3 months prior to strong earthquake) with the…

综合物理 · 物理学 2015-03-20 Yuriy S. Polyakov , Gennadiy V. Ryabinin , Anna B. Solovyeva , Serge F. Timashev

In an earthquake event, the combination of a strong mainshock and damaging aftershocks is often the cause of severe structural damages and/or high death tolls. The objective of this paper is to provide estimation for the probability of such…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-06-18 Juan-Juan Cai , Phyllis Wan , Gamze Ozel

We used a deep learning workflow to enhance earthquake detection during the 2025 seismic unrest between Santorini and Amorgos islands to track the evolution of the crisis in near real-time. We analysed the continuous seismic waveforms daily…

More than 30 minutes before the earthquake event in Florina, Greece at 21:43:47(UTC) on 9th January 2022 an enhanced E\"otv\"os torsion balance registered unidentified signals in the J\'anossy Underground Research Laboratory in Budapest,…

In this study, we propose an analysis of the earthquake clusters that occurred in North-Eastern Italy and western Slovenia from 1977 to today. Given a mainshock generating alarm in the population, we are interested in forecasting if a…

地球物理 · 物理学 2020-05-27 S. Gentili , R. Di Giovambattista

Seismic phase picking and magnitude estimation are essential components of real time earthquake monitoring and earthquake early warning systems. Reliable phase picking enables the timely detection of seismic wave arrivals, facilitating…

A characteristic change of seismicity has been recently uncovered when the precursory Seismic Electric Signals activities initiate before an earthquake occurrence. In particular, the fluctuations of the order parameter of seismicity exhibit…

地球物理 · 物理学 2017-03-27 Panayiotis A. Varotsos , Nicholas V. Sarlis , Efthimios S. Skordas

The MyShake project aims to build a global smartphone seismic network to facilitate large-scale earthquake early warning and other applications by leveraging the power of crowdsourcing. The MyShake mobile application first detects…

地球物理 · 物理学 2022-06-09 Qingkai Kong , Robert Martin-Short , Richard M. Allen

A hanging glacier at the east face of Weisshorn broke off in 2005. We were able to monitor and measure surface motion and icequake activity for 21 days up to three days prior to the break-off. Results are presented from the analysis of…

地球物理 · 物理学 2009-07-01 J. Faillettaz , M. Funk , D. Sornette

Earthquakes and aftershock sequences follow several empirical scaling laws: One of these laws is Bath's law for the magnitude of the largest aftershock. In this work, Modified Form of Bath's Law and its application to KOERI data have been…

地球物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 S. E. Yalcin , M. L. Kurnaz

Aftershocks of aftershocks - and their aftershock cascades - substantially contribute to the increased seismicity rate and the associated elevated seismic hazard after the occurrence of a large earthquake. Current state-of-the-art…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-11-07 Leila Mizrahi , Dario Jozinović

The inverse Omori law for foreshocks discovered in the 1970s states that the rate of earthquakes prior to a mainshock increases on average as a power law ~ 1/(t_c-t)^p' of the time to the mainshock occurring at t_c. Here, we show that this…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 A. Helmstetter , D. Sornette , J. -R. Grasso

As an object of study, we chose the global activity of strong earthquakes (M > 7). The subject of the study is the waiting time for the next strong earthquake. The purpose of the study is to compare two distributions of waiting time, one of…

地球物理 · 物理学 2022-09-02 A. V. Guglielmi , O. D. Zotov

We propose a novel method for analyzing precursory seismic data before an earthquake that treats them as a Markov process and distinguishes the background noise from real fluctuations due to an earthquake. A short time (on the order of…

In this brief report we present evidence for the dynamics of the earthquake (EQ) preparation processes that led to two strong events (Mw>6) that took place in Durr\"es (Albania) and Chania (West-Crete, Greece) on 26 and 27-11-2019,…

This paper develops a novel method, based on hidden Markov models, to forecast earthquakes and applies the method to mainshock seismic activity in southern California and western Nevada. The forecasts are of the probability of a mainshock…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-11-21 Daniel W. Chambers , Jenny A. Baglivo , John E. Ebel , Alan L. Kafka

The recent 2014 eruption of the Ontake volcano in Japan recalled that hydrothermal fields of moderately active volcanoes have an unpredictable and hazardous behavior that may endanger human beings. Steam blasts can expel devastating ejecta…

In this paper we show, in terms of Fisher information and approximate entropy, that the two strong impulsive kHz electromagnetic (EM) bursts recorder prior to the Athens EQ (7 September 1999, magnitude 5.9) present compatibility to the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2013-08-15 S. M. Potirakis , G. Minadakis , K. Eftaxias

A megathrust subduction earthquake (Mw7.8) struck the coast of Ecuador on April 16th, 2016 at 23h58 UTC. This earthquake is one of the best-recorded megathrust events up to date. Besides the mainshock, two large aftershocks have been…

The aftershock sequence of the devastating Japan earthquake of March 2011 is analyzed for the presence of periodicities at the Earth tide periods. We use spectral analysis as well as a time-domain method KORRECT developed earlier to detect…

地球物理 · 物理学 2011-06-16 Arjun Datta , Kamal