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While the performance of machine learning systems has experienced significant improvement in recent years, relatively little attention has been paid to the fundamental question: to what extent can we improve our models? This paper provides…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Ryota Ushio , Takashi Ishida , Masashi Sugiyama

Binary classification involves predicting the label of an instance based on whether the model score for the positive class exceeds a threshold chosen based on the application requirements (e.g., maximizing recall for a precision bound).…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-21 Gundeep Arora , Srujana Merugu , Anoop Saladi , Rajeev Rastogi

Structured prediction can be considered as a generalization of many standard supervised learning tasks, and is usually thought as a simultaneous prediction of multiple labels. One standard approach is to maximize a score function on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-19 Kevin Bello , Asish Ghoshal , Jean Honorio

For stochastic process models, parameter inference is often severely bottlenecked by computationally expensive likelihood functions. Simulation-based inference (SBI) bypasses this restriction by constructing amortized surrogate likelihoods,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Alexander Shen , Mikael Kuusela

Calibration, the practice of choosing the parameters of a structural model to match certain empirical moments, can be viewed as minimum distance estimation. Existing standard error formulas for such estimators require a consistent estimate…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-06-19 Matthew D. Cocci , Mikkel Plagborg-Møller

Prediction+optimization is a common real-world paradigm where we have to predict problem parameters before solving the optimization problem. However, the criteria by which the prediction model is trained are often inconsistent with the goal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-23 Kai Yan , Jie Yan , Chuan Luo , Liting Chen , Qingwei Lin , Dongmei Zhang

The Softmax loss is one of the most widely employed surrogate objectives for classification and ranking tasks. To elucidate its theoretical properties, the Fenchel-Young framework situates it as a canonical instance within a broad family of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-02 Yuanhao Pu , Defu Lian , Enhong Chen

When evaluating the effectiveness of a treatment, policy, or intervention, the desired measure of effectiveness may be expensive to collect, not routinely available, or may take a long time to occur. In these cases, it is sometimes possible…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-10 Denis Agniel , Layla Parast , Boris Hejblum

This work investigates into cost behaviors of binary classification measures in a background of class-imbalanced problems. Twelve performance measures are studied, such as F measure, G-means in terms of accuracy rates, and of recall and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-03-28 Bao-Gang Hu , Wei-Ming Dong

In many longitudinal settings, economic theory does not guide practitioners on the type of restrictions that must be imposed to solve the rotational indeterminacy of factor-augmented linear models. We study this problem and offer several…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-03-08 Matthew Harding , Carlos Lamarche , Chris Muris

Performing multi-objective Bayesian optimisation by scalarising the objectives avoids the computation of expensive multi-dimensional integral-based acquisition functions, instead of allowing one-dimensional standard acquisition…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-13 Clym Stock-Williams , Tinkle Chugh , Alma Rahat , Wei Yu

In this paper, we present a novel tolerance allocation algorithm for the assessment and control of geometric variation on system performance that is applicable to any system of partial differential equations. In particular, we parameterize…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-04-16 Joseph Benzaken , Alireza Doostan , John A. Evans

Submodular optimization finds applications in machine learning and data mining. In this paper, we study the problem of maximizing functions of the form $h = f-c$, where $f$ is a monotone, non-negative, weakly submodular set function and $c$…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2024-08-20 Yanhui Zhu , Samik Basu , A. Pavan

We propose MCGrad, a novel and scalable multicalibration algorithm. Multicalibration - calibration in subgroups of the data - is an important property for the performance of machine learning-based systems. Existing multicalibration methods…

We investigate optimal order execution problems in discrete time with instantaneous price impact and stochastic resilience. First, in the setting of linear transient price impact we derive a closed-form recursion for the optimal strategy,…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2023-10-31 Tao Chen , Mike Ludkovski , Moritz Voß

We present an approach for constructing a surrogate from ensembles of information sources of varying cost and accuracy. The multifidelity surrogate encodes connections between information sources as a directed acyclic graph, and is trained…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-25 Alex Gorodetsky , John D. Jakeman , Gianluca Geraci

A multi-fidelity (MF) active learning method is presented for design optimization problems characterized by noisy evaluations of the performance metrics. Namely, a generalized MF surrogate model is used for design-space exploration,…

The problem of determining the achievable sensitivity with digitization exhibiting minimal complexity is addressed. In this case, measurements are exclusively available in hard-limited form. Assessing the achievable sensitivity via the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-06-11 Manuel S. Stein

A Lagrange multiplier theorem is derived for the case of an imprecise objective function and a precise constraint. The proof uses methods of analysis which deal in a direct, algebraic way with imprecisions. They include imprecise…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-06-29 Nam Van Tran , Imme van den Berg

Machine learning methods are increasingly used to build computationally inexpensive surrogates for complex physical models. The predictive capability of these surrogates suffers when data are noisy, sparse, or time-dependent. As we are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-20 A. Diaw , M. McKerns , I. Sagert , L. G. Stanton , M. S. Murillo