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相关论文: Amortized Inference of Variational Bounds for Lear…

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The accuracy of simulation-based forecasting in chaotic systems is heavily dependent on high-quality estimates of the system state at the time the forecast is initialized. Data assimilation methods are used to infer these initial conditions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-02 Michael McCabe , Jed Brown

Conformal prediction (CP) is a distribution-free method to construct reliable prediction intervals that has gained significant attention in recent years. Despite its success and various proposed extensions, a significant practical feature…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-02 Louis Allain , Sébastien Da Veiga , Brian Staber

We propose an adaptive importance sampling scheme for Gaussian approximations of intractable posteriors. Optimization-based approximations like variational inference can be too inaccurate while existing Monte Carlo methods can be too slow.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-02-04 Willem van den Boom , Andrea Cremaschi , Alexandre H. Thiery

Latent force models are a class of hybrid models for dynamic systems, combining simple mechanistic models with flexible Gaussian process (GP) perturbations. An extension of this framework to include multiplicative interactions between the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-01-01 Daniel J. Tait , Bruce J. Worton

Amortized inference is the task of training a parametric model, such as a neural network, to approximate a distribution with a given unnormalized density where exact sampling is intractable. When sampling is implemented as a sequential…

Adaptive gradient methods, which adopt historical gradient information to automatically adjust the learning rate, despite the nice property of fast convergence, have been observed to generalize worse than stochastic gradient descent (SGD)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-24 Jinghui Chen , Dongruo Zhou , Yiqi Tang , Ziyan Yang , Yuan Cao , Quanquan Gu

Precision matrix estimation is a fundamental topic in multivariate statistics and modern machine learning. This paper proposes an adversarially perturbed precision matrix estimation framework, motivated by recent developments in adversarial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-25 Yiling Xie

We introduce a new, rigorously-formulated Bayesian meta-learning algorithm that learns a probability distribution of model parameter prior for few-shot learning. The proposed algorithm employs a gradient-based variational inference to infer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-21 Cuong Nguyen , Thanh-Toan Do , Gustavo Carneiro

Variational inference is a powerful tool for approximate inference, and it has been recently applied for representation learning with deep generative models. We develop the variational Gaussian process (VGP), a Bayesian nonparametric…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-04-19 Dustin Tran , Rajesh Ranganath , David M. Blei

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a method for Bayesian inference when the likelihood is unavailable but simulating from the model is possible. However, many ABC algorithms require a large number of simulations, which can be costly.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-15 Marko Järvenpää , Michael U. Gutmann , Arijus Pleska , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen

Building upon recent works on linesearch-free adaptive proximal gradient methods, this paper proposes adaPG$^{q,r}$, a framework that unifies and extends existing results by providing larger stepsize policies and improved lower bounds.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-07-11 Puya Latafat , Andreas Themelis , Panagiotis Patrinos

We introduce a new approach for amortizing inference in directed graphical models by learning heuristic approximations to stochastic inverses, designed specifically for use as proposal distributions in sequential Monte Carlo methods. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-09 Brooks Paige , Frank Wood

Learned image reconstruction techniques using deep neural networks have recently gained popularity, and have delivered promising empirical results. However, most approaches focus on one single recovery for each observation, and thus neglect…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-10-26 Chen Zhang , Riccardo Barbano , Bangti Jin

Variational methods are employed in situations where exact Bayesian inference becomes intractable due to the difficulty in performing certain integrals. Typically, variational methods postulate a tractable posterior and formulate a lower…

Currently available quantum computers suffer from constraints including hardware noise and a limited number of qubits. As such, variational quantum algorithms that utilise a classical optimiser in order to train a parameterised quantum…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-04-18 Samuel Duffield , Marcello Benedetti , Matthias Rosenkranz

We revisit the replica method for analyzing inference and learning in parametric models, considering situations where the data-generating distribution is unknown or analytically intractable. Instead of assuming idealized distributions to…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2025-11-17 Takashi Takahashi

The article develops a hybrid Variational Bayes algorithm that combines the mean-field and fixed-form Variational Bayes methods. The new estimation algorithm can be used to approximate any posterior without relying on conjugate priors. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-08-09 David J Nott , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Anthony Y. C. Kuk , Robert Kohn

We develop a Bayesian spatio-temporal framework for extreme-value analysis that augments a hierarchical copula model with an autoregressive factor to capture residual temporal dependence in threshold exceedances. The factor can be specified…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-06 Carlos A. Pasquier , Luis A. Barboza

Adapting pretrained diffusion models to downstream objectives such as inverse problems often requires expensive test-time guidance or optimization. We propose a principled framework for generating high-quality reward-aligned samples at…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-22 Kushagra Pandey , Farrin Marouf Sofian , Jan Niklas Groeneveld , Felix Draxler , Stephan Mandt

Variational autoencoders (VAEs) rely on amortized variational inference to enable efficient posterior approximation, but this efficiency comes at the cost of a shared parametrization, giving rise to the amortization gap. We propose the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Andrea Pollastro , Andrea Apicella , Francesco Isgrò , Roberto Prevete