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Recent generations of language models have introduced Large Reasoning Models (LRMs) that generate detailed thinking processes before providing answers. While these models demonstrate improved performance on reasoning benchmarks, their…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-11-21 Parshin Shojaee , Iman Mirzadeh , Keivan Alizadeh , Maxwell Horton , Samy Bengio , Mehrdad Farajtabar

Conformal prediction is a popular method to construct prediction intervals with marginal coverage guarantees from black-box machine learning models. In applications with potentially high-impact events, such as flooding or financial crises,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-02 Olivier C. Pasche , Henry Lam , Sebastian Engelke

Sophisticated machine learning (ML) models to inform trading in the financial sector create problems of interpretability and risk management. Seemingly robust forecasting models may behave erroneously in out of distribution settings. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-01 Gabriel Deza , Adelin Travers , Colin Rowat , Nicolas Papernot

The advance of Machine Learning (ML) has led to a strong interest in this technology to support decision making. While complex ML models provide predictions that are often more accurate than those of traditional tools, such models often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-25 Felix Haag , Konstantin Hopf , Pedro Menelau Vasconcelos , Thorsten Staake

Interpretability tools are increasingly used to analyze failures of Large Language Models (LLMs), yet prior work largely focuses on short prompts or toy settings, leaving their behavior on commonly used benchmarks underexplored. To address…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Rongyuan Tan , Jue Zhang , Zhuozhao Li , Qingwei Lin , Saravan Rajmohan , Dongmei Zhang

Data-driven models are central to scientific discovery. In efforts to achieve state-of-the-art model accuracy, researchers are employing increasingly complex machine learning algorithms that often outperform simple regressions in…

材料科学 · 物理学 2022-12-21 Eric S. Muckley , James E. Saal , Bryce Meredig , Christopher S. Roper , John H. Martin

In many practical parameter estimation problems, such as coefficient estimation of polynomial regression, the true model is unknown and thus, a model selection step is performed prior to estimation. The data-based model selection step…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-10-30 Elad Meir , Tirza Routtenberg

Most accurate recommender systems are black-box models, hiding the reasoning behind their recommendations. Yet explanations have been shown to increase the user's trust in the system in addition to providing other benefits such as…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-06-24 Behnoush Abdollahi , Olfa Nasraoui

Performance modeling typically relies on two antithetic methodologies: white box models, which exploit knowledge on system's internals and capture its dynamics using analytical approaches, and black box techniques, which infer relations…

性能 · 计算机科学 2014-10-21 Diego Didona , Paolo Romano

Despite their enormous predictive power, machine learning models are often unsuitable for applications in regulated industries such as finance, due to their limited capacity to provide explanations. While model-agnostic frameworks such as…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-03 Joshua S. Harvey , Guanchao Feng , Sai Anusha Meesala , Tina Zhao , Dhagash Mehta

Predictive modeling is invaded by elastic, yet complex methods such as neural networks or ensembles (model stacking, boosting or bagging). Such methods are usually described by a large number of parameters or hyper parameters - a price that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-03-01 Przemyslaw Biecek

The significant advances in autonomous systems together with an immensely wider application domain have increased the need for trustable intelligent systems. Explainable artificial intelligence is gaining considerable attention among…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-06-02 Sule Anjomshoae , Kary Främling , Amro Najjar

To ensure the trustworthiness and interpretability of AI systems, it is essential to align machine learning models with human domain knowledge. This can be a challenging and time-consuming endeavor that requires close communication between…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-01 Alexander Koebler , Ingo Thon , Florian Buettner

Explainable AI is an evolving area that deals with understanding the decision making of machine learning models so that these models are more transparent, accountable, and understandable for humans. In particular, post-hoc model-agnostic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-04 Praharsh Nanavati , Ranjitha Prasad

Trust is a crucial factor affecting the adoption of machine learning (ML) models. Qualitative studies have revealed that end-users, particularly in the medical domain, need models that can express their uncertainty in decision-making…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-21 Andrew Houston , Georgina Cosma

To collaborate well with robots, we must be able to understand their decision making. Humans naturally infer other agents' beliefs and desires by reasoning about their observable behavior in a way that resembles inverse reinforcement…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2022-08-05 Michael S. Lee , Henny Admoni , Reid Simmons

Decisions in organizations are about evaluating alternatives and choosing the one that would best serve organizational goals. To the extent that the evaluation of alternatives could be formulated as a predictive task with appropriate…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2022-06-30 Charles Wan , Rodrigo Belo , Leid Zejnilović

Forecasting cryptocurrencies as a financial issue is crucial as it provides investors with possible financial benefits. A small improvement in forecasting performance can lead to increased profitability; therefore, obtaining a realistic…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-05-01 Hulusi Mehmet Tanrikulu , Hakan Pabuccu

Being able to provide counterfactual interventions - sequences of actions we would have had to take for a desirable outcome to happen - is essential to explain how to change an unfavourable decision by a black-box machine learning model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-08 Giovanni De Toni , Bruno Lepri , Andrea Passerini

Conformal prediction methodologies have significantly advanced the quantification of uncertainties in predictive models. Yet, the construction of confidence regions for model parameters presents a notable challenge, often necessitating…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-30 Charles Guille-Escuret , Eugene Ndiaye