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Instrumental variable (IV) is a powerful approach to inferring the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome of interest from observational data even when there exist latent confounders between the treatment and the outcome. However,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-06-07 Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Kui Yu , Thuc Duy Lee , Jixue Liu

Instrumental variable models allow us to identify a causal function between covariates $X$ and a response $Y$, even in the presence of unobserved confounding. Most of the existing estimators assume that the error term in the response $Y$…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-09-23 Sorawit Saengkyongam , Leonard Henckel , Niklas Pfister , Jonas Peters

Instrumental variable methods are among the most commonly used causal inference approaches to deal with unmeasured confounders in observational studies. The presence of invalid instruments is the primary concern for practical applications,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-18 Zijian Guo

Nonlinear causal effects are prevalent in many research scenarios involving continuous exposures, and instrumental variables (IVs) can be employed to investigate such effects, particularly in the presence of unmeasured confounders. However,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-29 Haodong Tian , Ashish Patel , Stephen Burgess

The instrumental variables (IV) method is a method for making causal inferences about the effect of a treatment based on an observational study in which there are unmeasured confounding variables. The method requires a valid IV, a variable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-19 Dylan Small , Zhiqiang Tan , Scott Lorch , Alan Brookhart

Causal treatment effect estimation is a key problem that arises in a variety of real-world settings, from personalized medicine to governmental policy making. There has been a flurry of recent work in machine learning on estimating causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-22 Niki Kilbertus , Matt J. Kusner , Ricardo Silva

Instrumental variables are widely used in econometrics and epidemiology for identifying and estimating causal effects when an exposure of interest is confounded by unmeasured factors. Despite this popularity, the assumptions invoked to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-15 Alexander W. Levis , Edward H. Kennedy , Luke Keele

Causal inference studies whether the presence of a variable influences an observed outcome. As measured by quantities such as the "average treatment effect," this paradigm is employed across numerous biological fields, from vaccine and drug…

Instrumental variables (IVs) are widely used to estimate causal effects in the presence of unobserved confounding between exposure and outcome. An IV must affect the outcome exclusively through the exposure and be unconfounded with the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-18 Jordan Penn , Lee M. Gunderson , Gecia Bravo-Hermsdorff , Ricardo Silva , David S. Watson

We study Federated Causal Inference, an approach to estimate treatment effects from decentralized data across centers. We compare three classes of Average Treatment Effect (ATE) estimators derived from the Plug-in G-Formula, ranging from…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-26 Rémi Khellaf , Aurélien Bellet , Julie Josse

As network data applications continue to expand, causal inference within networks has garnered increasing attention. However, hidden confounders complicate the estimation of causal effects. Most methods rely on the strong ignorability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-16 Xiaojing Du , Feiyu Yang , Wentao Gao , Xiongren Chen

The control function approach allows the researcher to identify various causal effects of interest. While powerful, it requires a strong invertibility assumption in the selection process, which limits its applicability. This paper expands…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-28 Sukjin Han , Hiroaki Kaido

Estimating causal effects of continuous treatments is a common problem in practice, for example, in studying average dose-response functions. Classical analyses typically assume that all confounders are fully observed, whereas in real-world…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-14 Shuyuan Chen , Peng Zhang , Yifan Cui

We develop a Causal-Deep Neural Network (CDNN) model trained in two stages to infer causal impact estimates at an individual unit level. Using only the pre-treatment features in stage 1 in the absence of any treatment information, we learn…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-24 Naveen Nair , Karthik S. Gurumoorthy , Dinesh Mandalapu

Instrumental variable methods are widely used for inferring the causal effect in the presence of unmeasured confounders. Existing instrumental variable methods for nonlinear outcome models require stringent identifiability conditions. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-01 Sai Li , Zijian Guo

Instrumental variable (IV) regression relies on instruments to infer causal effects from observational data with unobserved confounding. We consider IV regression in time series models, such as vector auto-regressive (VAR) processes. Direct…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-23 Nikolaj Thams , Rikke Søndergaard , Sebastian Weichwald , Jonas Peters

Estimating causal effects from high-dimensional, structured exposures is a fundamental challenge in modern applications ranging from neuroscience and finance to environmental science. While the literature has addressed high-dimensional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-29 Samhita Pal , Dhrubajyoti Ghosh

In observational studies, potential unobserved confounding is a major barrier in isolating the average causal effect (ACE). In these scenarios, two main approaches are often used: confounder adjustment for causality (CAC) and instrumental…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-26 Roy S. Zawadzki , Daniel L. Gillen

We introduce a new approach to functional causal modeling from observational data, called Causal Generative Neural Networks (CGNN). CGNN leverages the power of neural networks to learn a generative model of the joint distribution of the…

Difference-in-differences (DiD) is a cornerstone of causal inference, yet extending it to functional outcomes is not a routine scalar generalization; rather, it entails three fundamental challenges in identification, inference, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Junzhu Nie , Chengxiu Ling , Mengfei Ran