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The expectation maximization (EM) algorithm is a widespread method for empirical Bayesian inference, but its expectation step (E-step) is often intractable. Employing a stochastic approximation scheme with Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-02-29 Samuel Gruffaz , Kyurae Kim , Alain Oliviero Durmus , Jacob R. Gardner

The probability distribution describing the state of a Stochastic Reaction Network evolves according to the Chemical Master Equation (CME). It is common to estimated its solution using Monte Carlo methods such as the Stochastic Simulation…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2015-06-18 Benjamin Hepp , Ankit Gupta , Mustafa Khammash

Binary optimization has a wide range of applications in combinatorial optimization problems such as MaxCut, MIMO detection, and MaxSAT. However, these problems are typically NP-hard due to the binary constraints. We develop a novel…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-07-04 Cheng Chen , Ruitao Chen , Tianyou Li , Ruichen Ao , Zaiwen Wen

The Gibbs sampler (a.k.a. Glauber dynamics and heat-bath algorithm) is a popular Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm which iteratively samples from the conditional distributions of a probability measure $\pi$ of interest. Under the…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-21 Filippo Ascolani , Hugo Lavenant , Giacomo Zanella

Performing reliable Bayesian inference on a big data scale is becoming a keystone in the modern era of machine learning. A workhorse class of methods to achieve this task are Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms and their design to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-21 Vincent Plassier , Maxime Vono , Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines

Inference for high-dimensional hidden Markov models is challenging due to the exponential-in-dimension computational cost of calculating the likelihood. To address this issue, we introduce an innovative composite likelihood approach called…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-17 Lorenzo Rimella , Chris Jewell , Paul Fearnhead

Parameter estimation for discretely observed Markov processes is a challenging problem. However, simulation of Markov processes is straightforward using the Gillespie algorithm. We exploit this ease of simulation to develop an effective…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-04-17 Peter Neal

Stochastic gradient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (SGMCMC) is considered the gold standard for Bayesian inference in large-scale models, such as Bayesian neural networks. Since practitioners face speed versus accuracy tradeoffs in these models,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-19 Antonios Alexos , Alex Boyd , Stephan Mandt

Nonlinear non-Gaussian state-space models arise in numerous applications in statistics and signal processing. In this context, one of the most successful and popular approximation techniques is the Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithm,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-04-20 Francois Septier , Gareth W. Peters

We introduce a new class of probabilistic cellular automata that are capable of exhibiting rich dynamics such as synchronization and ergodicity and can be easily inferred from data. The system is a finite-state locally interacting Markov…

概率论 · 数学 2025-05-23 Erhan Bayraktar , Fei Lu , Mauro Maggioni , Ruoyu Wu , Sichen Yang

The two dominant approaches for the analysis of species-habitat associations in animals have been shown to reach divergent conclusions. Models fitted from the viewpoint of an individual (step selection functions), once scaled up, do not…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2018-06-27 Théo Michelot , Paul G. Blackwell , Jason Matthiopoulos

Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms are used to simulate from complex statistical distributions by way of a local exploration of these distributions. This local feature avoids heavy requests on understanding the nature of the target, but it…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-04-12 Christian P. Robert , Victor Elvira , Nick Tawn , Changye Wu

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are sampling methods that have become a commonly used tool in statistics, for example to perform Monte Carlo integration. As a consequence of the increase in computational power, many variations of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-06-14 F. Din-Houn Lau , Sebastian Krumscheid

We study a diagnostic strategy which is based on the anticipation of the diagnostic process by simulation of the dynamical process starting from the initial findings. We show that such a strategy could result in more accurate diagnoses…

生物物理 · 物理学 2018-04-04 Alireza Mashaghi , Abolfazl Ramezanpour

We study a neural network model of interacting stochastic discrete two--state cellular automata on a regular lattice. The system is externally tuned to a critical point which varies with the degree of stochasticity (or the effective…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-12 Kaustubh Manchanda , Avinash Chand Yadav , Ramakrishna Ramaswamy

The genetic cluster-exact approximation algorithm is an efficient method to calculate ground states of EA spin glasses. The method can be used to study ground-state landscapes by calculating many independent ground states for each…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Alexander K. Hartmann

We consider the problem of estimating the measure of subsets in very large networks. A prime tool for this purpose is the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm. This algorithm, while extremely useful in many cases, still often suffers…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2020-09-01 Ahmad Askarian , Rupei Xu , András Faragó

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are generally regarded as the gold standard technique for Bayesian inference. They are theoretically well-understood and conceptually simple to apply in practice. The drawback of MCMC is that in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-07-17 Christopher Nemeth , Paul Fearnhead

Applications of stochastic models often involve the evaluation of steady-state performance, which requires solving a set of balance equations. In most cases of interest, the number of equations is infinite or even uncountable. As a result,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-04-08 Shukai Li , Sanjay Mehrotra

We investigate Monte Carlo based algorithms for solving stochastic control problems with probabilistic constraints. Our motivation comes from microgrid management, where the controller tries to optimally dispatch a diesel generator while…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-02-06 Alessandro Balata , Michael Ludkovski , Aditya Maheshwari , Jan Palczewski